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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas likely to raise policy rate in 2H16

Feb 11, 2016 03:03 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is not in a rush to tweak its monetary policy, especially with the imminent implementation of the new rate corridor. There has been some chatter about the BSP introducing new...

Currency War Series

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Upside risks for additional tightening from BCB

Feb 10, 2016 15:57 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Brazil inflation is highly unlikely to converge on BCB target in 2017 unless we see sharp BRL appreciation, which appears highly unlikely. January inflation data came in at 10.71% y/y as against Decembers 10.67% y/y, above...

Currency War Series

Banxico unlikely to respond with immediate policy change over the coming months

Feb 10, 2016 15:07 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Data released on Tuesday showed that Mexicos CPI print for January came in at 2.61% y/y, slightly above expectations of 2.52%. The peso however was unable to benefit from the data and continued to trade at record lows...

Currency War Series

ECB, BoJ likely to weaken currency further

Feb 10, 2016 10:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Investors are driven towards safe haven assets as stock markets continue to slump, with oil price hovering towards its lows. The EUR and the JPY are seen benefiting amid global growth turbulence.EUR/USD touched a three...

Currency War Series

Will Fed follow ECB, BOJ to negative territory?

Feb 09, 2016 07:33 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several analysts point out that there is a possibility growing that FED might follow European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymakers in introducing negative rates on excess reserve. Their argument is that...

Currency War Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Riksbank likely to ease with further 10 bps, expect higher Norwegian inflation – hedge SEK and NOK for depreciation risks

Feb 09, 2016 07:02 am UTC| Technicals Central Banks

We look ahead for the Riksbank easing monetary policy further at its Thursday meeting, lowering its repo rate by 10bp, to -0.45% vs consensus: 0bp, market pricing: -7bp, given downside risks to inflation. A repo rate...

Currency War Series

More depo rate cuts still an option for the ECB, however, bold action unlikely

Feb 08, 2016 11:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After lowering its repo rate by 10bp and extending its quantitative easing in December 2015, the ECB left its key interest rates unchanged in Jan, even as low energy prices and concerns about Chinas impact on the global...

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Economy

South Korea’s KOSPI Plunges as Apple Price Hikes and OpenAI IPO Delay Shake AI Chip Stocks

South Koreas benchmark KOSPI index suffered a steep selloff on Friday as investors dumped technology and semiconductor stocks following Apples latest price increases and reports that OpenAI may delay its highly anticipated...

Asian Stocks Sink as Apple Price Hikes Spark AI Valuation Fears, South Korea and Japan Lead Selloff

Asian stock markets closed sharply lower on Friday as investors took profits from this weeks technology-driven rally after Apple Inc.s decision to raise prices on several products reignited concerns about the...

Gold Prices Fall Below $4,000 as Strong Dollar, Fed Rate Hike Bets Weigh on Bullion

Gold prices extended their decline on Friday, falling below the key $4,000-per-ounce level as a stronger U.S. dollar and growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continued to pressure the...

SpaceX Eyes Starlink Mobile Phone Service to Challenge Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile

SpaceX is reportedly exploring a major expansion of its Starlink business by launching a Starlink-branded mobile phone service in the United States, a move that could position Elon Musks company as a direct competitor to...

Asian Currencies Trade Mixed as Yen Hovers Near 40-Year Low, Dollar Holds Firm on Fed Outlook

Asian currencies traded within narrow ranges on Friday as the U.S. dollar paused after a strong weekly rally, while the Japanese yen remained close to a four-decade low amid lingering concerns over potential government...

Politics

Trump Administration Rejects Claims of Rift Between JD Vance and Marco Rubio on Iran Policy

President Donald Trumps administration is pushing back against claims of internal divisions over its Iran strategy after comments from Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio appeared to reflect...

US Approves $250 Million Fighter Jet Training Sale to Australia

The United States has approved a potential $250 million military sale to Australia, reinforcing the long-standing defense partnership between the two allies. The U.S. State Department announced on Thursday that it had...

Johns Hopkins University Lays Off 110 Employees as Federal Research Funding Declines

Johns Hopkins University has announced the layoff of 110 employees following significant reductions in federal research funding, highlighting the growing financial challenges facing one of the United States leading...

Iran Attack in Strait of Hormuz Pushes Oil Prices Higher

Global oil prices climbed on Thursday after Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly attacked a Singapore-flagged cargo vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, reigniting concerns over Middle East tensions and...

Republican Lawmaker Introduces AI Incident Reporting Bill to Strengthen U.S. AI Safety

The United States could soon see new artificial intelligence regulations after Republican Representative Nathaniel Moran of Texas introduced the proposed AI Incident Reporting Act, a bill designed to improve transparency...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI IPO Delay Weighs on SoftBank Shares as AI Valuation Concerns Grow

SoftBank Group (TYO:9984) shares tumbled sharply on Friday after a report suggested that OpenAI is considering postponing its highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO), delaying what many investors had expected to...

Apple Supplier Stocks Slide as Samsung, SK Hynix Lead Selloff After Apple Price Hikes

Apples major Asian suppliers came under heavy selling pressure on Friday after the iPhone maker announced significant price increases for its MacBook and iPad lineup, fueling concerns that rising semiconductor costs are...

Samsung, SK Hynix to Unveil Record AI and Semiconductor Investment Plans Worth Over $646 Billion

South Korean technology giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are preparing to unveil sweeping long-term investment strategies centered on semiconductors, artificial intelligence (AI), and next-generation technologies,...

OpenAI May Delay IPO to 2027 Amid $1 Trillion Valuation Goal

OpenAI is reportedly considering postponing its highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO) until 2027 as it pursues an ambitious $1 trillion valuation. According to a report by The New York Times, company executives...

Kioxia Targets U.S. Listing as AI Chip Boom Accelerates

Japan-based Kioxia Holdings Corp. (TYO:285A) is preparing to launch U.S. depositary shares in the spring of 2027, a strategic move aimed at expanding its global investor base and taking advantage of growing enthusiasm for...
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