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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Bank Indonesia to continue with easing cycle, likely to cut rates by 50bps before 2016-end

Mar 14, 2016 12:11 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank Indonesia is expected to continue on its easing cycle and lower rates during its meeting on 16-17 March. The central bank has usually gone on board with a cycle of rate cuts or hikes if there were changes made to...

Currency War Series

Norges Bank to lower interest rate on Thursday

Mar 14, 2016 10:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Norges Bank is expected to lower its interest rate on Thursday by 25bp. It is also likely to adjust the interest rate path down by 7-8 bp by late 2016 so it can give a slightly above 50% possibility of a further cut...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

Czech National bank to introduce negative interest rates?

Mar 14, 2016 10:22 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The EUR-CZK pair has been rising in recent weeks after remaining stable at close to its 27.00 floor for four months. This indicates that the market believes the central bank will have to break its policy status quo in the...

Currency War Series

Polish central bank likely to lower rates by Q3, lowers inflation outlook for 2016, 2017

Mar 14, 2016 09:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Polands central bank, during its meeting on Friday, kept its policy unchanged and hinted a likely reduction in rate if there is excessive capital inflow from euro area. The central bank cut its inflation forecasts as...

Currency War Series

Bank of Japan unlikely to make changes to monetary policy tomorrow

Mar 14, 2016 09:42 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Japan is unlikely to make any changes to its monetary policy. The central bank is expected to keep its promise of raising the monetary base by JPY 80 trillion on an annual basis and to apply negative rate of...

Currency War Series

Bank of Mexico to follow US Fed’s policy strategy, to keep rates on hold next week

Mar 11, 2016 12:13 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Mexico is expected to follow the US Feds move and keep the overnight rate on hold at 3.75% next week. It is likely to issue a relatively dovish statement in terms of growth but slightly more hawkish in terms of...

Currency War Series

Rate hike expectations from BOE move up

Mar 11, 2016 11:52 am UTC| Commentary

Even though inflation expectations moved down, latest survey by Bank of England (BOE) shows that people are more confident that rates are likely to move up over next 12 months. According to 4000 Britons surveyed, 38% of...

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Economy

Dollar Holds Firm Ahead of Global Central Bank Decisions as Yen, Sterling and Euro React

The U.S. dollar remained steady against major global currencies on Thursday as investors positioned themselves ahead of key central bank decisions in the United Kingdom, Europe and Japan. Currency markets showed cautious...

BoE Set to Cut Rates as UK Inflation Slows, but Further Easing Likely Limited

The Bank of England is widely expected to cut interest rates on Thursday as signs mount that UK inflation is easing and economic growth is weakening. Financial markets anticipate a 25-basis-point reduction, bringing the...

U.S. Stock Futures Edge Higher as Micron Earnings Boost AI Sentiment Ahead of CPI Data

U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Wednesday evening, supported by blowout earnings and strong guidance from Micron Technology, although broader gains remained limited as investors stayed cautious ahead of key U.S....

​South Korea Warns Weak Won Could Push Inflation Higher in 2025

South Koreas central bank has warned that inflation next year could exceed earlier projections if the Korean won remains weak against the U.S. dollar, raising concerns about price stability and currency market pressures....

Chinese Robotaxi Stocks Rally as Tesla Boosts Autonomous Driving Optimism

Chinese robotaxi stocks surged in Hong Kong trading on Wednesday, tracking strong overnight gains in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) as investor optimism around autonomous driving and ride-hailing technology continued to build....

Politics

U.S. House Advances GOP Healthcare Bill as ACA Subsidies Near Expiration

A major U.S. federal healthcare subsidy expanded during the COVID-19 pandemic is set to expire at the end of the year after the House of Representatives narrowly advanced a Republican healthcare bill that does not renew...

U.S. Initiates $11.1 Billion Arms Sale to Taiwan Amid Rising China Tensions

Taiwans defence ministry announced on Thursday that the United States government has formally initiated the congressional notification process for a proposed $11.1 billion arms sale to Taiwan, underscoring Washingtons...

Union-Aligned Investors Question Amazon, Walmart and Alphabet on Trump Immigration Policies

A union-aligned investment group has urged major U.S. corporations including Amazon, Walmart and Google-parent Alphabet to explain how President Donald Trumps immigration policies are affecting their finances, workforce...

Venezuela Seeks UN Security Council Meeting Over U.S. Oil Tanker Blockade

Venezuela has formally requested an urgent meeting of the United Nations Security Council to address what it described as ongoing U.S. aggression against the country, according to a letter seen by Reuters. The request...

Trump Administration Plans Major Increase in Denaturalization Cases for Naturalized U.S. Citizens

The Trump administration is preparing to significantly expand efforts to revoke U.S. citizenship from some naturalized Americans, according to a report by The New York Times citing internal government guidance. Newly...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

Apple Opens iPhone to Alternative App Stores in Japan Under New Competition Law

Apple has announced a major shift in its App Store policies in Japan, opening iPhones and other Apple devices to alternative app stores in order to comply with new competition laws aimed at reshaping the countrys...

Micron Technology Forecasts Surge in Revenue and Earnings on AI-Driven Memory Demand

Micron Technology delivered record first-quarter results and issued a bullish forecast for the current quarter, driven by rising memory prices and strong demand linked to artificial intelligence workloads. The upbeat...

Oracle Stock Slides After Blue Owl Exit Report, Company Says Michigan Data Center Talks Remain on Track

Oracle shares fell more than 4% on Wednesday after a Financial Times report claimed that Blue Owl Capital, Oracles largest U.S. data center partner, decided not to support a planned $10 billion data center project in...

OpenAI Explores Massive Funding Round at $750 Billion Valuation

OpenAI, the company behind the widely used AI chatbot ChatGPT, has reportedly entered preliminary discussions with investors about a potential new funding round that could value the company at approximately $750 billion....

Republicans Raise National Security Concerns Over Intel’s Testing of China-Linked Chipmaking Tools

Republican lawmakers are raising alarms over potential U.S. national security risks after a Reuters report revealed that Intel evaluated advanced chipmaking equipment from ACM Research, a company with significant ties to...
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