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FxWirePro: Trade in crude strangles on vol drop after OPEC and EIA

Dec 07, 2017 10:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

This weeks report was bullish for crude and bearish for gasoline and distillate. Total commercial crude and refined product stocks drew by 2.5 Mb to 1249.6 Mb. The stockdraw was led by a 5.6 Mb decline in crude oil stocks....

FxWirePro: AUD/USD bearish neutral risk reversals and 1m skews indicate bearish risks, Tepid IVs signal theta shorts in PRBS ahead of Fed

Dec 07, 2017 10:03 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

OTC outlook and options strategy: Please be noted that the positively skewed IVs of 1m tenors signify the hedgers interests to bid OTM put strikes upto 0.7425 levels (refer above diagram). While bearish neutral delta...

FxWirePro: Deploy short hedges on narrowed Aussie trade surplus

Dec 07, 2017 08:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Australias trade surplus narrowed 93 percent to AUD 0.1 billion in October of 2017 from a downwardly revised AUD 1.60 billion in the prior month and way below market expectations of AUD 1.4 billion. It was the smallest...

FxWirePro: BTC skyrockets the pace on the brink of derivatives market developments

Dec 07, 2017 07:47 am UTC| Digital Currency Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Lets just know as to how the Bitcoin price (or any other cryptocurrencies) seems to have exceeded the expectations briefly for the first time in this week before we proceed further with why it has shown such a movement;...

Moody's: Increased profitability underpins positive outlook for US exchanges, retail brokers; market makers stable

Dec 07, 2017 00:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The 2018 outlook for US exchanges and other trading venue operators and retail brokers is positive, owing to increased profitability and steady to lower debt leverage for the collective group, Moodys Investors Service...

FxWirePro: Wise to buy straddles Euro rates on hedging grounds

Dec 06, 2017 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Demand/Supply equation: On the demand side, investment grade retail funds saw an inflow of 800mm (0.6% of AUM) last week. This was a reduction from the record inflows of 1.6bn last week. While last week saw a solid 10.7bn...

FxWirePro: USD/JPY Option Knock-in set-up ahead of BoJ and Fed

Dec 06, 2017 12:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The Japanese yen has vented higher more recently than that (up 16% vs USD and 25% against GBP in 1H 2016 for example). Thats a reminder that when a currency is as cheap as the yen (USDJPY PPP is at 103 according to the...

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Economy

Interest rates: the ugly dilemma facing Europe’s central banks – and why it’s a mistake to cut too soon

Central banks in Europe are discovering an old dilemma: when they lower interest rates because inflation is slowing down, its likely to weaken their currencies. This in turn may delay the fall in inflation towards their...

Europe is still in short-term crisis mode over Ukraine and lacks a vision for its post-war identity

Some believe that the war in Ukraine has fundamentally changed Europe, giving birth to a different kind of European order. That is, it appears to be driving structural shifts in the way Europe is run and organised that...

Mortgage prisoners: regulatory changes and low credit scores have left thousands trapped in a cycle of high payments

There are 8.5 million households in the UK who own a home with a residential mortgage, often with fixed interest rates from two to five years. Usually, when that mortgage deal ends, the borrower will move to another deal...

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Politics

Gabon: post-coup dialogue has mapped out path to democracy – now military leaders must act

At the end of April 2024, a long and peaceful process of national dialogue in Gabon between the military junta, presided over by coup leader General Brice Oligui Nguema, and civil society, represented by 580 civilians,...

How German media attention idealises female Ukrainian refugees

According to the latest available data, around 3.7 million Ukrainians are internally displaced, while nearly 6.5 million have registered as refugees globally. With 1.13 million, Germany has taken in the largest...

Over 26 million South Africans get a social grant. Fear of losing the payment used to be a reason to vote for the ANC, but no longer – study

Social grants to reduce poverty feature prominently in the campaign promises of political parties in South Africas 2024 national and provincial general elections, set for 29 May. The countrys social grants system is one...

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

Wendy’s Launches $3 Breakfast Deal as McDonald’s Tests Limited $5 Value Meal in June

Wendys will offer a $3 breakfast deal starting May 20, while McDonalds plans a $5 value meal for June, reflecting a strategic push to attract budget-conscious consumers amid high inflation. Wendys $3 Breakfast Deal...

Ethereum Trends Amid SEC ETH ETF Speculation and $341M Whale Purchases

Ethereum has become the top trending asset, driven by SEC ETH ETF speculation and massive whale purchases totaling $341 million in the past 24 hours. Ethereum Whales Boost Holdings by $341M as SEC ETH ETF Decision...

Analysts Suggest SEC May Reconsider Spot Ether ETF Denial Amid Market Speculation

Analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have increased the likelihood of the SEC approving a spot Ether ETF from 25% to 75%, citing new speculation about the regulators stance. ETF Analysts Increase SEC Spot Ether...

OpenAI Suspends ChatGPT Sky Voice Following Scarlett Johansson 'Her' Comparisons

OpenAI has decided to suspend its ChatGPT Sky voice after multiple users noted its resemblance to Scarlett Johanssons voice in the 2013 film Her. OpenAI Addresses Voice Similarity Concerns OpenAI says it will pause...

Shiba Inu Burn Rate Skyrockets 579%, 9.83 Million Tokens Burned in One Day

Shiba Inus burn rate surged by 579% in the past 24 hours, destroying 9.83 million tokens, according to Shibburn. The significant increase in token burns has caught the markets attention, with substantial transactions from...