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FxWirePro: Polish lagging economic indicators still signal economic upswings – Pick up two high yielding EM crosses via optionality

Jan 22, 2018 13:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Polish industrial output, retail sales and producer price data for December portrayed a still stable economic upswing, but one which still exhibits no sign of broader inflationary pressure despite the 7%-plus wage growth...

FxWirePro: Bullish/bearish scenarios of sterling and Aussie and hedging perspectives

Jan 22, 2018 12:28 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Bearish sterling scenarios: 1) UK growth stay nears 1.5%. 2) CPI peaks and wage growth fails to accelerate to 3%; 3) The balance of payments pressure (capital repatriation from LT investors; current a/c stuck at...

FxWirePro: CNH and TWD wedged between Taiwanese capital inflows and Chinese constitutional transformation – Uphold longs in far-month derivatives

Jan 22, 2018 11:14 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

From an economic perspective, there is an appreciation bias in TWD as the country runs a huge trade surplus of more than 10% GDP. As such, Taiwan is also on the watch list of the US currency manipulation report. The strong...

FxWirePro: Personnel changes in BoJ and RBNZ to impact upside-down in NZD/JPY - OTC outlook and hedging strategies

Jan 22, 2018 09:37 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Speaking of the BoJ as the Japanese central bank scheduled for its first monetary policy in 2018. The banks personnel change would rather be in emphasis in January and February as Governor Kurodas term will expire in April...

FxWirePro: Deploy NZD/JPY short hedges on mounting bearish Kiwis sentiments in H1’2018

Jan 22, 2018 08:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

NZD was the worst performing G10 currency vs USD in 2017(refer above chart). A combination of weaker-than-expected economic growth, tighter funding conditions, slowing net immigration and a change of government all...

FxWirePro: CBRT sounds hawkish despite maintaining status quo, Geopolitical risks turn constructive – Uphold far-month tenured USD/TRY put up-and-in

Jan 22, 2018 07:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Turkish lira rallied considerably today amidst continued USD weakness (dollar index down by -0.15%, flashing at 9.34 while articulating) and a number of favorable developments: 1) CBT held rates unchanged, but its...

FxWirePro’s USD/ZAR strangle short fetch desired yields, short hedges on track of functionality as budget adds-in along with SARB, Moody’s and political tantrums

Jan 19, 2018 13:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Before we emphasize anything much on this write-up, we urge you to go through our previous post this pair which is available on below...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs, ANZ Cut Oil Forecasts Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes

Brent crude oil prices have tumbled more than 11% this week after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, raising hopes that the Strait of Hormuz one of the worlds most critical oil shipping lanes ...

Bank of Japan Governor Signals Accommodative Stance Amid Negative Real Rates

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Thursday that Japans real interest rates remain firmly in negative territory, signaling that the countrys financial conditions continue to support economic growth. His...

Japan Consumer Confidence Drops Sharply Amid Rising Fuel Costs and Middle East Tensions

Japans consumer confidence took a significant hit in March, declining for the first time in three months as escalating fuel costs linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict continued to weigh heavily on the countrys...

China Set to Exit Deflation Cycle in Early 2026, ANZ Analysts Say

China may be closer to ending its prolonged deflationary period than financial markets currently anticipate, according to a recent note from ANZ analysts. The bank projects that three key price indicators the producer...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Ceasefire Doubts Weigh on Markets

Asian currencies showed little movement on Thursday following strong gains in the prior session, as investor caution mounted over the stability of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal amid escalating Middle East tensions. The U.S....

Politics

Trump Warns Iran: No Deal Means Military Action as U.S. Forces Hold Position

President Donald Trump escalated tensions with Iran on Wednesday, declaring that all U.S. military assets including ships, aircraft, and personnel would remain stationed in the region until a formal agreement with Tehran...

U.S. Pushes for Crypto Regulation to Keep Digital Asset Growth at Home

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling on Congress to pass landmark federal cryptocurrency legislation, warning that regulatory uncertainty is pushing blockchain innovation and investment out of the United States. In...

North Korea Tests Advanced Cluster Bombs, Electromagnetic Weapons in Latest Military Display

North Korea has conducted a series of weapons tests this week, showcasing cutting-edge military technology including cluster-bomb warheads, electromagnetic weapons, and carbon-fibre bombs, according to state media outlet...

Trump Pardon Clears Juan Orlando Hernández as U.S. Court Dismisses Drug Conviction Appeal

A U.S. federal appeals court has dismissed the case against former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, vacating his prior conviction following a presidential pardon granted by Donald Trump in December. The...

Taiwan Defense Budget: U.S. Senator Urges Legislature to Pass Spending Plan

Republican Senator Jim Banks visited Taipei and delivered a direct message to Taiwans President Lai Ching-te: the islands parliament must stop stalling and approve a proposed special defense budget. Banks, a member of the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...

Anthropic Fights Pentagon Blacklisting in Dual Federal Court Battles

A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has refused to halt the Pentagons national security blacklisting of AI company Anthropic, delivering a temporary win for the Trump administration. The ruling comes as another...
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