FxWirePro: Bullish/bearish scenarios of USD/JPY and hedging framework ahead of BoJ meeting

Jan 18, 2018 06:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Bullish scenarios USDJPY to 125 if: 1) The strong US growth leads aggressive Fed hikes and a spike in UST yields, resulting in broad USD strength, and 2) Japanese governments fiscal policy becomes more expansionary and...

FxWirePro: Yen stands out in low regime in 2018 – Double-No-Touch to tackle JPY softness

Jan 18, 2018 05:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please have a glance in above nutshell evidencing ATM IVs, no pair is having implied volatilities above 8.5% except 1w USDCAD contracts. Amid this depressed vols circumstances, we find that yen crosses have strong...

FxWirePro: NAFTA remains lingering risks for loonie, crude prospects on the other corner but BoC’s monetary policy more decisive than everything

Jan 17, 2018 12:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The recent Canadian developments have reinforced dual perspectives on CAD prospects through 2018 that the resumption of gradual BoC normalization would drive outperformance vs lagging peers, but that NAFTA remains a...

FxWirePro: Winter season, geopolitical risks supportive to crude’s demand/supply equation – Add long NYMEX WTI vs ICE Brent spreads of mid-month tenors

Jan 17, 2018 11:40 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Its been a great beginning for the crude prices in 2018, with Brent crude futures about to touch $70/bbl, their highest level since Dec 2014. Brent is up by 14.5%since the OPEC-NOPEC meeting on 30 November 2017and was up...

FxWirePro: WTI crude bulls still linger above 3y highs despite gravestone doji evidences failure swings at channel resistance, Uphold long hedges

Jan 17, 2018 10:55 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

Chart pattern formed- Rising channel, failure swings at channel resistance on daily plotting, Symmetric triangle resistance break-out and extension of consolidation phase by retracing more than 38.2% Fibonacci...

FxWirePro: Tussle between US/Turkish and CBRT dovishness to fuel lira’s depreciation – Uphold USD/TRY delta calls of far-month

Jan 17, 2018 09:40 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The CBRT rhetoric is refining and the lira is depreciating. Claims by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan that the US is establishing an army of terror on the border to Syria are fuelling concerns on the market that the...

FxWirePro: Why Scandis seem cheaper? Bid outright trades in H1’2018

Jan 17, 2018 09:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The largest G10 movers since our last publication in October were GBP and EUR (outperformed) while the underperformers were CAD and Scandis (unchanged vs USD). The dollar has weakened broadly versus all G10 currencies...