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Is the dollar priced for Fed hikes?

Sep 09, 2015 00:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The US dollar (USD) has strengthened over 15% on a trade-weighted basis since endJune 2014. But, a decomposition of USD moves into days dominated by a Fed shock and those by a growth shock suggests otherwise. Instead, most...

Fed's rate hike and its implications

Sep 09, 2015 00:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

With a final solid payroll number under the belt, focus now turns squarely to the FedsSeptember 17thrate hike decision. BofAML describes the economic and policy backdrop and then looks at likely market responses to...

RBNZ scenraios

Sep 08, 2015 23:46 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The consensus among economists and the market is for a 25bp cut, but there is a range of opinions regarding the extent and timing of additional easing. Westpac explores three possible scenarios and predict the market...

BoC preview: no rush to ease

Sep 08, 2015 22:20 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In the past few months, global economic uncertainty has put downward pressure on the price of Canadas resources, weighing on the nations already beleaguered resource patch. The price of WTI oil is $45/bbl (as this goes to...

CBR favouring RUB’s moderate weakening

Sep 08, 2015 04:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

At the previous meeting on 31 July, the CBR reiterated its CPI forecast for June 2016, stating that annual inflation will fall under 7% reaching the 4% target in 2017. Upcoming price increases in Russia are expected to...

CBR likely to keep key rate unchanged in 11 September meeting

Sep 08, 2015 04:06 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Russias central bank (the CBR) will announce its monetary policy decision this week. The key rate is likely to remain unchanged at 11% p.a. in line with consensus, as RUB volatility has increased (although bearably) on...

Taiwan CBC likely to stay on hold in September

Sep 08, 2015 03:59 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Taiwan inflation is expected to recover gradually in H2, helped by a low base in Q4. Food prices are also likely to trend higher due to the typhoon season. Soft CPI should not be a concern to CBC, given it is mainly...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Why is the London Stock Exchange losing out to the US

London Stock Exchange (LSE), which can trace its heritage to the coffee houses of the 17th century, is failing. The volume of shares traded is sharply declining, and some UK companies are swiftly moving to the US...

Why Germany ditched nuclear before coal – and why it won’t go back

One year ago, Germany took its last three nuclear power stations offline. When it comes to energy, few events have baffled outsiders more. In the face of climate change, calls to expedite the transition away from fossil...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Joe Biden Proposes Record 44.6% Capital Gains Tax in Latest Budget Plan That May Favor Cryptocurrencies

President Joe Biden has proposed raising the capital gains tax to an unprecedented 44.6% in a bold fiscal move, targeting the wealthiest Americans. This hike is part of his 2025 budget proposal to reduce income...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Australia Set to Unveil Spot Bitcoin ETFs, $4 Billion Inflows Projected

Australias top exchange, the ASX, is poised to approve its first spot in Bitcoin ETFs. This could potentially unlock $3 to $4 billion in initial inflows over the next three years, bolstering the countrys robust crypto...

Tesla Cybertruck Triumphs in Off-Road Challenge, Reveals Enhanced Features

Teslas Cybertruck recently demonstrated its superior off-road capabilities in a video featuring new adjustments for pitch and angle to boost its performance on challenging terrains. Cybertruck Outperforms in Rigorous...

China Beat South Korea in OLED Panel Shipments for Small Gadgets

China reportedly defeated South Korea in the shipment of organic light-emitting display panels, or OLED, for IT gadgets. The Chinese makers outdid Korea for the first time in the first quarter of 2024. New Records for...

LG Uplus, Kakao Mobility EV Charging Joint Venture Approved by the FTC

LG Uplus and Kakao Mobilitys joint venture to operate electric vehicle charging stations has been approved by the Fair Trade Commission. The antitrust regulator approved the JV on Monday, April 29. FTCs Crucial...
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