Oil Prices Stabilize as U.S. SPR Plans Offset Demand Concerns

Oil Prices Hold Steady Amid U.S. SPR Purchases and Demand Uncertainty

Brent crude futures saw a modest rise of $0.03 to $71.45 per barrel early Tuesday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) increased by $0.07 to $67.45 per barrel. This stability follows a steep 6% decline on Monday after Israel's weekend strikes against military targets in Iran, which spared Iranian oil infrastructure, calming fears of an extended conflict.

Middle East Tensions and U.S. Response

Middle Eastern tensions remain high, with Iran pledging to respond to Israel's recent attacks. The U.S. has warned Iran of “severe consequences” should it escalate aggression in the region, yet analysts see limited near-term risk to oil supply. ING Economics noted that while geopolitical concerns are significant, bearish market fundamentals may dominate through 2025.

U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Plan

The U.S. government announced plans to purchase up to 3 million barrels of crude for the SPR by May 2025, injecting some stability into the market. However, limited funding means further buys are dependent on future congressional approval. Meanwhile, China's sluggish demand growth and delayed peak winter heating season in the Northern Hemisphere could weigh on global oil prices.

U.S. Inventory Update

A preliminary Reuters poll indicated a likely rise in U.S. crude and gasoline inventories last week, with distillate stocks possibly down. Industry data from the American Petroleum Institute is expected Tuesday, while the U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its report on Wednesday.