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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Oil and inflation concern for MXN while fiscal slowdown for BRL - forecasts for Latin American pairs

Dec 31, 2015 11:39 am UTC| Insights & Views

USD/MXN: We believe the peso may remain near 17.00 in the near future. Banxicos decision to initiate a rate tightening cycle was not easy. According to the statement, the main driver was to avoid additional currency...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Global economic recovery will continue to disappoint in 2016

Dec 31, 2015 10:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

The U.S. Federal Reserves rate hike showed confidence in the worlds largest economy, but spillover effects from the hike could lead to tighter credit conditions and higher debt servicing costs for emerging markets....

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Additional downgrades for Brazil likely to take place in coming months

Dec 30, 2015 09:26 am UTC| Commentary

Brazil was downgraded by Fitch in mid December, following SP decision in summer. This is second agency to downgrade Brazil to below investment grade. Moodys will follow and also that additional downgrades will take...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will EM-DM growth differential narrow further in 2016?

Dec 29, 2015 11:36 am UTC| Insights & Views

In the aftermath of the 2008-09 global financial crisis, emerging markets had gained the status as saviors of the world economy. But ever since the mid-2013 taper tantrum, the emerging markets have disappointed and there...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will gains in mature economies offset emerging markets gloom in 2016?

Dec 28, 2015 11:34 am UTC| Insights & Views

Feds long-awaited rise in rates from zero showed confidence in the worlds largest economy, but first post-crisis rate hike is an unlikely cure for what ails the rest of the world. With exchange rates dominating the policy...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Banxico’s monetary policy triggers two targets in one go - Mexican inflation under the radar, MXN tames USD bulls

Dec 24, 2015 13:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last weeks the Fondeo rate 25 bps as a pre-emptive hike by Banxico to protect the MXN seems like serving the purpose at least in short run. With inflation running at historical lows and no demand pressures on...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Brazil political turmoil unlikely to cushion BRL, fiscal consolidation to add pressure – stay USD/BRL hedged via CRBS

Dec 24, 2015 11:44 am UTC| Technicals Politics

Parliamentary assembly is in adjournment until February, resulting Brazilian assets a brief halt from the political turmoil, as no traces of any developments in the process of President Rousseffs charges, House Speaker...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

The Mattei Plan: why Giorgia Meloni is looking to Africa

Since coming to power, Giorgia Melonis government has been remarkably orthodox in its foreign policy. Unwavering support for Ukraine, loyalty to the Atlantic Alliance and full participation in the European Union - these...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

The 50th anniversary of Portugal’s Carnation Revolution

Across Portugal, a number of photography exhibitions are currently on display that commemorate the ousting of the Estado Novo, the dictatorial, authoritarian and corporatist political regime that had ruled the country...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Bitcoin Dips 4% Below Cost, Stirs Panic Among Short-Term Investors

In a startling decline, Bitcoin plummeted 4% below its average purchase price, sparking potential panic among short-term holders, who, according to analyst James Check, are now facing a 3% unrealized loss. Recent...

Google Axes 200 ‘Core’ Workers, Transfers Jobs to India and Mexico Amid Restructuring

Google LLC is reducing its workforce again in its latest restructuring efforts. The tech company announced it would axe at least 200 staff from its core teams. According to CNBC, this core unit is responsible for...

Analyst Sees Shiba Inu Hitting $0.00007 Despite Major Token Dump

A Shiba Inu whale recently dumped massive SHIB tokens on Coinbase, one of the worlds top cryptocurrency exchanges. The enormous volume of SHIB offloaded quickly sparked a gloomy feeling among crypto market aficionados...

Casio Joins NFT Trend with Astar zkEVM, Unveils Anniversary Collection

Casio, one of the worlds leading watch companies, has joined the battle for non-fungible tokens (NFTs) in partnership with Astars zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine. The Casio watch NFTs will go online on May...

Tron's Justin Sun Boosts Dogecoin, Shiba Inu at Token 2049 Conference

At the Token 2049 conference, Tron founder Justin Sun endorsed popular meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, emphasizing their pivotal distinction from traditional finance and celebrating their community-driven...