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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Mexico’s core inflation likely to remain soft on MXN depreciation and labor market slack

Feb 10, 2016 05:57 am UTC| Commentary

Mexicos January CPI rose 0.38%, owing to a strong non-core data of 1% 2w/2w in the second half of the month due to higher vegetables and fruits prices. Meanwhile, core inflation eased 0.14% 2w/2w, mainly due to services...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil’s IPCA inflation accelerates in January, likely to have downward trajectory in 2016

Feb 08, 2016 07:00 am UTC| Commentary

Brazils IPCA inflation accelerated 1.27% m/m in January from 0.96% in December. On a yearly basis, it remained at 10.7% in January. The unexpected rise was spread across the groups, with some concentration in the...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Russia’s January CPI inflation slows considerably over base effects, likely to accelerate slightly in Q2

Feb 08, 2016 05:08 am UTC| Commentary

Russias January 2016 CPI inflation decelerated greatly to 9.8% from 12.9% in December. The slowdown in the CPI inflation was mainly due to the base effects as monthly inflation accelerated 1%, equal to the 10-year average....

Currency War Series

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Bank of Mexico holds interest rate, peso’s recent depreciation major threat to inflation

Feb 05, 2016 06:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Mexico kept the interest rate unchanged at 3.25%, on par with expectations. The central bank, in its statement, acknowledges a decline in growth outlook, both domestically and globally, and looks at the recent...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will Emerging Markets benefit from a cautious Fed?

Feb 03, 2016 15:15 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Fed is likely to tighten monetary policy only by as much as markets allow without major turmoil. The FOMC statement showed that the Fed takes the financial market turmoil and the development in China and other emerging...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Demographics likely to continue weighing on Russia’s potential growth

Feb 03, 2016 09:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Russias growth is likely to be pulled down due to demographics. The working-age population is likely to continue reducing by 0.3%-0.7% y/y. The participation rate is expected to decline due to ageing of population. A...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

BRL gains momentary, debt to GDP still a concern – Stay short in USD/BRL FVAs

Feb 02, 2016 11:09 am UTC| Insights & Views

In last quarter, Fitch had downgraded Brazil, following the SPs decision in the summer. This is the second major agency to downgrade Brazil to below investment grade. We believe Moodys will follow and also that additional...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Extraordinary Vietnam fraud case exposes the inherent vulnerabilities of banks

The financial crisis of 2008 showed just how much the world depends on banks being well run. Since then, regulators have been given new powers to keep some of the biggest institutions on a much shorter leash to stamp out...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

The 50th anniversary of Portugal’s Carnation Revolution

Across Portugal, a number of photography exhibitions are currently on display that commemorate the ousting of the Estado Novo, the dictatorial, authoritarian and corporatist political regime that had ruled the country...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Biden Administration Set to Finalize Stricter EV Tax Credit Rules

The Biden administration is finalizing new electric vehicle tax credit rules, slashing the list of eligible models to just 13. This update, part of a broader effort to refine economic incentives before the election,...

Zeus Network Set to Launch Solana to Bitcoin Bridge in Q3 2024

Zeus Network has announced the launch of Zeus Program Library (ZPL) by Q3 2024, a pioneering bridge designed to connect and enhance asset transfer between the Solana and Bitcoin ecosystems, offering broad applications in...

Bitcoin Dips 4% Below Cost, Stirs Panic Among Short-Term Investors

In a startling decline, Bitcoin plummeted 4% below its average purchase price, sparking potential panic among short-term holders, who, according to analyst James Check, are now facing a 3% unrealized loss. Recent...

Google Axes 200 ‘Core’ Workers, Transfers Jobs to India and Mexico Amid Restructuring

Google LLC is reducing its workforce again in its latest restructuring efforts. The tech company announced it would axe at least 200 staff from its core teams. According to CNBC, this core unit is responsible for...

Analyst Sees Shiba Inu Hitting $0.00007 Despite Major Token Dump

A Shiba Inu whale recently dumped massive SHIB tokens on Coinbase, one of the worlds top cryptocurrency exchanges. The enormous volume of SHIB offloaded quickly sparked a gloomy feeling among crypto market aficionados...