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FxWirePro: Red flags for cable and hedging vehicle for risk events

Mar 10, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Cable outlook: Medium-term FX/rates correlation holds again; Fed will hike and MPC wont. Uncertainty is now about the impact of triggering Article 50, not whether or not it happens. 2m vol is undervalued by 2 vols...

FxWirePro: Volatility relative to 10y tails assuming next Fed hike odds

Mar 10, 2017 11:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Although the March meeting ended last week a roughly 1:4 shot for a hike, a range of FOMC members and the Chair herself pushed it to fully priced by this Thursday. With March fully priced, markets should turn to focus...

FxWirePro: Rosy chances to write exorbitant AUD/USD puts in “Reverse Put Spreads” to optimally hedge downside risks ahead of Fed

Mar 10, 2017 07:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Lets also glance on sensitivity tool for 1-3m IV skews would signify the interests of OTM put strikes that would imply hedging sentiments are for downside risks in the underlying spot FX as Fed is most likely to hike...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC sentiments for bearish risks remain intact but IVs mounting higher on assertive Fed

Mar 10, 2017 07:06 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSDs negative momentum remains strong, the 0.7500 area vulnerable to giving way. All eyes will be on the US payrolls data tonight, markets believing it would take a major disappointment to dent the likelihood of a Fed...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedging CHF portfolio amid lingering anomalies

Mar 09, 2017 09:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Stay long CHF vs USD (3-month put spread) and EUR (cash). Keep short a 3-mo strangle in EURCHF against the underlying cash short. Its important to stress we are bullish CHF for domestic, reasons (current account = 10% of...

FxWirePro: “Shifting the sentiments and paving the way for Fed’s March hikes”, OTC hedging factors in dollar bets

Mar 09, 2017 04:57 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In just a week, markets went from doubting a March rate increase toviewing oneas a sure bet. The central banks top brass engineered the changeby speaking in favor of ahike, culminating in Fed Chair Janet Yellens...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Cable gets stuck in dreadful interest rate and geopolitical regime – Z-spread signals GBP overvaluation

Mar 08, 2017 12:17 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Cable is the most over-valued G10 currency versus the dollar (refer above chart). Indeed, cable is more expensive versus 2Y rate spreads than at any point in the last five years. Fair-value currently languishes at 1.15,...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Some experts say the US economy is on the up, but here’s why voters don’t think so

Many Americans are gloomy about the economy, despite some data saying it is improving. The Economist even took this discussion to TikTok. When its US editor John Prideaux examined inflation, wage and employment numbers,...

Electric air taxis are on the way – quiet eVTOLs may be flying passengers as early as 2025

Imagine a future with nearly silent air taxis flying above traffic jams and navigating between skyscrapers and suburban droneports. Transportation arrives at the touch of your smartphone and with minimal environmental...

Electricity from farm waste: how biogas could help Malawians with no power

In sub-Saharan Africa, over 600 million people (more than 50% of the population) are without access to electricity. Malawi has one of the worlds lowest electricity access rates just 14.1% of the total population have...

High interest rates aren’t going away anytime soon – a business economist explains why

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its May 1, 2024, policy meeting, dashing the hopes of potential homebuyers and others who were hoping for a cut. Not only will rates remain at their current level a...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

Taiwan is experiencing millions of cyberattacks every day

Taiwan stands out as a beacon of democracy, innovation and resilience in an increasingly autocratic region. But this is under growing threat. In recent years, China has used a variety of grey zone tactics to pressure...

What the Supreme Court is doing right in considering Trump’s immunity case

Following the nearly three-hour oral argument about presidential immunity in the Supreme Court on April 25, 2024, many commentators were aghast. The general theme, among legal and political experts alike, was a...

US student Gaza protests: five things that have been missed

Coverage of the recent student encampments at more than 50 universities across the United States has focused on confrontations between opposing groups of protesters or between protesters and police. The spectacle of...

Will Solomon Islands’ new leader stay close to China?

Former foreign minister Jeremiah Manele has been elected the next prime minister of Solomon Islands, defeating the opposition leader, Matthew Wale, in a vote in parliament. The result is a mixed bag for former prime...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

OpenAI's Sam Altman Proposes 'Universal Basic Compute' as AI Job Threat Looms

At a recent podcast appearance, OpenAIs CEO Sam Altman discussed universal basic compute, a radical idea that aims to change how we interact with AI technology. UBI to Universal Basic Compute: Altmans New Proposal In...

Billionaire Mark Cuban Urges SEC to Emulate Japan's Crypto Strategy Amid Regulatory Challenges

In a revealing social media post, billionaire Mark Cuban called SEC Chairman Gary Gensler to consider adopting Japans cryptocurrency regulatory framework. Cuban highlighted Japans recovery from major setbacks like the Mt....

What Silicon Valley's Elite Say About the Future of Crypto

The high-tech industry continues to aggressively advance in the blockchain industry, proposing and developing new solutions that improve and make Web3s goods more usable by both general consumers and sophisticated industry...

Crypto Scam Uses Elon Musk Deepfake as 'Developer' to Lure Investors

Elon Musk did not develop the sketchy cryptocurrency trading platform that a random user on Facebook recommends you invest in. The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission issued a warning last week on deepfake...

OpenAI To Announce ChatGPT 5 Potential Updates This Week Including Voice Features And Real-Time Interaction

The growing excitement among enthusiasts in the artificial intelligence (AI) area will climax as OpenAI releases its upcoming developments. Users have been speculating and making guesses, hoping to catch a glimpse and...