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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Reshuffling of option trades in commodity driven currencies

Mar 13, 2017 12:56 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FOMC is likely to enact a3rd hike in the federal funds rate this week. On Wednesday, March 15, the FOMC is likely to hike its funds rate by 25 basis points for the third time during the current economic...

FxWirePro: EUR/USD 3m3m FVAs to render asymmetric political hedge

Mar 13, 2017 09:09 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The European election-distorted EUR/EUR-cross vol curves: The risk premium for the French elections has distorted EUR-and EUR-cross vol surfaces. 3M-1M vol curves have steepened enormously due to the boost to 3M expiries...

FxWirePro: Relative value trades EUR/USD/JPY after unsurprised ECB, 3m25D RR to address misalignments

Mar 13, 2017 06:59 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views Research & Analysis

As expected, theEuropean central bank (ECB)left all benchmark interest rates on hold following the latest Council meeting, with the main refi rate remaining at 0.0% and the deposit rate at -0.40%. According to the...

Moody's: China's sustained capital outflows to challenge policy effectiveness and exchange rate stability, although companies largely resilient

Mar 13, 2017 03:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that the likely persistence of capital outflows from China (Aa3 negative) over the rest of this year could constrain monetary policy and may lead to a more activist fiscal policy, if the...

FxWirePro: What drives buying cheaper downside Cable volatility and convexity?

Mar 10, 2017 12:39 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Cable volatility has been extremely directional since 2012, with a strong and stable negative correlation. The Brexit vote in June 2016 initiated a new vol regime (unlike the FX/rates relationship which did not change...

FxWirePro: Red flags for cable and hedging vehicle for risk events

Mar 10, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Cable outlook: Medium-term FX/rates correlation holds again; Fed will hike and MPC wont. Uncertainty is now about the impact of triggering Article 50, not whether or not it happens. 2m vol is undervalued by 2 vols...

FxWirePro: Volatility relative to 10y tails assuming next Fed hike odds

Mar 10, 2017 11:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Although the March meeting ended last week a roughly 1:4 shot for a hike, a range of FOMC members and the Chair herself pushed it to fully priced by this Thursday. With March fully priced, markets should turn to focus...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Some experts say the US economy is on the up, but here’s why voters don’t think so

Many Americans are gloomy about the economy, despite some data saying it is improving. The Economist even took this discussion to TikTok. When its US editor John Prideaux examined inflation, wage and employment numbers,...

Electric air taxis are on the way – quiet eVTOLs may be flying passengers as early as 2025

Imagine a future with nearly silent air taxis flying above traffic jams and navigating between skyscrapers and suburban droneports. Transportation arrives at the touch of your smartphone and with minimal environmental...

Electricity from farm waste: how biogas could help Malawians with no power

In sub-Saharan Africa, over 600 million people (more than 50% of the population) are without access to electricity. Malawi has one of the worlds lowest electricity access rates just 14.1% of the total population have...

High interest rates aren’t going away anytime soon – a business economist explains why

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its May 1, 2024, policy meeting, dashing the hopes of potential homebuyers and others who were hoping for a cut. Not only will rates remain at their current level a...

Politics

Taiwan is experiencing millions of cyberattacks every day

Taiwan stands out as a beacon of democracy, innovation and resilience in an increasingly autocratic region. But this is under growing threat. In recent years, China has used a variety of grey zone tactics to pressure...

What the Supreme Court is doing right in considering Trump’s immunity case

Following the nearly three-hour oral argument about presidential immunity in the Supreme Court on April 25, 2024, many commentators were aghast. The general theme, among legal and political experts alike, was a...

US student Gaza protests: five things that have been missed

Coverage of the recent student encampments at more than 50 universities across the United States has focused on confrontations between opposing groups of protesters or between protesters and police. The spectacle of...

Will Solomon Islands’ new leader stay close to China?

Former foreign minister Jeremiah Manele has been elected the next prime minister of Solomon Islands, defeating the opposition leader, Matthew Wale, in a vote in parliament. The result is a mixed bag for former prime...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Transaction Fees on Shibarium Skyrocket 267%, Stunning Shiba Inu Community

Shibarium, the Layer-2 blockchain platform dedicated to the Shiba Inu community, has recorded a staggering 267% rise in transaction fees over the past day. This surge, highlighted by data from Shibariumscan, reflects...

Rumor: Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold 6 to Feature Advanced 'Battery AI'

Recent rumors have surfaced suggesting that Samsung may integrate its revolutionary Battery AI technology into the Galaxy Z Fold 6, aiming to significantly enhance battery efficiency. Galaxy Z Fold 6: A New Benchmark in...

Surge in Used Tesla Cybertruck Market Despite High Prices

Despite a significant recall affecting nearly all vehicles and a temporary production halt, the market for used Tesla Cybertrucks is thriving. Listings on major car-buying sites have surged, reflecting robust demand for...

'Extreme Rally' Predicted in Crypto by Top Trader for 2024

As the financial world braces for an extreme rally, top traders, including analyst Henrik Zeberg, forecast a booming phase for the cryptocurrency sector. With US stocks expected to peak later this year, Zebergs...
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