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FxWirePro: Bid 1m risk reversals and IV skews to hedge USD/EUR/CHF ahead of Swiss and European central bank

Mar 08, 2018 11:55 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

So what is happening with the euro? There has been relatively little news on the European currency over the past weeks. This is partially due to the fact that the FX market is currently focussing on the protectionist...

Moody's: ECB's changes to covered bond haircuts will increase CPT issuers' repo funding costs

Mar 08, 2018 08:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Changes to the haircuts that the European Central Bank (ECB) applies to covered bonds posted by their issuers as collateral in repo transactions will increase the cost of repo funding for issuers of conditional...

FxWirePro: EUR/GBP OTC setup indicates diagonal options straps as better hedging vehicle ahead of ECB

Mar 08, 2018 08:25 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

As the ECB edges towards normalization, an undervalued euro has room to rise further, we could foresee bullish scenarios for euro, given that the ECB changes guidance today, heralding an end to QE in Sept and hikes by...

FxWirePro: Relative values construction in euro crosses discounting ECB, NAFTA and oil risk premiums

Mar 08, 2018 07:05 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

As the ECB edges towards normalization, an undervalued euro has room to rise further, but lets not isolate the factor, instead glance through below driving forces of euros: Bullish euro scenarios: 1) The ECB changes...

FxWirePro: EUR/GBP IVs least among G7 FX space, long-term hedging of Brexit and ECB risks appear to be cheaper

Mar 08, 2018 06:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Brexit negotiations about the transition phase from March 2019 to the end of 2020 are ongoing. The negotiating partners have set a tight deadline until the end of March. That deadline might lapse without result. The...

FxWirePro: Updates on EM central banks and EMFX trading perspectives

Mar 07, 2018 12:15 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

We have had two central bank meetings in CEE today: Poland and Turkey. The benchmark interest rate in Poland was last recorded at 1.50%. The NBP had to pass without incident, with rates and guidance left unchanged....

FxWirePro: FX hedgers’ mounting sentiments on bearish risks of CAD as BoC unlikely to act ahead of this meeting on NAFTA development

Mar 07, 2018 11:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Bank of Canada (BoC) would likely take a break in its hiking cycle today. The concerns surrounding the NAFTA negotiations are too great, especially after the saber-rattling in the USA has increased massively...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Why is the London Stock Exchange losing out to the US

London Stock Exchange (LSE), which can trace its heritage to the coffee houses of the 17th century, is failing. The volume of shares traded is sharply declining, and some UK companies are swiftly moving to the US...

Why Germany ditched nuclear before coal – and why it won’t go back

One year ago, Germany took its last three nuclear power stations offline. When it comes to energy, few events have baffled outsiders more. In the face of climate change, calls to expedite the transition away from fossil...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Joe Biden Proposes Record 44.6% Capital Gains Tax in Latest Budget Plan That May Favor Cryptocurrencies

President Joe Biden has proposed raising the capital gains tax to an unprecedented 44.6% in a bold fiscal move, targeting the wealthiest Americans. This hike is part of his 2025 budget proposal to reduce income...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

KT Innovates Media, Content Business Through AI

KT Group is transforming its media and content business through artificial intelligence (AI). The company is innovating the mentioned units as part of its acceleration strategy. According to Yonhap News Agency, KT said...

Musk Engages China: Baidu’s Data Deal and High-Stakes Hotel Meet with CATL

Tesla CEO Elon Musk is making headlines with a double play in China: securing critical navigation data from Baidu and engaging in strategic talks with CATL. These moves underline Teslas push to lead in global tech and...

Elon Musk Injects $10 Billion Into Tesla AI, Eyes Autonomous Robotaxi

Elon Musk has declared a monumental $10 billion investment in Teslas artificial intelligence, setting the stage for advanced autonomous driving and a potential Robotaxi service. Tesla to Invest $10 Billion in AI for...

OpenAI and Worldcoin Eye Strategic Partnership Amid Regulatory Gaze

Amid escalating regulatory scrutiny, OpenAI, led by Sam Altman, is reportedly discussing a potential partnership with Worldcoin, another venture Altman co-founded. As detailed by Bloomberg, these talks could lead to...

Traders Forecast Best Altseason Since 2017 as Bitcoin Momentum Cools

As Bitcoin stabilizes above $64,000, traders forecast a burgeoning altcoin market that may mirror the explosive growth last seen in 2017. Bitcoin Rebounds Over Weekend, Traders Anticipate Potential Altcoin...