
FxWirePro: Overpriced 1w IVs, interest rates differentials keep NZD/USD call writers on upper hand
Sep 14, 2016 07:00 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
1w implied volatilities are flashing at 12.61%, while ATM calls of this time frame are priced at 15.38% more than Net Present Value. Hence, these call options are deemed as overpriced in prevailing bearish...
Eager for some good economic news? New Census report has you covered
Sep 14, 2016 00:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy
Each year in September, the U.S. Census Bureau releases a report showing how income and poverty have changed over time. The most recent report, which came out on Sept. 13, was filled with great news. Compared with the...

FxWirePro: Risk reversal trades seem attractive in USD/KRW
Sep 13, 2016 13:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
The KRW has rallied significantly in the past three months; typically this would mean sharply lower implied vol and skew. KRW implied vol (1m to 1y) is in the upper half of the 5-year range whereas 25d risk reversals...

Sep 13, 2016 13:15 pm UTC| Insights & Views
Crude prices extend losses Tuesday on thebearish report by IEA. In its September report, the IEA noted a slowdown in demand. As a result, the market is likely to remain oversupplied next year. Its 2016 forecast for...

A glimpse on US elections, 3m FX HVs and IVs
Sep 13, 2016 12:53 pm UTC| Insights & Views Research & Analysis
The US polls currently give Clinton a 2-5 point advantage over Trump. Polls also highlight a near-record lack of trust in government, which increases the risk of a surprise anti-establishment vote. In the floating...

Upbeat Chinese data dump lowers downside risk for Q3 GDP
Sep 13, 2016 11:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy
Chinas economy picked up steam in August, as demand rebounded on higher government spending and a year-long credit and property boom. Chinas August activity data which came in stronger than expected, following a set of...

FxWirePro: MXN cheap valuation versus crude oil, US polls and 1m-3m ATM tenors
Sep 13, 2016 08:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
The MXN is around two standard deviations cheap versus oil prices as you can observe in the above chart (based on a weekly regression of FX and oil prices since 2014), while the rest of G10 and EM oil-driven currencies are...