
UK August Labour Report: Mixed messages
Oct 15, 2015 00:50 am UTC| Commentary
The UK labour market report released today was somewhat mixed. On the one hand the unemployment rate (3M average) declined to 5.4% in August from 5.5% in July (consensus: 5.5%). On the other hand wage growth, in terms of...
Australia's inflationary expectations to remain well below their long run average
Oct 15, 2015 00:20 am UTC| Commentary
The Melbourne Institute (MI) Inflationary Expectations are reported as a 30% symmetric trimmed mean utilising all responses except for the dont know responses. Compared to the previous old trimmed mean, this adds 2ppt to...

Poland CPI to have decreased slightly in September
Oct 15, 2015 00:10 am UTC| Commentary
A monthly increase in food prices (partly an effect of the drought) was neutralized by a decrease in transport prices (fuel prices dropped on the back of the low Brent oil price) and a gas price cut as of 1 September."We...
Poor US retail sales report casts a shadow on domestic spending momentum
Oct 14, 2015 23:50 pm UTC| Commentary
Retail sales rose 0.1% M/M in September, below market expectations for 0.2%. Augusts figure was downwardly-revised from 0.2% to 0.0%. Strong sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers (+1.7%) were offset by lower sales at...

BoK to remain neutral despite likely downward revision of GDP forecast
Oct 14, 2015 23:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The Bank of Korea (BoK) is expected to hold its policy rate at 1.50% at its October MPC meeting. The BoK will maintain its recent neutral stance despite sustained concerns on the global economic outlook, and especially the...
New Zealand Q3 CPI is out tonight/early Friday
Oct 14, 2015 23:18 pm UTC| Commentary
New Zealand Q3 CPI is out tonight/early Friday. The fall in NZD should see enough upward pressure on prices of tradable items for headline inflation post a modest 0.2%q/q rise in the quarter, although base effects would...
Unadjusted US CPI-U likely also dipped in September
Oct 14, 2015 22:57 pm UTC| Commentary
Analysis suggests that before seasonal adjustment the CPI-U fell by 0.2% to 237.767 last month - the lowest reading since April. Looking ahead, underlying consumer prices for goods and services generally soften during the...