US October Beige Book suggests high greenback weighing on manufacturing and tourism
Oct 14, 2015 22:38 pm UTC| Commentary
The most recent Beige Book, for the survey period between mid-August and early-October, indicates that economic activity increased at a modest (half of Districts) or moderate (quarter of Districts) pace in most of the...
US industrial production likely to contract in September
Oct 14, 2015 22:04 pm UTC| Commentary
Reduced mining activity, combined with broad-based cutbacks in factory output, likely pared the Federal Reserve Boards industrial production gauge by 0.3% in September, after a 0.4% decline in the previous month....
Energy costs expected to leave US CPI lower in September
Oct 14, 2015 21:53 pm UTC| Commentary
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) survey of consumer prices in September will provide an update on retail inflation as policymakers prepare for the October 27-28 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Trimmed yet...
Brazil's labour market deterioration adds to balance sheet worries
Oct 14, 2015 21:26 pm UTC| Commentary
Brazils August retail sales and labour market data were worse than expected and point to further downside to the Q3 and 2015 growth forecasts. Labour market deterioration is still in its early stages and is emerging as the...
Implications for US PCE chain-weighted price measures
Oct 14, 2015 21:06 pm UTC| Commentary
While market participants focus more on the BLS CPI report than the late-month release of chain-weighted personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation measures, monetary policymakers couch their inflation objectives in...

Higher gasoline and airline fares to give a lift to US CPI in October
Oct 14, 2015 20:51 pm UTC| Commentary
Data compiled by the Energy Information Administration indicate that gasoline pump prices have averaged $2.425/gallon nationwide during the first 12 days of October, down 1.5% from the $2.462/gallon mean posted in...

Brazil's labour market deterioration means further downside for consumption and growth
Oct 14, 2015 20:38 pm UTC| Commentary
Over the past year, Brazils unemployment rate has risen by 2.6pp to 7.6%. The recent pace of deterioration in the labour market was slightly greater than expected despite having accounted for the contraction of the macro...