Currency War Series

Russia's CBR rate cuts likely delayed to March 2016

Jan 08, 2016 16:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Russias inflation is edging lower on account of base effects, but the inflation trend is nowhere near the CBR target of 4%. The CBR will likely remains on hold at its next MPC meeting on 31 January, but as base effects...

Renminbi Series

Currency War Series

PBoC unlikely to have specific target levels for USD/CNY or USD/CNH

Jan 08, 2016 15:42 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The PBoC has been guiding the Yuan lower for the past nine days. There is definitely no basis for the RMB to devalue continuously and going forward the RMB exchange rate regime will continue to be based on market supply...

Currency War Series

Nordic central banks to continue with low interest rates regime

Jan 08, 2016 14:33 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Just as there are differences in their economic outlooks, interest-rate projections also vary across the Nordic countries. Denmark appears to be on track for a minor unilateral rate hike from its central bank (Danmarks...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

G10 FX high correlation to policy divergence makes policy setting difficult for central bankers

Jan 08, 2016 10:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Since 2012, FX sensitivity to policy viz. a viz. interest rate expectations divergence has made it extremely tough for central bankers to conduct monetary policies. BOJ QQE - In 2012, Bank of launched its massive...

Currency War Series

Has ECB lost its power to reengineer Euro lower?

Jan 08, 2016 09:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Once again key determinant for Euros movement will be monetary policy divergence and for that European Central Bank (ECB) remains as key player. However ECB might have lost some of its power to reengineer Euro...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Is RBNZ easing season over? Capitalize on NZD/JPY abrupt rallies to deploy shorts in put ladder for hedging

Jan 08, 2016 07:06 am UTC| Technicals Central Banks

Reading between the lines: The RBNZ may have cut rates early in December but it also hinted the easing cycle may be over and that turned what ordinarily would be a currency negative event (a 25bps cut that was only 60%...

What to expect from RBA in February policy meeting

Jan 08, 2016 04:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Traders are shifting their attention towards RBA monetary policy meeting coming in February and making assumption either RBR cut the interest rate or not. Two major economic data for the coming days will be employment as...