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FxWirePro: Spotlight on Antipodeans and APAC macros and trade radar

Aug 07, 2018 07:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The NZD drifted lower overnight and is sitting near support levels against both the USD and AUD. At this months RBNZ OCR announcement, the central bank kept the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. The RBNZ retained full...

RBA rate decision preview

Aug 07, 2018 04:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its monetary policy decisions today at 4:30 GMT. Economy at a glance The economy is growing at 3.1 percent y/y as of Q1 2018 compared to 4.3 percent in early 2012....

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Aug 06, 2018 13:17 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In terms of volatility risks, this week is extremely heavy and the week belongs to the central bankers. What to watch for over the coming days: Central Banks: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce...

FxWirePro: Short Antipodeans through optionality ahead of RBA

Aug 06, 2018 10:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

We forecast AUD to decline to USD0.72 by 3Q18. RBA commentary this year continues to reinforce Australias policy divergence with the G10, but the central bank now seems more comfortable with the level of AUD. We expect...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD theta shorts on its functionality as underlying goes in range, uphold delta longs for optimized hedge ahead of RBA

Aug 06, 2018 08:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Bearish AUDUSD scenarios below 0.72 given: 1) the unemployment rate moves back towards 5.75%, raising the spectre of RBA rate cuts; 2) the Fed responds to firm labour market outcomes and above-trend growth by delivering a...

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Aug 06, 2018 05:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

FxWirePro: Is Bank of Japan struggling to keep yields low?

Aug 03, 2018 13:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The central bank of Japan has been very active in the bond market lately, largely to prevent the volatility to rise excessively as it nears the time to reverse its extra-ordinary easy monetary policies, which has been in...

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Economy

China vs U.S. AI Race Shifts Toward Robotics and Manufacturing Power in 2026

The global competition for artificial intelligence dominance is no longer driven solely by computing power and advanced chips. A new Alpine Macro report released on May 12, 2026, argues that industrial scale, manufacturing...

Sterling Slides as UK Political Uncertainty Sparks Market Volatility

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Fed Rate Hike Fears Return as Inflation Risks Reshape Global Market Sentiment

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Samsung Strike Talks Resume as South Korea Weighs Emergency Action

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Australia Capital Gains Tax Reform Sparks Housing Market Debate

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Politics

Russia Downs Hundreds of Ukrainian Drones in Largest Moscow Attack in Over a Year

Russia reported one of the largest Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions in more than a year, leaving at least four people dead and several others injured. The large-scale overnight assault targeted...

Colombia Election Violence: Two Campaign Workers for Abelardo De La Espriella Killed Ahead of Presidential Vote

Political violence in Colombia has intensified after two campaign workers supporting right-wing presidential candidate Abelardo De La Espriella were killed just weeks before the countrys 2026 presidential election. The...

Alex Saab Deported to U.S. as Maduro Investigation Deepens

Venezuelan official Alex Saab, a close ally of former President Nicolas Maduro, has reportedly been deported to the United States, according to Venezuelas migration agency SAIME. The move marks another major development in...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Remain Key to Regional Stability

Taiwan reaffirmed on Saturday that U.S. arms sales remain vital to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region after President Donald Trump said he had not yet decided whether to approve a new weapons...

Amazon Faces Class-Action Lawsuit Over Trump Tariff Price Hikes

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is facing a proposed class-action lawsuit after consumers accused the company of inflating product prices due to tariffs later ruled unlawful by the U.S. Supreme Court. The case, filed in...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Samsung Union Talks Enter Final Stage as Strike Threat Looms

Samsung Electronics and its largest labor union are set to resume critical wage negotiations on Monday as both sides race to prevent a major strike that could disrupt South Koreas economy and global semiconductor supply...

SpaceX Shareholders Approve 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Potential IPO

A majority of SpaceX shareholders have reportedly approved a 5-for-1 stock split proposed by the companys board, according to a Bloomberg News report published Friday. The decision comes as interest continues to grow...

FTC Antitrust Probe Targets Arm Holdings Over Chip Licensing Practices

Arm Holdings Plc (NASDAQ: ARM) is reportedly under formal investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) over concerns tied to its semiconductor licensing business, according to Bloomberg. The probe marks a...

Applied Materials Forecasts Strong Q3 Revenue as AI Chip Demand Accelerates

Applied Materials posted record fiscal second-quarter revenue on Thursday and issued a stronger-than-expected forecast for the third quarter, fueled by rising global investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and...

Anthropic Nears $30 Billion Funding Round at $900 Billion Valuation

AI startup Anthropic is reportedly close to securing a massive $30 billion fundraising deal that would value the company at approximately $900 billion, according to a Financial Times report published Friday. The new...
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