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FOMC Monetary Policy September 2018: Assessing future bias from statement and projection materials

Sep 27, 2018 05:44 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As expected, the policymakers at FOMC hiked interest rates by 25 basis points at yesterdays meeting. Current Federal funds rate target 200-225 basis points. Lets first assess the bias in monetary policy statement...

FxWirePro: HKD retraces more than 50% Fibos as HIBOR lower than LIBOR - Shorts in 3m USDHKD forwards, holding IRS receiver still alluring

Sep 26, 2018 14:11 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

USDHKD has tumbled sharply below 21-EMAs, the bears have retraced more than 50% Fibonacci retracements of 2015 lows and 2018 highs but managed to pare the losses as currently trading at 7.8106 levels. While HKMA is...

FxWirePro: What drives peaked EMFX vols? A glimpse at global trade developments, valuations and VXY

Sep 26, 2018 13:50 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

EM central banks, namely BSP and BI, are predicted to shadow FOMCs imminent hike, although the main reasons for their expected actions are currently divergent, with the former mostly addressing soaring inflation, while the...

FxWirePro: What to watch in FOMC meet ahead?

Sep 26, 2018 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The U.S. Federal Reserve is in a hawkish mode. Since December 2015, the U.S. Federal Reserve has hiked rates seven times. It has hiked rates twice this year in unanimous voting and forecasted two more hikes over the...

FxWirePro: Three FX derivatives perspective – Trios to tackle low-delta, US-China trade conflict and delta-hedge ahead of FED

Sep 26, 2018 11:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Last week ended 19thSeptember saw global inflows to both equities and bonds, underscoringmarket-watchers indifference to the ongoing US-China trade barbs.The recent headline economic-related indicators post 24thSeptember,...

Federal Reserve likely to set target rate at 2.00-2.25 pct range; new policy signals unlikely: Danske Bank

Sep 26, 2018 08:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Federal Reserve is expected to hike the target range to 2.00-2.25 percent, but not send any new policy signals, according to the latest research report from Danske Bank. With respect to Fed projections, it will most...

FxWirePro: Day of FED and RBNZ – NZD/USD valuations, projections and hedging perspectives

Sep 26, 2018 08:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Todays prime focus is on the US FED and RBNZs monetary policy announcements. The US dollar should strengthen further if the Fed hints on further hikes this year, and that will nudge Kiwis dollar lower. While the RBNZ took...

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Economy

Barclays Warns U.S. Stock Rally May Be Detached From Fundamentals

U.S. equities have delivered strong gains in 2026, but Barclays analysts warn that the stock market rally may be increasingly disconnected from underlying fundamentals as investors continue chasing higher prices. The SP...

Gold Prices Rise as Weak US Retail Sales Cut Fed Rate Hike Bets

Gold prices edged higher on Friday and headed for a weekly gain as weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales further reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $4,374.30...

S&P 500 Retreats From Record High as AI Stocks Slide, Retail Sales Disappoint

The SP 500 closed lower on Friday, retreating from its latest record high as weakness in AI-related stocks and disappointing U.S. retail sales weighed on investor sentiment. The SP 500 fell 0.17% to 7,785.76, while the...

Trump Imposes New Tariffs on Drone Imports Over US Security Concerns

President Donald Trump has announced new tariffs on imported drones and drone components, citing national security concerns and the United States heavy dependence on foreign suppliers. Under a proclamation signed by Trump,...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Near Standstill After New Vessel Attacks

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed to a near standstill on Friday after two more vessels were attacked, while the United States signaled it could maintain its naval blockade of Iran indefinitely. The disruption...

Politics

US Admiral Visits USS Abraham Lincoln as Carrier Prepares to End Deployment

The US admiral overseeing military operations involving Iran visited the USS Abraham Lincoln on Saturday as the aircraft carrier prepared to return home after a demanding nine-month deployment, according to a report by the...

AMLO’s Son Says U.S. Revoked His Visa

Andres Manuel Lopez Beltran, the son of former Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, said the United States has revoked his visa in what he described as a politically motivated decision. Lopez Beltran, widely...

DNC Makes South Carolina First in 2028 Democratic Primaries

The Democratic National Committee has officially selected South Carolina as the first state to vote in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries, cementing a new nominating calendar designed to reflect the partys diverse...

Israeli Troops Enter Qusra Homes as Settler Siege Intensifies

Israeli troops took up positions inside Palestinian homes in the occupied West Bank village of Qusra on Thursday, according to local officials and residents, as a settler siege that has trapped several Palestinian families...

U.S. Pressures Nations to Choose Sides in AI Race

The United States is preparing to pressure dozens of countries to choose between joining a U.S.-led artificial intelligence alliance or supporting Chinas competing AI framework, according to a U.S. official and an internal...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Alphabet Shifts AI Strategy Toward Commercial Growth, Goldman Sachs Says

Alphabet is increasingly shifting its artificial intelligence strategy toward commercialization, scale and long-term revenue growth, according to Goldman Sachs analysts. The investment bank said recent management changes,...

Nvidia Eyes $3 Billion Investment in SoftBank-Backed AI Data Center

Nvidia is reportedly in discussions to invest up to $3 billion in SB Energy, a SoftBank Group-backed company developing a major AI data center campus in Ohio for OpenAI. According to a report by The Information, the...

Alphabet’s SpaceX Investment Soars 100-Fold to $94 Billion

Alphabets early investment in SpaceX has delivered extraordinary returns, with the Google parents stake valued at roughly $94.2 billion at the end of June. The company originally invested $900 million in Elon Musks rocket...

Stripe, Advent Reportedly Pursue $53 Billion PayPal Takeover

Stripe and private equity firm Advent International reportedly offered to acquire PayPal for $60.50 per share in July, valuing the payments company at roughly $53 billion. PayPal rejected the proposal as too low, but...

J.P. Morgan Upgrades SanDisk, Sets $2,250 Price Target on AI NAND Growth

J.P. Morgan upgraded SanDisk to Overweight from Not Rated and set a December 2027 price target of $2,250, citing stronger long-term growth prospects following the flash memory companys 2026 Investor Day in New York....
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