Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings
Jul 23, 2018 08:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Jul 23, 2018 06:25 am UTC| Technicals Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks
EURGBP bulls seem to be on upper hand as the current prices are nudged above channel resistance and with momentum still in bull mode there is room to test the next resistance region between 0.8895 and 0.8925...
South African Reserve Bank likely to hike rate only once in 2018 and 2019
Jul 20, 2018 17:01 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The South African rand depreciated yesterday morning in line with other EM currencies due to appreciation of the US dollar. The rate decision and press statement of the South African central bank were not able to give any...
South African Reserve Bank likely to hike rate only once in 2018 and 2019
Jul 20, 2018 17:01 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The South African rand depreciated yesterday morning in line with other EM currencies due to appreciation of the US dollar. The rate decision and press statement of the South African central bank were not able to give any...
FxWirePro: Scale up shorts in Antipodeans via relative optionality trades
Jul 20, 2018 12:59 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks
Never miss the point that US dollar should strengthen further if the Fed hikes further this year, and that will push NZDUSD lower. In addition, the NZ-US interest rate advantage has been eroded, removing one of the...

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USDJPY vs. 2-year yield spread
Jul 20, 2018 11:42 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The above chart shows the relation between the 2-year bond spread (U.S. - Japan) and USD/JPY exchange rate. Brief background (2012-2016): This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as...

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USDJPY vs. 2-year yield spread
Jul 20, 2018 11:42 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The above chart shows the relation between the 2-year bond spread (U.S. - Japan) and USD/JPY exchange rate. Brief background (2012-2016): This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as...
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