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Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

May 20, 2019 07:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC followed through its promise and hiked rates four times in 2018 and forecasted two more rate hikes for 2019. Current Federal funds rate - 225-250 bps (Note, all calculations are based on data as of 13th...

Bank Indonesia likely to be patient and make its move only in the second half of this year, says ANZ Research

May 20, 2019 07:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Bank Indonesia (BI) is expected to be patient and make its move only in the second half of this year, after unsurprisingly keeping its 7-day reverse repo rate unchanged at 6.00 percent at its monetary policy meeting, held...

FxWirePro: A quick glance through Aussie rates derivatives strategies on RBA cut bids

May 17, 2019 09:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Following the very weak Q1 CPI release of Australia, the market has re-calibrated its RBA expectations and pushed 3yr swap rates to new record lows quicker than even we had expected under our expectation that the RBA would...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC updates and hedging vehicles ahead of federal elections and lingering hopes of RBA cuts

May 17, 2019 06:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

If history is likely to repeat, the Federal election in Australia could deliver a short term boost to Aussie dollar, but less so if the ALP is victorious. We find that on average, AUDUSD typically rallies 2c in the weeks...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC updates and hedging vehicles ahead of federal elections and lingering hopes of RBA cuts

May 17, 2019 06:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

If history is likely to repeat, the Federal election in Australia could deliver a short term boost to Aussie dollar, but less so if the ALP is victorious. We find that on average, AUDUSD typically rallies 2c in the weeks...

FxWirePro: Spotlight on Banxico – Technicals and Options Markets Still Signal Vulnerable Mexican Peso

May 16, 2019 14:27 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Technicals

The Mexican central bank (Banxico) should again leave its key rate unchanged at 8.25% at tonights meeting. Due to weak growth and lower inflation rates, some expect Banxico to cut interest rates this year. But it is much...

FxWirePro: Aussie dollar wedged amid mixed bag of data news but bears delve for bearish hedging bets

May 16, 2019 10:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Despite local data continuing to out-perform relative to the global data flow (refer 1stchart), AUDUSD has under-performed of late, kept in check by a slow-burning negative domestic narrative, a re-escalation of trade war...

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Economy

Oil Prices Surge Above $109 as Strait of Hormuz Crisis and U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate

Global oil prices soared Friday, posting strong weekly gains as tensions between the United States and Iran continued to intensify and the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed, fueling fears of a prolonged global...

Gold Prices Post Worst Weekly Drop Since March as Strong Dollar and Fed Rate Hike Bets Pressure Metals

Gold prices tumbled sharply on Friday, recording their biggest weekly decline since mid-March as a stronger U.S. dollar and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes weighed heavily on the precious metals market....

Powell Named Fed Chair Pro Tempore as Trump Prepares to Install Kevin Warsh

The Federal Reserve Board announced Friday that Jerome Powell will serve as chair pro tempore until Kevin Warsh is officially sworn in as the next leader of the U.S. central bank. The move comes as President Donald Trump...

Dollar Surges as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Grow Amid Inflation and Global Bond Sell-Off

The U.S. dollar extended its rally for a fifth consecutive session on Friday, posting its strongest weekly performance in more than nine months as investors increased expectations for further Federal Reserve interest rate...

UK Stocks Slide as Labour Leadership Tensions and U.S.-China Talks Shape Markets

British stocks closed lower on Friday as political uncertainty surrounding the U.K.s ruling Labour Party pressured investor sentiment and weakened the pound for a fourth straight session. The FTSE 100 dropped 0.61%, while...

Politics

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Remain Key to Regional Stability

Taiwan reaffirmed on Saturday that U.S. arms sales remain vital to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region after President Donald Trump said he had not yet decided whether to approve a new weapons...

Amazon Faces Class-Action Lawsuit Over Trump Tariff Price Hikes

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is facing a proposed class-action lawsuit after consumers accused the company of inflating product prices due to tariffs later ruled unlawful by the U.S. Supreme Court. The case, filed in...

Alberta Separatist Movement Faces Major Legal Setback Ahead of Referendum Push

Albertas separatist movement has suffered a significant blow after a provincial court ruled against a petition campaign seeking a referendum on Alberta independence from Canada. The decision creates new uncertainty for...

ICC Arrest Drama Deepens as Philippine Senator Bato Dela Rosa Escapes Amid Senate Gunfire

Philippine politics plunged deeper into turmoil after Senator Ronald Bato Dela Rosa reportedly escaped authorities following a dramatic confrontation involving gunfire inside the Senate complex in Manila. The controversial...

Ukraine Begins Major POW Swap as 205 Soldiers Return from Russian Captivity

Ukraine has successfully brought home 205 service personnel from Russian captivity in the first phase of a large-scale prisoner exchange with Russia, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy confirmed on Friday. The operation marks a...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

SpaceX Shareholders Approve 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Potential IPO

A majority of SpaceX shareholders have reportedly approved a 5-for-1 stock split proposed by the companys board, according to a Bloomberg News report published Friday. The decision comes as interest continues to grow...

FTC Antitrust Probe Targets Arm Holdings Over Chip Licensing Practices

Arm Holdings Plc (NASDAQ: ARM) is reportedly under formal investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) over concerns tied to its semiconductor licensing business, according to Bloomberg. The probe marks a...

Applied Materials Forecasts Strong Q3 Revenue as AI Chip Demand Accelerates

Applied Materials posted record fiscal second-quarter revenue on Thursday and issued a stronger-than-expected forecast for the third quarter, fueled by rising global investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and...

Anthropic Nears $30 Billion Funding Round at $900 Billion Valuation

AI startup Anthropic is reportedly close to securing a massive $30 billion fundraising deal that would value the company at approximately $900 billion, according to a Financial Times report published Friday. The new...

Nvidia’s China AI Chip Sales Remain Frozen Despite U.S. Approval

Nvidias efforts to expand AI chip sales in China remain stalled even after the U.S. approved several Chinese technology giants to purchase the companys H200 processors. Although around 10 Chinese firms, including Alibaba,...
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