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Global Reflation Series

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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

FxWirePro: Pound may end its longest consecutive rise in 10 months

Mar 08, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary

Short covering, broad based weakness in Dollar and risk affinity that has so far boosted GBP/USD, may lose its steam going ahead. Todays release of weaker than expected trade balance and worst slump in Chinas exports...

Global Reflation Series

Bearish outlook for Gilts in 2016

Feb 18, 2016 11:29 am UTC| Insights & Views

At European leaders meeting on February 18th and 19th, there is scope for an agreement to be reached over the renegotiated terms of Britains EU membership, clearing the way for a referendum in June. If the UK were to...

Global Reflation Series

Any supply/demand mismatch effect of ECB's QE expansion likely to come beforehand

Oct 09, 2015 05:37 am UTC| Commentary

The impact of ECB making the existing QE programme more expansive on Bund yields, should be through the reflationary effect, especially if risky asset and oil prices stabilise/move higher and this should put upward...

Global Reflation Series

Japan needs expansion of nominal GDP through reflationary policies

Sep 29, 2015 04:40 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The original goal of Abenomics was to expand nominal GDP through reflationary policies, as it perceived shrinking nominal GDP to be the largest problem facing the Japanese economy. This policy is leading Japan in the right...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's Q3 GDP growth likely positive, economic sentiment firm but real economy and inflation weak

Aug 18, 2015 11:36 am UTC| Insights & Views

Japans economy contracted by 0.4% Q/Q in Q2 in "real" or inflation-adjusted terms, while on annual terms it fell 1.6 per cent, less than the 2.2 per cent fall expected, data released on Monday showed. While the drop was...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's economy likely at start of full scale reflation

Aug 17, 2015 05:18 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Due to the fall in oil prices, Japans CPI has stalled, while wages have been increasing since the start of the new fiscal year in April. As a result, real household income is recovering and consumer sentiment is now...

Global Reflation Series

Disinflation still remains rampant across Euro zone

Jul 16, 2015 10:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

In spite of European Central Banks (ECB) sincerest efforts disinflation and threat of deflation still remains rampant across Euro zone, which is hiding behind headline positive inflation report. In June European monetary...

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Economy

Mexico-US Trade Talks Delayed to October as Tariff Negotiations Continue

The fourth round of Mexico-US trade talks is unlikely to take place next week and could be postponed until October as both countries navigate a busy diplomatic schedule, according to a senior Mexican trade official. Luis...

Australia Unemployment Hits Five-Year High Despite Strong Jobs Growth

Australias labour market delivered mixed signals in August as employment growth comfortably exceeded expectations, while the unemployment rate climbed to its highest level in nearly five years amid increased participation...

Asian Stocks Fall as Bond Yields Surge Ahead of Trump-Xi Summit

Asian stocks mostly declined on Thursday as surging global bond yields weighed on risk appetite, while investors awaited a closely watched meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping....

Gold Prices Fall as Treasury Yields Rise on Fed Rate Hike Bets

Gold prices edged lower on Thursday, extending pressure from the previous session as rising Treasury yields, stronger oil prices and a firm U.S. dollar fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve may continue raising...

Asian Currencies Mixed as Dollar Holds Near Two-Month High

Asian currencies traded mixed on Thursday as the U.S. dollar hovered near a two-month high, supported by stronger U.S. economic data, renewed inflation concerns and growing expectations for another Federal Reserve rate...

Politics

OpenAI Agent Breaches Australia Medicare Data Portal

An OpenAI artificial intelligence agent gained unauthorized access to an Australian government Medicare statistics portal, prompting a federal investigation and renewed concerns about the cybersecurity risks posed by...

Taiwan Thanks US for Support Ahead of Trump-Xi Summit

Taiwans government on Thursday expressed gratitude for continued US support and said it remains in close communication with Washington as President Donald Trump prepares to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in the US...

Netanyahu Takes Aim at Mamdani as Israel Election Nears

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to use his United Nations address on Thursday to criticize New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, as the Israeli leader faces international pressure and a closely watched...

Russian Missile and Drone Attack on Kyiv Kills Two, Damages Maternity Hospital

Russia launched a major missile and drone attack on Kyiv early Thursday, killing two people and damaging residential buildings, medical facilities and other infrastructure across the Ukrainian capital, according to...

Judge Orders Trump to Restore White House Access for CNN, MS NOW and Politico

A federal judge on Thursday ordered President Donald Trumps administration to temporarily restore White House press access for journalists from CNN, MS NOW and Politico, ruling that the administrations ban on the three...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Tencent Launches TenPayGo Payment App for Foreign Tourists in China

Tencent has launched TenPayGo, a new mobile payment app designed to make digital transactions easier for international travelers visiting China, as the technology giant looks to benefit from growing inbound tourism ahead...

China’s ‘Lipstick King’ Says AI Won’t Replace Livestream Hosts

Chinas livestream shopping industry is entering a slower phase, but Li Jiaqi, the influential presenter known as the Lipstick King, believes artificial intelligence will complement rather than replace human hosts. Li, who...

Meta Unveils Muse Charm AI Device, Expands Smart Glasses Lineup

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) unveiled a palm-sized device designed specifically for its Muse artificial intelligence agent on Wednesday, alongside an expanded lineup of smart glasses and new AI capabilities. CEO Mark...

SoftBank Raises $11.1 Billion in Bond Sale to Fund OpenAI Investment

SoftBank Group has raised $11.1 billion through a major dollar- and euro-denominated bond offering as the Japanese technology investment giant builds up cash to finance its expanding artificial intelligence investments,...

Meta Connect Spotlights Camera-Free Smart Glasses Amid Privacy Concerns

Meta Platforms opened its annual Connect conference on Wednesday, with the technology giant expected to introduce new smart glasses as it seeks to expand its lead in AI-powered wearable devices while addressing mounting...