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Global Reflation Series

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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

FxWirePro: Pound may end its longest consecutive rise in 10 months

Mar 08, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary

Short covering, broad based weakness in Dollar and risk affinity that has so far boosted GBP/USD, may lose its steam going ahead. Todays release of weaker than expected trade balance and worst slump in Chinas exports...

Global Reflation Series

Bearish outlook for Gilts in 2016

Feb 18, 2016 11:29 am UTC| Insights & Views

At European leaders meeting on February 18th and 19th, there is scope for an agreement to be reached over the renegotiated terms of Britains EU membership, clearing the way for a referendum in June. If the UK were to...

Global Reflation Series

Any supply/demand mismatch effect of ECB's QE expansion likely to come beforehand

Oct 09, 2015 05:37 am UTC| Commentary

The impact of ECB making the existing QE programme more expansive on Bund yields, should be through the reflationary effect, especially if risky asset and oil prices stabilise/move higher and this should put upward...

Global Reflation Series

Japan needs expansion of nominal GDP through reflationary policies

Sep 29, 2015 04:40 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The original goal of Abenomics was to expand nominal GDP through reflationary policies, as it perceived shrinking nominal GDP to be the largest problem facing the Japanese economy. This policy is leading Japan in the right...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's Q3 GDP growth likely positive, economic sentiment firm but real economy and inflation weak

Aug 18, 2015 11:36 am UTC| Insights & Views

Japans economy contracted by 0.4% Q/Q in Q2 in "real" or inflation-adjusted terms, while on annual terms it fell 1.6 per cent, less than the 2.2 per cent fall expected, data released on Monday showed. While the drop was...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's economy likely at start of full scale reflation

Aug 17, 2015 05:18 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Due to the fall in oil prices, Japans CPI has stalled, while wages have been increasing since the start of the new fiscal year in April. As a result, real household income is recovering and consumer sentiment is now...

Global Reflation Series

Disinflation still remains rampant across Euro zone

Jul 16, 2015 10:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

In spite of European Central Banks (ECB) sincerest efforts disinflation and threat of deflation still remains rampant across Euro zone, which is hiding behind headline positive inflation report. In June European monetary...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

SHIB Price Climbs as Shibarium Upgrade Sparks Optimism Among Investors

The Shiba Inu cryptocurrency surged over 4% on April 26, buoyed by executive enthusiasm for the forthcoming Shibarium upgrade to enhance the platforms functionality and security. Shibarium Upgrade Fuels Market Optimism,...

China Investigates Digital Yuan Architect Yao Qian Amid CBDC Concerns

Yao Qian, a pivotal figure behind Chinas digital yuan, is under investigation for alleged misconduct, casting uncertainty on the future of Chinas CBDC initiatives. Probe into Yao Qian Shakes Foundations of Chinas...

Shein Joins Facebook, Amazon in EU Digital Regulations Compliance

Under the EU Digital Regulations, Shein has joined tech giants like Facebook, Amazon, and Google in meeting the strict compliance standards set by the EUs Digital Services Act due to its user base surpassing 45 million in...

Metaplanet Inc. Buys $6.25M in Bitcoin, Pivots to Digital Assets

In a strategic financial maneuver, Metaplanet Inc., a prominent Japanese public company, has invested $6.25 million in Bitcoin, marking its entry into the burgeoning cryptocurrency market. Metaplanet Dives into Crypto,...

Samsung Galaxy S24 FE Details Leak: Model Numbers, Name Uncovered

New leaks disclosing the Galaxy S24 FEs model numbers and official name have contributed to the series anticipation as Samsung advances the devices production. Leak Unveils Samsung Galaxy S24 FE Details Samsungs...