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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Russia's consumption weakness indicates extended recession

Dec 17, 2015 17:25 pm UTC| Commentary

Russian real sector data for November were mixed. The main negative trends were in real retail sales, which declined sharply, and increased unemployment. Positive indications came from slight improvements in industrial...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil labor market deterioration likely to accelerate in November

Dec 17, 2015 09:22 am UTC| Commentary

Unemployment rate in Brazil was deteriorating since the rapid rise in July. In November, the countrys unemployment rate is likely to rise as expected by market consensus to 8.1% from previous months 7.9. If the labor...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Fitch downgrades Brazil to junk

Dec 16, 2015 17:11 pm UTC| Commentary

Fitch downgrades Brazil to junk and maintains a negative outlook. Brazil has now lost its investment grade status by two of the major rating agencies after Standard Poors cut the rating to junk earlier this year. Fitch...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil retail sales likely to indicate persisting drop in Q4 consumption

Dec 16, 2015 07:30 am UTC| Commentary

Brazil retail sales for the month of October is likely to drop to -1.1% mom as expected by the market consensus, while the retail sales year on year are expected to record a decline to -8.3%. There is a sharp rise in...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

South African markets likely to remain on the back foot

Dec 10, 2015 16:33 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

The sell-off in South African markets on Thursday was probably a sign of things to come. The yields on 10-year government bonds rose more than 100bp, to leave them above 10% for the first time since 2008. That added to a...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Indonesia's struggle to end corruption is hitting snag after snag

Dec 09, 2015 13:23 pm UTC| Politics

The people of Indonesia had strong hopes that President Joko Widodo (or Jokowi, as hes known) would tackle Indonesias corruption problem. But over a year into his presidency, a Transparency International report suggests...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

De-leveraging under way for Asia Ex-Japan

Dec 09, 2015 11:55 am UTC| Insights & Views

A turbulent year for emerging markets (EM) may be coming to an end, but on the other hand, prospects for 2016 do not look very appealing either. Most economists expect either a slight recovery in average emerging market...

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Economy

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Politics

US Urges China, Russia to Reject AI Control in Nuclear Arms, Align with Global Norms

Paul Dean, a senior U.S. arms control official, emphasized the critical need for China and Russia to join the U.S. in declaring that humans will always decide on the deployment of nuclear weapons, not artificial...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Technology

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Team Insider Unravels Key Burn Mystery: Exclusive Details

In a revealing discussion, Lucie, a member of the Shiba Inu team, sheds light on the enigmatic key burns orchestrated by the projects founder, Ryoshi. Lucies insights, shared in response to community inquiries, clarify the...

World's Largest Electric Container Ship Sets Sail with 50,000 kWh Battery Power

COSCO Shipping, a Chinese state-owned firm, has unveiled what it calls the worlds largest river-to-sea electric container vessel. The Green Water 01 is a 10,000-ton+ electric vessel that sets a new standard for...

Tesla Drivers Get $4k Off 2024 Chevy Blazer EV; Costco Auto Slashes Prices on New EVs

Tesla owners rejoice as Chevrolet rolls out an unprecedented $4,000 discount on the 2024 Blazer EV, open to Tesla drivers and a quirky list of EV owners. The electric vehicle market got more enticing with incentives...

Tesla Granted South Korean Emission Credit Trading Rights by Environmental Ministry

Ministry of Environments green light for Tesla to trade emission credits in South Korea marks a significant milestone, enabling the electric car giant to tap into a potentially lucrative market. With estimated credits...

US Lawmakers Push SEC for Bitcoin Options Trading Approval

In a bipartisan effort, US Representatives Mike Flood and Wiley Nickel have penned a letter to SEC Chair Gary Gensler, urging swift action in approving options trading for Bitcoin exchange-traded products (ETPs). Amid...