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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Oil and inflation concern for MXN while fiscal slowdown for BRL - forecasts for Latin American pairs

Dec 31, 2015 11:39 am UTC| Insights & Views

USD/MXN: We believe the peso may remain near 17.00 in the near future. Banxicos decision to initiate a rate tightening cycle was not easy. According to the statement, the main driver was to avoid additional currency...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Global economic recovery will continue to disappoint in 2016

Dec 31, 2015 10:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

The U.S. Federal Reserves rate hike showed confidence in the worlds largest economy, but spillover effects from the hike could lead to tighter credit conditions and higher debt servicing costs for emerging markets....

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Additional downgrades for Brazil likely to take place in coming months

Dec 30, 2015 09:26 am UTC| Commentary

Brazil was downgraded by Fitch in mid December, following SP decision in summer. This is second agency to downgrade Brazil to below investment grade. Moodys will follow and also that additional downgrades will take...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will EM-DM growth differential narrow further in 2016?

Dec 29, 2015 11:36 am UTC| Insights & Views

In the aftermath of the 2008-09 global financial crisis, emerging markets had gained the status as saviors of the world economy. But ever since the mid-2013 taper tantrum, the emerging markets have disappointed and there...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will gains in mature economies offset emerging markets gloom in 2016?

Dec 28, 2015 11:34 am UTC| Insights & Views

Feds long-awaited rise in rates from zero showed confidence in the worlds largest economy, but first post-crisis rate hike is an unlikely cure for what ails the rest of the world. With exchange rates dominating the policy...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Banxico’s monetary policy triggers two targets in one go - Mexican inflation under the radar, MXN tames USD bulls

Dec 24, 2015 13:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last weeks the Fondeo rate 25 bps as a pre-emptive hike by Banxico to protect the MXN seems like serving the purpose at least in short run. With inflation running at historical lows and no demand pressures on...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Brazil political turmoil unlikely to cushion BRL, fiscal consolidation to add pressure – stay USD/BRL hedged via CRBS

Dec 24, 2015 11:44 am UTC| Technicals Politics

Parliamentary assembly is in adjournment until February, resulting Brazilian assets a brief halt from the political turmoil, as no traces of any developments in the process of President Rousseffs charges, House Speaker...

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Economy

Copper Prices Hit Record Highs as Metals Rally Gains Momentum on Geopolitical Tensions

Copper prices surged to record levels on Thursday, extending a powerful rally across global metals markets as investors increased exposure to physical assets amid escalating geopolitical risks and ongoing supply concerns....

Indonesian Stocks Plunge as MSCI Downgrade Risk Sparks Investor Exodus

Indonesian stocks suffered a dramatic selloff on Thursday, putting the market on course for its largest two-day decline on record as fears of a potential downgrade to frontier market status rattled investors. The benchmark...

Asian Currencies Trade Flat as Dollar Retreats After Fed Decision

Asian currencies traded in a mostly flat-to-lower range on Thursday, while the U.S. dollar weakened after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and struck an optimistic tone on the U.S. economy. Currency...

Philippine Economy Slows in Late 2025, Raising Expectations of Further Rate Cuts

The Philippine economy posted weaker-than-expected growth in the final quarter of 2025, reinforcing concerns about slowing momentum and increasing speculation over further monetary policy easing by the central bank....

South Korea Industry Minister Heads to Washington Amid U.S. Tariff Hike Concerns

South Koreas Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan is set to visit Washington on Thursday to hold high-level talks with U.S. officials following President Donald Trumps announcement of plans to raise tariffs on South Korean...

Politics

China Reconsiders Pressure on Japan as Prime Minister Takaichi Seeks Strong Election Mandate

China may reassess its escalating pressure campaign on Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi if she secures a decisive victory in Japans February 8 snap election, according to current and former Japanese officials and...

New Zealand Declines Trump’s Board of Peace Invitation, Citing UN Alignment Concerns

New Zealand has decided not to accept an invitation from U.S. President Donald Trump to join his newly launched Board of Peace, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon confirmed in a statement issued on Friday. The decision...

UN Chief Warns Against U.S.-China Power Rivalry, Calls for Multipolar World Order

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that global challenges cannot be solved by a single dominant power or by dividing the world into rival spheres of influence, comments widely seen as directed at the...

U.S. Military Signals Readiness as Trump Weighs Options on Iran’s Nuclear Program

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on Thursday that the United States military stands fully prepared to carry out any decision President Donald Trump makes regarding Iran, underscoring Washingtons determination to...

Canadian PM Mark Carney Urges U.S. to Respect Sovereignty Amid Alberta Separatism Reports

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on Thursday emphasized the importance of respecting Canadas sovereignty after reports emerged suggesting that U.S. officials had met with individuals advocating for Albertas...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Pentagon and Anthropic Clash Over AI Safeguards in National Security Use

Tensions are rising between the U.S. Department of Defense and artificial intelligence developer Anthropic over the future use of advanced AI technologies in military and intelligence operations, according to sources cited...

NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Amazon Eye Massive OpenAI Investment Amid $100B Funding Push

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) are reportedly in discussions to invest as much as $60 billion combined into artificial intelligence powerhouse OpenAI, signaling a major...

Meta Stock Surges After Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Strong Q1 2026 Revenue Outlook Despite Higher Capex

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META) shares jumped sharply in after-hours trading after the company delivered better-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings and issued a strong revenue forecast for the first quarter of 2026, easing...

Samsung Electronics Posts Record Q4 2025 Profit as AI Chip Demand Soars

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (KS:005930) delivered record-breaking revenue and profit in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven largely by booming demand from the artificial intelligence industry for advanced memory chips. The...

Microsoft AI Spending Surge Sparks Investor Jitters Despite Solid Azure Growth

Microsoft rattled investors after reporting record artificial intelligence spending alongside slower-than-expected cloud growth, raising concerns about when its massive AI investments will meaningfully pay off. Following...