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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Oil and inflation concern for MXN while fiscal slowdown for BRL - forecasts for Latin American pairs

Dec 31, 2015 11:39 am UTC| Insights & Views

USD/MXN: We believe the peso may remain near 17.00 in the near future. Banxicos decision to initiate a rate tightening cycle was not easy. According to the statement, the main driver was to avoid additional currency...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Global economic recovery will continue to disappoint in 2016

Dec 31, 2015 10:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

The U.S. Federal Reserves rate hike showed confidence in the worlds largest economy, but spillover effects from the hike could lead to tighter credit conditions and higher debt servicing costs for emerging markets....

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Additional downgrades for Brazil likely to take place in coming months

Dec 30, 2015 09:26 am UTC| Commentary

Brazil was downgraded by Fitch in mid December, following SP decision in summer. This is second agency to downgrade Brazil to below investment grade. Moodys will follow and also that additional downgrades will take...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will EM-DM growth differential narrow further in 2016?

Dec 29, 2015 11:36 am UTC| Insights & Views

In the aftermath of the 2008-09 global financial crisis, emerging markets had gained the status as saviors of the world economy. But ever since the mid-2013 taper tantrum, the emerging markets have disappointed and there...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will gains in mature economies offset emerging markets gloom in 2016?

Dec 28, 2015 11:34 am UTC| Insights & Views

Feds long-awaited rise in rates from zero showed confidence in the worlds largest economy, but first post-crisis rate hike is an unlikely cure for what ails the rest of the world. With exchange rates dominating the policy...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Banxico’s monetary policy triggers two targets in one go - Mexican inflation under the radar, MXN tames USD bulls

Dec 24, 2015 13:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last weeks the Fondeo rate 25 bps as a pre-emptive hike by Banxico to protect the MXN seems like serving the purpose at least in short run. With inflation running at historical lows and no demand pressures on...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Brazil political turmoil unlikely to cushion BRL, fiscal consolidation to add pressure – stay USD/BRL hedged via CRBS

Dec 24, 2015 11:44 am UTC| Technicals Politics

Parliamentary assembly is in adjournment until February, resulting Brazilian assets a brief halt from the political turmoil, as no traces of any developments in the process of President Rousseffs charges, House Speaker...

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Economy

Gold Prices Rise as Oil Slump Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears

Gold prices climbed on Tuesday as a sharp decline in oil prices eased inflation concerns and reduced expectations for additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. A softer U.S. dollar and renewed hopes for diplomacy...

Oil Prices Rise as U.S.-Iran Talks Fuel Diplomacy Hopes

Oil prices moved higher in Asian trading on Tuesday, snapping a four-session losing streak as investors assessed the possibility of renewed U.S.-Iran talks during this weeks United Nations General Assembly in New York....

Vietnam, US Trade Deal Could Be Signed Soon, To Lam Says

Vietnam and the United States have made positive progress in negotiations toward a new trade agreement, with a deal potentially ready to be signed soon, Vietnamese leader To Lam said, according to a government statement...

Canada Unveils Bill to Fast-Track Major Resource Projects

Canada unveiled draft legislation on Monday aimed at accelerating approvals for major natural resource and infrastructure projects, as Prime Minister Mark Carney seeks to strengthen economic growth and reduce the countrys...

Yen Weakens as Dollar Gains on Widening US-Japan Rate Gap

The Japanese yen remained under pressure against a firm U.S. dollar on Tuesday as traders focused on the widening interest rate gap between Japan and other major economies following a hawkish shift among global central...

Politics

Macron, Trump Discuss Ukraine-Russia Energy Strike Moratorium

French President Emmanuel Macron said Monday that he discussed potential measures with U.S. President Donald Trump aimed at securing a moratorium on energy-related attacks between Ukraine and Russia, as diplomatic efforts...

Burnham Eyes UK Leadership Role in AI Ahead of Trump Meeting

British Prime Minister Andy Burnham will push for the UK to take a global leadership role in artificial intelligence on Tuesday as he makes his first major appearance on the international diplomatic stage at the United...

US Plans Two New Military Bases in Greenland Under Arctic Deal

The United States plans to expand its military presence in Greenland by reopening a Cold War-era base in the south and establishing operations at another site on the islands east coast, according to people familiar with a...

US, Denmark and Greenland Set to Sign Arctic Security Deal

Denmark, Greenland and the United States are set to sign a new Greenland security agreement on Tuesday that could expand the US military presence while placing broader Arctic security under NATO oversight. The signing is...

UK, Mauritius Seek Diego Garcia Base Deal

British Prime Minister Andy Burnham has pledged to work with Mauritius and the United States to resolve the dispute surrounding the strategically important Diego Garcia military base in the Indian Ocean. Burnham spoke with...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

US Northeast Airports Resume Operations After Telecom Outage Disrupts Thousands of Flights

US airport operations across the Northeast began returning to normal on Monday after crews repaired telecommunications problems that had disrupted air traffic and contributed to thousands of flight delays and cancellations...

OpenAI Urges US-Led Global Standards for Frontier AI

OpenAI is calling for the United States to lead an international effort to establish technical standards for advanced artificial intelligence, as concerns grow over increasingly capable AI systems and the prospect of...

Meta Partners With Shopify to Bring Shop Pay Checkout to Muse AI

Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced a new partnership with Shopify aimed at bringing agentic shopping and checkout capabilities to Metas recently launched Muse artificial intelligence platform. Zuckerberg said...

SoftBank Launches $11 Billion Bond Sale to Fund OpenAI Investment

SoftBank Group Corp. has launched a major bond offering worth $10 billion and 1 billion to finance its latest investment in OpenAI, according to a term sheet released Monday. The Japanese technology investment group is...

Trump Plans Federal AI Force and AI Czar

U.S. President Donald Trump said Saturday that he plans to create a federal AI Force and appoint an artificial intelligence czar, outlining an effort to accelerate U.S. AI development while using existing laws to address...