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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Disappointing year end data from Brazil carry over into 2016

Jan 12, 2016 22:43 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

Last year ended with unfavourable economic data. Activity indicators continue to post negative prints, surprising on the downside despite being at record lows already. The second year of low growth will remain a hurdle to...

Trade War Series

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Saudi Arabia assures commitment to Dollar peg

Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am UTC| Commentary

Saudi Arabias monetary authority has sent a message to speculators, who have pushing Real forward lower against Dollar, betting lower oil price and growing fiscal imbalance would push Saudi Arabia to with draw from its...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Moody's & ICRA: India's 2016 market outlook depends on consumption, corporate profit and inflation trends

Jan 11, 2016 09:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service expects India (Baa3 positive) to remain among the worlds fastest growing major economies in 2016, but believes market trends this year will depend on whether inflation remains under control and...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Fitch: Leverage, Capital Outflows Constrain Policy Space in EM Asia

Jan 08, 2016 01:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Fitch Ratings says Emerging Asias (EM Asia) private consumption has remained resilient in the face of weaker external demand. However investment has slowed down more substantially, particularly in the private sector. The...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

CBRT’s move towards policy simplification pivotal for TRY in 2016

Jan 07, 2016 15:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Underperformance of the lira continued through 2015, triggered by the lack of response by the CBRT. TRY outlook in 2016 will largely depend on the expected monetary policy simplification and normalisation of interest...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

South Africa's SARB is a robust anchor but may face more acute challenges

Jan 07, 2016 09:33 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The biggest hurdle in front of SARB is lower forex reserve which is just over USD40bn only and ZAR weakness. The weakening of the National Treasury leaves the SARB to lower its interest rates. In general Central...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Slowdown in India’s nominal GDP has caused a stir

Jan 07, 2016 02:59 am UTC| Commentary

Indias Real GDP growth in the first half of FY15/16 (i.e Apr-Sep15) averaged 7.2%, marginally slower than 7.6% in 1H year before. Comparatively nominal growth was down more sharply to 7.4% from 13.5% 1H last year. In the...

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Economy

Copper Prices Hit Record Highs as Metals Rally Gains Momentum on Geopolitical Tensions

Copper prices surged to record levels on Thursday, extending a powerful rally across global metals markets as investors increased exposure to physical assets amid escalating geopolitical risks and ongoing supply concerns....

Indonesian Stocks Plunge as MSCI Downgrade Risk Sparks Investor Exodus

Indonesian stocks suffered a dramatic selloff on Thursday, putting the market on course for its largest two-day decline on record as fears of a potential downgrade to frontier market status rattled investors. The benchmark...

Asian Currencies Trade Flat as Dollar Retreats After Fed Decision

Asian currencies traded in a mostly flat-to-lower range on Thursday, while the U.S. dollar weakened after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and struck an optimistic tone on the U.S. economy. Currency...

Philippine Economy Slows in Late 2025, Raising Expectations of Further Rate Cuts

The Philippine economy posted weaker-than-expected growth in the final quarter of 2025, reinforcing concerns about slowing momentum and increasing speculation over further monetary policy easing by the central bank....

South Korea Industry Minister Heads to Washington Amid U.S. Tariff Hike Concerns

South Koreas Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan is set to visit Washington on Thursday to hold high-level talks with U.S. officials following President Donald Trumps announcement of plans to raise tariffs on South Korean...

Politics

China Reconsiders Pressure on Japan as Prime Minister Takaichi Seeks Strong Election Mandate

China may reassess its escalating pressure campaign on Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi if she secures a decisive victory in Japans February 8 snap election, according to current and former Japanese officials and...

New Zealand Declines Trump’s Board of Peace Invitation, Citing UN Alignment Concerns

New Zealand has decided not to accept an invitation from U.S. President Donald Trump to join his newly launched Board of Peace, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon confirmed in a statement issued on Friday. The decision...

UN Chief Warns Against U.S.-China Power Rivalry, Calls for Multipolar World Order

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that global challenges cannot be solved by a single dominant power or by dividing the world into rival spheres of influence, comments widely seen as directed at the...

U.S. Military Signals Readiness as Trump Weighs Options on Iran’s Nuclear Program

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on Thursday that the United States military stands fully prepared to carry out any decision President Donald Trump makes regarding Iran, underscoring Washingtons determination to...

Canadian PM Mark Carney Urges U.S. to Respect Sovereignty Amid Alberta Separatism Reports

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on Thursday emphasized the importance of respecting Canadas sovereignty after reports emerged suggesting that U.S. officials had met with individuals advocating for Albertas...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Pentagon and Anthropic Clash Over AI Safeguards in National Security Use

Tensions are rising between the U.S. Department of Defense and artificial intelligence developer Anthropic over the future use of advanced AI technologies in military and intelligence operations, according to sources cited...

NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Amazon Eye Massive OpenAI Investment Amid $100B Funding Push

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) are reportedly in discussions to invest as much as $60 billion combined into artificial intelligence powerhouse OpenAI, signaling a major...

Meta Stock Surges After Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Strong Q1 2026 Revenue Outlook Despite Higher Capex

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META) shares jumped sharply in after-hours trading after the company delivered better-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings and issued a strong revenue forecast for the first quarter of 2026, easing...

Samsung Electronics Posts Record Q4 2025 Profit as AI Chip Demand Soars

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (KS:005930) delivered record-breaking revenue and profit in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven largely by booming demand from the artificial intelligence industry for advanced memory chips. The...

Microsoft AI Spending Surge Sparks Investor Jitters Despite Solid Azure Growth

Microsoft rattled investors after reporting record artificial intelligence spending alongside slower-than-expected cloud growth, raising concerns about when its massive AI investments will meaningfully pay off. Following...