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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

South Korean export’s stable deterioration trend continues, BoK likely to keep monetary stance accommodative

Mar 01, 2016 07:21 am UTC| Commentary

South Koreas February 2015 exports dropped 12.2% y/y, as compared with the revised drop of 18.8% in January and decline of 14.3% in December. Februarys print is much better than consensus expectations of a drop of 16.6%....

Emerging Market Crisis Series

South Africa faces difficult times, but disaster is not inevitable

Feb 29, 2016 12:34 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Finance minister Pravin Gordhans budget speech has generally been well received. Nevertheless, many people still fear that South Africa is on the verge of disaster. They cite recent events such as the firing of Nhlanhla...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

One-off revenues and base effects likely to improve Brazil’s 2016 fiscal results

Feb 29, 2016 06:38 am UTC| Commentary

Brazils primary balance for the general government in January reached a surplus of BRL27.9bn, with BRL8.0bn from regional governments, BRL20.9bn from the central government and a deficit of 1 billion from SOEs. This is an...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil’s recession likely to be little more contained in 2016 on marginally better job elimination numbers

Feb 29, 2016 05:13 am UTC| Commentary

Brazil eliminated 99,964 jobs in January 2016, as compared with 81,774 in January 2015. The total number of jobs eliminated, in seasonally adjusted terms, was 129,235, as compared with 154k in December and an average of...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Deterioration of Brazil’s labor market likely to continue

Feb 26, 2016 07:16 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Brazil posted a lower than expected jobless rate of 7.6% in January. In seasonally adjusted terms, the jobless rate fell to 7.8%, as compared with Decembers 8.2%. This was the first decline in the past 12 months. However,...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Lower oil exports may continue to exert downward pressure on Mexico’s trade balance in near term

Feb 24, 2016 09:34 am UTC| Commentary

In 2015, Mexicos exports declined 4.1%, whereas imports dropped 1.2%, resulting in a trade deficit of USD14.5bn, as compared with 2014s deficit of USD2.8bn. Lower oil exports mostly led to the decline in trade balance....

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazilian central bank unlikely to hike rates despite high mid-February inflation print

Feb 24, 2016 07:32 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Brazils February IPCA-15 inflation accelerated 1.42% m/m and 10.8% y/y, surprising on the upside. The unexpected gains in apparel prices and broad-based price adjustments in beauty products mainly led to the surprising...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Why is the London Stock Exchange losing out to the US

London Stock Exchange (LSE), which can trace its heritage to the coffee houses of the 17th century, is failing. The volume of shares traded is sharply declining, and some UK companies are swiftly moving to the US...

Why Germany ditched nuclear before coal – and why it won’t go back

One year ago, Germany took its last three nuclear power stations offline. When it comes to energy, few events have baffled outsiders more. In the face of climate change, calls to expedite the transition away from fossil...

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Joe Biden Proposes Record 44.6% Capital Gains Tax in Latest Budget Plan That May Favor Cryptocurrencies

President Joe Biden has proposed raising the capital gains tax to an unprecedented 44.6% in a bold fiscal move, targeting the wealthiest Americans. This hike is part of his 2025 budget proposal to reduce income...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

SHIB Burn Rate Soars 88% Following Major Shibarium Upgrade Announcement

Following a crucial upgrade announcement for Shibarium, Shibburn reports a dramatic 88.32% increase in the SHIB burn rate, removing millions from circulation and significantly boosting Shiba Inu coin holders. SHIB...

Solana Co-Founder Clashes with Vitalik Buterin, Champions Meme Coin Culture

In a bold social media move, Solanas co-founder Raj Gokal defended meme coins and subtly critiqued Ethereums Vitalik Buterin, stirring controversy in the crypto community. Solanas Gokal Defends Meme Coins, Warns...

Tesla Model 3 Performance Price Surges Days After Debut, Cybertruck Powershare Costs Skyrocket

Just days after Tesla released its Model 3 Performance, the company increased its price by $1,000. Meanwhile, a Tesla Cybertruck owner faces a staggering $30,000 quote for a Powershare installation, which would enable his...

Apple Partners with OpenAI for On-Device AI in iOS 18, Enhancing Privacy

Apple Inc. has reignited discussions with OpenAI to integrate advanced AI features into iOS 18, utilizing large language models entirely on-device. According to a Bloomberg report, this move promises to significantly...
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