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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

PBoC's further rate cut likely in near future

Nov 24, 2015 09:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The industrial profits in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) of China are fallen by 9.2% y/y YTD in October. Corporate indebtedness has raised the credit concerns among commercial banks and poses a significant downside risk to...

Trade War Series

Currency War Series

Saudi's USD/SAR's peg likely to break?

Nov 24, 2015 05:27 am UTC| Commentary

Off-late oil price declines have driven the speculations higher about the USD/SAR pegs breaking possibility. This is unlikely. 12 month forwards are already setting to price in SAR weakness. This clearly signals that...

Currency War Series

South Africa's SARB likely to hike 25bp further in January

Nov 24, 2015 04:45 am UTC| Commentary

The SARBs 25 bp repo rate hike last week to 6.25% was promising that ZAR/USD recovered from its lowest of 14.44, and it has outperformed most of its EM country currency peers in the week. The increased currency...

Currency War Series

Central Bank of Turkey to remain on hold

Nov 24, 2015 04:02 am UTC| Commentary

There is high vulnerability of the central bank to pressures politically. The new policy mix in Turkey will result in easing the domestic monetary conditions overall. Hence, in a politically motivated scenario, i.e....

Currency War Series

Firm Eurozone PMIs unlikely to derail ECB stimulus expectations

Nov 24, 2015 02:14 am UTC| Commentary

The Eurozone economys November composite PMI (flash) ticked up to 54.4 from 53.9, to a four and half year high. Both manufacturing and service PMIs stayed in the expansionary above-50 region. This takes Oct-Nov...

Currency War Series

No further BI easing expected in 2015

Nov 24, 2015 00:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Potential Fed rate hike in December the constraint to easing. Better current account data, contained inflation and a recovering currency have provided BI with the previously elusive opportunity to shift its focus to growth...

Currency War Series

BoK will remain on hold in 2016

Nov 23, 2015 23:29 pm UTC| Commentary

Further BoK rate cuts are not expected in 2016, as policymakers will maintain a wait-and-see stance. The ongoing recovery in domestic demand fuelled by credit expansion (especially household credit) is likely be the main...

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Economy

India Budget 2026: Modi Government Eyes Reforms Amid Global Uncertainty and Fiscal Pressures

Indias central government is set to present its annual budget on Sunday, a closely watched event as Prime Minister Narendra Modis administration seeks to accelerate domestic reforms while navigating rising global...

China Home Prices Rise in January as Government Signals Stronger Support for Property Market

Average prices of new homes across 100 major Chinese cities recorded an increase in January, while price declines in the secondary housing market continued to narrow, according to a private survey. The data suggests early...

South Korea Exports Surge in January on AI Chip Demand, Marking Fastest Growth in 4.5 Years

South Koreas exports recorded a strong start to the year, rising for an eighth consecutive month in January and posting their fastest growth in four and a half years, driven largely by booming global demand for AI servers...

Russia Stocks End Flat as MOEX Closes Unchanged Amid Mixed Global Signals

Russian stocks finished Saturdays trading session slightly lower overall, with the benchmark MOEX Russia Index closing unchanged at 0.00% in Moscow. Market sentiment remained cautious as investors weighed mixed...

China Factory Activity Slips in January as Weak Demand Weighs on Growth Outlook

Chinas factory activity contracted at the start of the year, highlighting persistent pressure from weak domestic demand despite continued policy support from Beijing. An official survey released on Saturday showed that...

Politics

Syria Detains Group Over Rocket Attacks on Damascus Military Airport Amid Hezbollah Allegations

Syria announced on Sunday that its security forces have detained a group accused of carrying out a series of rocket attacks targeting the Mezzeh military airport in Damascus, a strategic site near the capital. According to...

U.S. and Israeli Military Leaders Hold Pentagon Talks as Tensions With Iran Escalate

Senior military leaders from the United States and Israel recently held high-level talks at the Pentagon, underscoring growing concerns over rising tensions with Iran and broader Middle East security risks. According to...

Rafah Border Crossing to Reopen for Palestinians as Israel Coordinates with Egypt and EU

Israel has announced that Gazas main border crossing at Rafah will reopen for Palestinians on Monday, marking a significant development after the crossing remained largely closed for nearly two years amid ongoing conflict....

Trump Says Fed Pick Kevin Warsh Could Win Democratic Support in Senate Confirmation

U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed confidence that his nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, could secure votes from Senate Democrats during what is expected to be a closely watched and potentially...

Christian Menefee Wins Texas Special Election, Narrowing GOP House Majority

Democrat Christian Menefee has won a Texas special election for the U.S. House of Representatives, according to the Associated Press, a result that further tightens Republicans slim majority in the chamber. Menefees...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Elon Musk’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI Merger Talks Spark Investor Debate

Speculation around a potential Musk Inc has resurfaced as Elon Musks companiesSpaceX, Tesla, and xAIexplore closer ties amid rapid advances in artificial intelligence and automation. With SpaceX expected to go public later...

SpaceX Reports $8 Billion Profit as IPO Plans and Starlink Growth Fuel Valuation Buzz

SpaceX delivered a strong financial performance last year, generating an estimated $8 billion in profit on revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, according to people familiar with the companys results. The figures,...

SpaceX Updates Starlink Privacy Policy to Allow AI Training as xAI Merger Talks and IPO Loom

SpaceX has revised its Starlink privacy policy to allow customer data to be used for artificial intelligence training, a move that could significantly support Elon Musks broader AI ambitions. The policy change comes as...

Nvidia’s $100 Billion OpenAI Investment Faces Internal Doubts, Report Says

Nvidias ambitious plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, aimed at supporting the training and operation of next-generation artificial intelligence models, has reportedly hit a roadblock. According to a report...

Federal Judge Signals Possible Dismissal of xAI Lawsuit Against OpenAI

A U.S. federal judge has signaled she may dismiss a high-profile lawsuit filed by Elon Musks artificial intelligence startup, xAI, against rival OpenAI, dealing a potential setback to Musk in an escalating legal battle...
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