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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Central Bank of Republic of Turkey likely to rise repo rate by 50bps

Dec 22, 2015 10:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Turkeys central bank, CBRT is yet to announce its rate decision today. Most of the market participants expect the bank to rise its repurchase rate by 50 basis points to 8%. The central bank governor Basci presentes the...

Renminbi Series

Currency War Series

Risk of capital outflow persists in China on Fed rate hike

Dec 22, 2015 09:38 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Greater tolerance for CNY weakness against the USD is likely to support the ebbed capital outflows moving ahead. The outflows might have risen in November. These are evidenced by a notable decline in PBoC FX Reserves of...

Currency War Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What caused PBoC’s TWI for currency mechanism – USD/CNY hedging perspectives

Dec 22, 2015 09:03 am UTC| Technicals

After PBoCs trade-weighted view of CNY during a last weekend, the warning shot from PBoC for the FX Wars, we dont think Fed has taken this into account very seriously. PBoCs operational documents were recently released...

Currency War Series

Two more cuts likely from RBA in H1 2016

Dec 22, 2015 04:36 am UTC| Commentary

Mirroring the lack of front end direction in AU/US rate spreads, AUD/USD is still trading in 0.70/0.74 range. This spread is likely to narrow from both sides over coming three months, sending the pair lower. Our...

Currency War Series

BoJ tweaks policy as growth firms

Dec 21, 2015 23:54 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The recent data flow from Japan on balance has been encouraging. Reports indicate that business expansion has strengthened and broadened, spanning from the labor market to capex. This weeks BoJ Tankan reinforced this...

Currency War Series

BoE to follow Fed but not in a hurry

Dec 21, 2015 23:18 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of England is expected to follow the Fed in coming months, launching a rate cycle before midyear. The UK labor market continued to strengthen this week, with a strong gain in jobs and another drop in the...

Currency War Series

Poland's NBP may cut policy rate by 75bps next year

Dec 21, 2015 13:03 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Polands net inflation for November released last week remained at 0.2 percent year on year. The CPI inflation rate is expected to enter negative territory in December. The economy is expected to remain in deflation of...

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Economy

South Korea’s KOSPI Plunges as Apple Price Hikes and OpenAI IPO Delay Shake AI Chip Stocks

South Koreas benchmark KOSPI index suffered a steep selloff on Friday as investors dumped technology and semiconductor stocks following Apples latest price increases and reports that OpenAI may delay its highly anticipated...

Asian Stocks Sink as Apple Price Hikes Spark AI Valuation Fears, South Korea and Japan Lead Selloff

Asian stock markets closed sharply lower on Friday as investors took profits from this weeks technology-driven rally after Apple Inc.s decision to raise prices on several products reignited concerns about the...

Gold Prices Fall Below $4,000 as Strong Dollar, Fed Rate Hike Bets Weigh on Bullion

Gold prices extended their decline on Friday, falling below the key $4,000-per-ounce level as a stronger U.S. dollar and growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continued to pressure the...

SpaceX Eyes Starlink Mobile Phone Service to Challenge Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile

SpaceX is reportedly exploring a major expansion of its Starlink business by launching a Starlink-branded mobile phone service in the United States, a move that could position Elon Musks company as a direct competitor to...

Asian Currencies Trade Mixed as Yen Hovers Near 40-Year Low, Dollar Holds Firm on Fed Outlook

Asian currencies traded within narrow ranges on Friday as the U.S. dollar paused after a strong weekly rally, while the Japanese yen remained close to a four-decade low amid lingering concerns over potential government...

Politics

Trump Administration Rejects Claims of Rift Between JD Vance and Marco Rubio on Iran Policy

President Donald Trumps administration is pushing back against claims of internal divisions over its Iran strategy after comments from Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio appeared to reflect...

US Approves $250 Million Fighter Jet Training Sale to Australia

The United States has approved a potential $250 million military sale to Australia, reinforcing the long-standing defense partnership between the two allies. The U.S. State Department announced on Thursday that it had...

Johns Hopkins University Lays Off 110 Employees as Federal Research Funding Declines

Johns Hopkins University has announced the layoff of 110 employees following significant reductions in federal research funding, highlighting the growing financial challenges facing one of the United States leading...

Iran Attack in Strait of Hormuz Pushes Oil Prices Higher

Global oil prices climbed on Thursday after Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly attacked a Singapore-flagged cargo vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, reigniting concerns over Middle East tensions and...

Republican Lawmaker Introduces AI Incident Reporting Bill to Strengthen U.S. AI Safety

The United States could soon see new artificial intelligence regulations after Republican Representative Nathaniel Moran of Texas introduced the proposed AI Incident Reporting Act, a bill designed to improve transparency...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI IPO Delay Weighs on SoftBank Shares as AI Valuation Concerns Grow

SoftBank Group (TYO:9984) shares tumbled sharply on Friday after a report suggested that OpenAI is considering postponing its highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO), delaying what many investors had expected to...

Apple Supplier Stocks Slide as Samsung, SK Hynix Lead Selloff After Apple Price Hikes

Apples major Asian suppliers came under heavy selling pressure on Friday after the iPhone maker announced significant price increases for its MacBook and iPad lineup, fueling concerns that rising semiconductor costs are...

Samsung, SK Hynix to Unveil Record AI and Semiconductor Investment Plans Worth Over $646 Billion

South Korean technology giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are preparing to unveil sweeping long-term investment strategies centered on semiconductors, artificial intelligence (AI), and next-generation technologies,...

OpenAI May Delay IPO to 2027 Amid $1 Trillion Valuation Goal

OpenAI is reportedly considering postponing its highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO) until 2027 as it pursues an ambitious $1 trillion valuation. According to a report by The New York Times, company executives...

Kioxia Targets U.S. Listing as AI Chip Boom Accelerates

Japan-based Kioxia Holdings Corp. (TYO:285A) is preparing to launch U.S. depositary shares in the spring of 2027, a strategic move aimed at expanding its global investor base and taking advantage of growing enthusiasm for...
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