Currency War Series

Currency War Series

First BoE rate hike likely in H1 2016

Jan 15, 2016 15:45 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yesterday Bank of England left its monetary policy unchanged, keeping the main rate at 0.5% and the QE amount at 375 billion annually. Only one Monetary Policy Member voted for a rate hike, as was broadly expected....

Currency War Series

National Bank of Poland likely to change policy settings in March

Jan 15, 2016 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The National Bank of Polands new Monetary Policy Council (MPC) has kept its reference rate unchanged at 1.5%, on par with market forecast. There is an increased risk of rate cuts; however, the situation of stable rates for...

Currency War Series

ECB unlikely to take policy action in forthcoming meeting

Jan 15, 2016 06:00 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The European Central Banks meeting due next week is unlikely to see any policy action; however, the central bank is under increased pressure to further ease policy in 2016 due to the worsening outlook of inflation. We...

Currency War Series

Banxico unlikely to increase intervention amount at this stage

Jan 14, 2016 16:01 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Banxico, as of today, sells 200mn USDMXN at a minimum price of +1.0% above the previous-day FIX and an additional 200m at +1.5%. The Central Bank is likely to fine-tune its FX interventions, will likely make operational...

Currency War Series

Sharp rise in real interest rates could negate need for additional BCB tightening

Jan 14, 2016 15:23 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Brazilian real moved back above the 4.00 threshold and stabilised within the 4.00 and 4.07 over the last couple of weeks. Data last week showed that Brazils inflation rate closed 2015 at the highest level in more than...

Currency War Series

What will RBI respond to – weak inflation or weak Rupee?

Jan 14, 2016 13:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Raghuram Rajan took charge of Reserve Bank of India in September, 2013 at a time when Indian economy and Rupee was facing massive turmoil. His arrival, followed by landslide election by reform promising Bhartiya Janata...

Currency War Series

Reserve Bank of Australia unlikely to ease policy in 2016

Jan 14, 2016 11:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In order to aid the Australian economys adjustment and keep the AUD from declining, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate twice last year. Policy easing in 2016 is not expected by analysts as officials stated...