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FxWirePro: Is this the quest for relative value in BRL/JPY – USD/BRL vega spreads?

Jan 13, 2017 12:15 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Weve already highlighted in our recent write ups on the concerted rise in the dollar against currencies of all stripes since US Election Day has elevated USD correlations to near historical highs. Subsequently, the...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD hedging portfolio reshuffling as risk reversals signal shifting risks while IV skews still bid for OTM puts

Jan 13, 2017 07:39 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that even though the risks reversals have shown the shift in hedging sentiments, the IV skews in far month contracts of this APAC pair has been evidencing downside risks still remain intact as OTM puts are...

FxWirePro: MXN and ZAR risk reversals indicates trade protectionism due to US fiscal policy agenda

Jan 13, 2017 07:29 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the constructive dollar on FEDs recent hiking hints + trade protectionism policies you mustve seen that the policy hedge in some commodity driven currency such as CADNOK as an oil-neutral trade...

FxWirePro: Is your FX exposure under stress on Trump’s policies? NOK stands out among protectionism hedges

Jan 12, 2017 12:39 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The acceleration in global growth towards 3% might even cause us to entertain the notion of adding some outright longs in cyclical currencies. What prevents us doing so is the caveat that these are not normal times...

FxWirePro: A perspective on CNH risk reversals versus 1y forwards, delta hedge and partial delta-hedge

Jan 12, 2017 12:22 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The cheapness of CNH risk-reversals relative to implied yields is also plumbing a historical extreme (refer above chart), as gauged by the carry-neutralizing forward delta-hedge ratio (the notional of short USDCNH forward...

FxWirePro: CNH alternative trading option through ATMFs – EUR/CNH options appear more luring than USD/CNH

Jan 12, 2017 11:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The carry trade looks far more lucrative in a non-dollar CNH cross such as EURCNH. The carry/vol setup is comparable to USDCNH (refer above chart), with the added attraction that the cross is that it is better insulated...

FxWirePro: USD/CNY bears seem to be aware of vol and RR collapse - Carry vol gap ATMF structures

Jan 12, 2017 07:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The funding cost of CNH dropped significantly this week, with the HIBOR overnight rates easing to below 3% this morning. In the meantime, the CNY-CNH spread has narrowed significantly. In our view, this is due to the...

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Economy

Vietnam’s November Trade Sees Monthly Decline but Strong Year-on-Year Growth

Vietnam recorded a notable month-on-month decline in trade activity in November, according to new data from the National Statistics Office (NSO). Exports fell 7.1% from October, reaching $39.07 billion, while imports...

Austria’s AA Credit Rating Affirmed as Fitch Highlights Stable Outlook

Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Austrias Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating at AA with a Stable Outlook, underscoring the countrys strong economic fundamentals despite rising fiscal pressures. According to the...

Fed Meeting Sparks Division as Markets Brace for Possible Rate Cut

The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched and contentious in years, with investors focused on how divided policymakers are over a potential interest-rate cut and the signals...

U.S. Stocks Rise as Cooler Inflation Boosts Hopes for Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks ended higher on Friday as a softer inflation reading strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could move forward with an interest-rate cut next week. The SP 500 climbed 0.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks closed the week with modest gains on Friday, as investors weighed a wave of delayed economic data and maintained strong expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at next weeks policy meeting. Despite...

Politics

CFPB to Review Anti-Discrimination Policies and Fair Lending Rules Amid Policy Shift

The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is preparing to convene its Consumer Advisory Board next week to review major policy changes, including a controversial proposal to scale back long-standing...

Supreme Court to Review Legality of Trump’s Birthright Citizenship Restrictions

The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to examine the legality of President Donald Trumps directive aimed at restricting birthright citizenship, a move that could redefine a long-standing interpretation of the 14th Amendment....

Australia Imposes Sanctions on Taliban Officials Over Human Rights Abuses

Australia has announced new financial sanctions and travel bans against four senior officials of Afghanistans Taliban government, citing the worsening human rights situation in the country, particularly the escalating...

U.S. Appeals Court Rules Trump Can Remove Members of Key Federal Labor Boards

A U.S. appeals court has ruled that President Donald Trump had the authority to dismiss Democratic members of two major federal labor boards, marking a significant win for efforts to expand presidential control over...

Trump Backs Review of U.S. Childhood Vaccine Schedule After Hepatitis B Policy Change

President Donald Trump on Friday expressed support for a major shift in U.S. vaccine policy after government advisers voted to eliminate the long-standing recommendation that all newborns receive the hepatitis B vaccine at...

Science

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Trump and Merck KGaA Partner to Slash IVF Drug Costs and Expand Fertility Coverage

U.S. President Donald Trump and German pharmaceutical company Merck KGaA have announced a groundbreaking deal aimed at lowering the cost of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments while boosting access to fertility care in...

Technology

Taiwan Opposition Criticizes Plan to Block Chinese App Rednote Over Security Concerns

Taiwans political landscape heated up after the government announced a plan to suspend access to the Chinese social media platform Rednoteknown as Xiaohongshufor one year. The interior ministry said the proposed ban stems...

EU Prepares Antitrust Probe Into Meta’s AI Integration on WhatsApp

The European Commission is reportedly preparing to launch a new antitrust investigation into Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) over the companys recent rollout of artificial intelligence features within WhatsApp....

Sam Altman Reportedly Explored Funding for Rocket Venture in Potential Challenge to SpaceX

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman reportedly explored raising significant capital to acquire or partner with a rocket company, a move that could have created direct competition with Elon Musks SpaceX. According to a report from the...

Wikipedia Pushes for AI Licensing Deals as Jimmy Wales Calls for Fair Compensation

Wikipedia is seeking additional licensing deals with major technology companies to address the growing financial burden caused by artificial intelligence firms heavily scraping its platform, according to co-founder Jimmy...

Firelight Launches as First XRP Staking Platform on Flare, Introduces DeFi Cover Feature

Firelight reaches 25M XRP deposit cap within hours of launch; ushers in a new era for decentralized XRP staking. A new XRP staking platform, Firelight, has officially launched on the Flare blockchain, marking the first...