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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CNH vols seem exorbitant, USD/CNH double no touch with striking risk-reward match even for range-bounded trend

Jan 20, 2017 09:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Short volatility structures are appealing given the high cost of implied versus realized vols. Limited loss structures are also preferred. Since August 2015, the historical probability of the USDCNH breaching the knock-out...

FxWirePro: More headwinds in 2017 to substantiate AUD OTC bids – Aussie dollar still looking for southward targets

Jan 20, 2017 06:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The two main risks to our bearish AUD view are that (1) the currency is dragged higher in a more sustained re-rating of the global growth outlookand that (2) better global news and some signs of housing resilience see the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: How about getting extra leverage in USD/JPY via a global knock-in

Jan 19, 2017 13:33 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The promise of an inflationary US policy mix impressively propelled the USDJPY to 118. The pullback has been sharp and it is now time to take a step back. Buying regular knock-in calls despite negative skew: A negative...

FxWirePro: GBP cheaper among G10 but Scandis seem more economical over sterling

Jan 19, 2017 12:50 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Commentary

GBP appears to be the cheapest among G10 space on this framework cross-section ally, but still, has room to weaken further relative to its history. GBP has been one of the underperformers within G10 over the past two...

FxWirePro: Yellen’s hawkish tone keeps AUD/USD’s major bearish trend intact, OTC bids still conducive for OTM puts in PRBS as optimal hedging

Jan 19, 2017 09:21 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSDs higher IV with negative delta risk reversal can be interpreted as an opportunity for put longs as the market reckons the price has downside potential for large movement in the days to come which is resulting option...

Moody's: Asia bond covenant quality score for Q4 2016 strongest since Q3 2014

Jan 19, 2017 08:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that the average covenant quality score for high-yield bonds in Asia during Q4 2016 was the strongest since Q3 2014. The average covenant quality score for Asian high-yield bonds issued in...

FxWirePro: Aussie gains bank on Chinese data and meager dollar but bearish-neutral risk reversals and IV skews still bid for OTM puts

Jan 19, 2017 06:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Aussie continues to gain background support from solid Chinese bulk prices and the general correction in USD, though a short-term peak appears to be in place at 0.7570. Should risk aversion build, the 0.7430-50 should...

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Economy

Vietnam’s November Trade Sees Monthly Decline but Strong Year-on-Year Growth

Vietnam recorded a notable month-on-month decline in trade activity in November, according to new data from the National Statistics Office (NSO). Exports fell 7.1% from October, reaching $39.07 billion, while imports...

Austria’s AA Credit Rating Affirmed as Fitch Highlights Stable Outlook

Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Austrias Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating at AA with a Stable Outlook, underscoring the countrys strong economic fundamentals despite rising fiscal pressures. According to the...

Fed Meeting Sparks Division as Markets Brace for Possible Rate Cut

The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched and contentious in years, with investors focused on how divided policymakers are over a potential interest-rate cut and the signals...

U.S. Stocks Rise as Cooler Inflation Boosts Hopes for Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks ended higher on Friday as a softer inflation reading strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could move forward with an interest-rate cut next week. The SP 500 climbed 0.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks closed the week with modest gains on Friday, as investors weighed a wave of delayed economic data and maintained strong expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at next weeks policy meeting. Despite...

Politics

CFPB to Review Anti-Discrimination Policies and Fair Lending Rules Amid Policy Shift

The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is preparing to convene its Consumer Advisory Board next week to review major policy changes, including a controversial proposal to scale back long-standing...

Supreme Court to Review Legality of Trump’s Birthright Citizenship Restrictions

The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to examine the legality of President Donald Trumps directive aimed at restricting birthright citizenship, a move that could redefine a long-standing interpretation of the 14th Amendment....

Australia Imposes Sanctions on Taliban Officials Over Human Rights Abuses

Australia has announced new financial sanctions and travel bans against four senior officials of Afghanistans Taliban government, citing the worsening human rights situation in the country, particularly the escalating...

U.S. Appeals Court Rules Trump Can Remove Members of Key Federal Labor Boards

A U.S. appeals court has ruled that President Donald Trump had the authority to dismiss Democratic members of two major federal labor boards, marking a significant win for efforts to expand presidential control over...

Trump Backs Review of U.S. Childhood Vaccine Schedule After Hepatitis B Policy Change

President Donald Trump on Friday expressed support for a major shift in U.S. vaccine policy after government advisers voted to eliminate the long-standing recommendation that all newborns receive the hepatitis B vaccine at...

Science

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Trump and Merck KGaA Partner to Slash IVF Drug Costs and Expand Fertility Coverage

U.S. President Donald Trump and German pharmaceutical company Merck KGaA have announced a groundbreaking deal aimed at lowering the cost of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments while boosting access to fertility care in...

Technology

Taiwan Opposition Criticizes Plan to Block Chinese App Rednote Over Security Concerns

Taiwans political landscape heated up after the government announced a plan to suspend access to the Chinese social media platform Rednoteknown as Xiaohongshufor one year. The interior ministry said the proposed ban stems...

EU Prepares Antitrust Probe Into Meta’s AI Integration on WhatsApp

The European Commission is reportedly preparing to launch a new antitrust investigation into Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) over the companys recent rollout of artificial intelligence features within WhatsApp....

Sam Altman Reportedly Explored Funding for Rocket Venture in Potential Challenge to SpaceX

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman reportedly explored raising significant capital to acquire or partner with a rocket company, a move that could have created direct competition with Elon Musks SpaceX. According to a report from the...

Wikipedia Pushes for AI Licensing Deals as Jimmy Wales Calls for Fair Compensation

Wikipedia is seeking additional licensing deals with major technology companies to address the growing financial burden caused by artificial intelligence firms heavily scraping its platform, according to co-founder Jimmy...

Firelight Launches as First XRP Staking Platform on Flare, Introduces DeFi Cover Feature

Firelight reaches 25M XRP deposit cap within hours of launch; ushers in a new era for decentralized XRP staking. A new XRP staking platform, Firelight, has officially launched on the Flare blockchain, marking the first...