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FxWirePro: Cost-effective optionality structure to arrest RUB correction

Jun 13, 2017 10:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We turn bearish in RUB on the concern of commodity headwind and seasonally weaker current account outlook over the summer. We are more cautious of the commodity exporter, as terms of trade are unlikely to be favorable for...

FxWirePro: Beware of RUB correction and fetch benefits of high skew

Jun 13, 2017 09:55 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the IVs of RUB are the highest among G20 currency space. The volatility parameters favor structures that sell topside skew to cheapen up bullish USDRUB exposure. Being long USDRUB is a good hedge for a...

FxWirePro: Best chance to write exorbitant GBP/AUD OTM puts in 3-way straddles vs put to reduce hedging cost

Jun 13, 2017 07:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

OTC Outlook and Option Strategies: Please be noted that the ATM call of 1w expiries are trading 23% more than of its NPV, while implied volatilities of 1w tenors are just shy above 9% and sliding below 8.5% for 1m...

FxWirePro: Bullish and bearish scenarios of GBP/AUD

Jun 13, 2017 06:48 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Bearish Sterling Scenarios: 1) Growth slows below 1% as consumers are squeezed by inflation and falling house prices. 2) Outright capital repatriation from slower moving long-term investors including central...

Moody's changes outlook for Indonesian banking system to positive from stable

Jun 13, 2017 03:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service has changed its outlook on the Indonesian banking system to positive from stable, reflecting their view that banks will see improvements in their operating environment, asset quality, as well as...

FxWirePro: USD/CAD IVs least among G7 space – Deploy “Covered calls” on neutral OTC

Jun 12, 2017 13:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We could foresee a bullish scenario of USDCAD above 1.43 driven by: 1) The US moves ahead on border adjustments or NAFTA negotiations turn sour; 2) US-Canada trade negotiations turn acute and negative with a...

FxWirePro: Waning crude outlook & improving cyclicals to puzzle Loonie’s prospects

Jun 12, 2017 11:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In May, CAD appreciated over 2%, retracing more than half of late April sharp sell-off. In part, this triggered by the broad USD sell-off that unfolded following weak data and the emergence of US presidential scandal risk....

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

South Korea Excludes Crypto in Donation Law Update, Charities at Risk

South Koreas recent amendments to donation laws have raised concerns as cryptocurrency remains excluded from permissible donation methods. The Ministry of Public Administrations decision, reported by local media outlet...

Shiba Inu Burn Rate Skyrockets: 81M SHIB Destroyed, Prices Surge

Shiba Inu, the beloved dog-themed meme coin, experiences an astounding 4000% surge in its burn rate, resulting in the destruction of over 81 million SHIB coins. This significant development has sparked optimism among...

Samsung Trails Apple, Remains 2nd in Global Tablet Rankings, Q1 2024

In the first quarter of 2024, Samsung emerged as the second-largest tablet manufacturer globally, despite a slight sales decline compared to last year, as the International Data Corporation (IDC) reported. Samsungs...

Russia's Crypto Clampdown: Tight Regulations Aim to Curb Cryptocurrency Activities

Russia is poised to enact stringent regulations on cryptocurrency trading, aiming to curb the mass trade of digital assets like Bitcoin within its borders. This move, driven by geopolitical tensions and sanctions, signals...

Bitcoin's Ongoing Battle at $64K; Cardano's Hoskinson Ends Ripple Debate

Bitcoin traders are on edge as the cryptocurrency battles to sustain its position above $64,000, with analyst Josh Olszewicz warning of lingering concerns. Meanwhile, Cardanos Charles Hoskinson settles the Ripple and XRP...