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FxWirePro: Capitalize on shrinking AUD/USD IVs and bearish RR to arrest downside risks - Writing exorbitant puts for wise hedging via “Reverse Put Spreads”

Jun 06, 2017 08:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSD contained in a 0.7600-0.7700 range. AUDUSD medium term perspectives: Although the pair bounces off the 0.7450, the upside area should be limited to 0.7600. RBA has limited the downside on AUDUSD during the next...

FxWirePro: Why is market vol so low despite global monetary policy season?

Jun 06, 2017 06:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Within next fortnight or so, we have series of monetary policy meetings lined up. A very low supply of economic surprises currently is by itself enough to explain the low level of market volatility. RBAs cash rate today...

FxWirePro: Macro trade recommendations – Stay short in AUD vs CHF and EUR, long in CHF vs USD

Jun 05, 2017 14:23 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

AUD money markets rates have rallied by more than any other G10 currency over the past month (see above chart). In the process, the front-end of the curve has inverted again as rate cuts have started to be priced again...

FxWirePro: Optimized hedging in EUR/USD via costless collar strategy - Capitalize on lower IVs to bid for call writing

Jun 05, 2017 12:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The EURUSD vols have been belligerently sold off in the aftermath of the French presidential election. The markets hailed the election of Macron, shielding a very pro-European programme. The majority of the risk was...

FxWirePro: IVs fumble in Euro options owing to election risk premium in the Italian edition

Jun 05, 2017 11:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Euro options and election risk premium the Italian edition Election risk premium is once again the story in Euro options, this time a potential September/October vote in Italy. EUR-and EUR-cross options spanning September...

FxWirePro: CLP underperformance upside down - Deploy USD/CLP NDFs to hedge

Jun 05, 2017 11:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Stay short in 3m USDCLP NDF: Sell USDCLP 3m NDF at 672.85 with the target at 640 (5.1%) and stop above the top end of the range at 684 (-1.65%). The trading horizon is 3 month and it offers a positive carry of...

FxWirePro: Cost-effective structure to capture a RUB correction – Use 3m forwards

Jun 05, 2017 07:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Beware a RUB correction Are you concerned that RUB positioning is too heavy, stagnant price action is a warning sign, fundamentals could turn, and a significant correction could happen? We are. In the recent past weve...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Huawei's Mate 70 Series to Run on Kirin 9100 Chip: AnTuTu Scores Equal Snapdragon 8 Gen 1

Rumors swirl around Huaweis upcoming Mate 70 flagship series, hinting at a groundbreaking inclusion: the Kirin 9100 chipset. Initial performance figures suggest the chip matches Qualcomms Snapdragon 8 Gen 1, setting the...

Kraken's Bold Move: Expanding into Germany with DLT Finance Partnership

Cryptocurrency giant Kraken makes waves with its strategic decision to launch operations in Germany, a pivotal move in its broader European expansion plan. Teaming up with DLT Finance, a regulated financial institution,...

Macron's France Targets Fourfold Increase in EV Sales by 2027; Welcomes BYD Factory Plans

France has announced plans to quadruple EV sales by 2027. The agreement, enhancing Frances position against global competitors, aligns with a state visit from China, spotlighting potential collaborations with major...

Shiba Inu Insider Urges Focus on SHIB and BTC Amid Market Rally

In a recent wake-up call, Lucie of the Shiba Inu team urged the cryptocurrency community to closely monitor Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Bitcoin (BTC) as both tokens exhibit strong price recoveries. This comes amid growing...

Is China Opening Doors to Bitcoin ETFs? Investor's Comment Sparks Debate

Following the recent launch of Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong, speculation is mounting over potential access for mainland Chinese investors. Richard Byworth, a prominent Bitcoin investor, suggested that these ETFs could soon be...