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FxWirePro: China seems risky venture, Escalating risk premium and rationale hedging amid North Korean potential threats

Sep 25, 2017 13:51 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Escalating risk premium: The rise in geostrategic tensions on the Korean peninsula has certainly impacted domestic market sentiment. The risk aversion around this issue can still rise further and broaden. For EM Asia...

FxWirePro: A bird’s eye-view on EM Asian rates and FX derivatives

Sep 25, 2017 13:06 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Two years on from Chinas melodramatic currency regime (devaluation mechanism of its currency) in August 2015, the event prolongs to cast a long shadow over the foreign exchange market since then. The considerable downward...

FxWirePro: Wise hedging schemes for KRW amid North Korean tail risks

Sep 25, 2017 12:24 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The demand for some protection in Korean assets is evident in risk reversals in the FX market. But after visiting Asian based investors last week there is a clear preference to fade the risk and harvest the vol/skew...

FxWirePro: How to perceive compression of dollar risk reversals - Writing deep OTM far-month USD puts wise way for aggressive bears

Sep 25, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Federal Reserve offered up a clearly hawkish monetary policy - confounding markets skepticism and staging the Dollar Risk trends are perhaps at greatest risk of volatility moving forward post-Fed QE plans, but it...

FxWirePro: BI outpaces rate cut; IDR drifts in narrow range – Hedge USD/IDR upside risks via 3m NDFs

Sep 25, 2017 10:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We discuss the reasons behind USDIDR stability but see a modest rise towards year-end 2017. In addition, we believe the INR is sensitive to the more hawkish tones emanating from other major central banks and is exposed to...

FxWirePro: Capitalize on EUR/JPY shrinking IVs and 1m skewness and participate in dubious bullish exposure via RKOs

Sep 25, 2017 08:57 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the implied vols of EURJPY crosses have been shrinking lower from the current 13.51% to 9.35% for 1w and 8.86% for 2w tenors in spite of the speeches of ECB and BoJ officials. Positively skewed EUR...

FxWirePro: Smart hedging for softer dollar shorts post Fed speeches

Sep 25, 2017 06:50 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

After being gripped slightly by geopolitically-driven risk aversion last Friday, expect markets to be guided by central bank rhetoric this week despite the plethora of geopolitical/political headlines over the weekend. At...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

AI 'Godfather' Warns of Job Displacement, Advocates for Universal Basic Income

Renowned AI godfather Geoffrey Hinton warns of significant job losses due to AI, urging governments to adopt universal basic income as a countermeasure. Hinton Advocates for Universal Basic Income According to...

Shiba Inu: Top Analyst Identifies Coin as 'Potential Gold Mine'; Price Analysis Suggests 35% Upside

Top analyst Davie Satoshi sees Shiba Inu (SHIB) as a potential gold mine; price analysis predicts a 35% upside. Key Pattern in SHIBs Price Chart The Shiba Inu (SHIB) memecoin has caught the eye of many analysts....

Tesla Cybertruck Powers Houston Gas Station, Elon Musk Reacts to Saudi Prince’s Photo

A TikTok video showed a Tesla Cybertruck powering a Houston gas station after a tornado, while Elon Musk responded to a photo of a Saudi prince with a Cybertruck. Cybertrucks Real-World Test Connecting to a Tesla...

Shanghai's Data Policy Shift Could Propel Tesla's Local Data Center Efforts

Shanghais new data-export policy could accelerate Teslas plans to build a local data center, enhancing its artificial intelligence (AI) development for autonomous driving. Chinas Regulatory Update As China attempts...

CPI Report Spurs Optimism, BlackRock CIO Forecasts Fixed Income Growth

The release of the U.S. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report provided a wave of relief to the financial markets. This signaled a possible reduction in inflationary pressures. Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer of...