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FxWirePro: Capitalize on GBP/JPY rallies, bid 2w/2M IV sensitivity and formulate directional strategies on hedging grounds

Apr 02, 2018 08:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

GBPJPY has been spiking through almost 38.2% Fibonacci retracements in the consolidation phase in the major declining trend. However, one month has been enough to wipe-off previous 5-months rallies (refer monthly plotting...

FxWirePro: RBA unlikely to act but AUD does on policy divergence and commodity prices, OTC indications in sync with projections

Apr 02, 2018 07:40 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Weve already raised a cause of concern on AUDUSDs sustenance of rallies (refer below weblink for more readings on AUDUSD technical), consequently, the bears of this pair have resumed ahead of RBAs monetary policy where...

FxWirePro: A glimpse through FX gamma impact in Q2’2018 after recent macroeconomic developments

Apr 02, 2018 06:32 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Q12018 began with an accelerated unfolding of our anticipated baseline themes for 2018 broad dollar weakness, policy repricing driving strength in non-dollar reserve and European currencies, and synchronized global...

FxWirePro: China seems more cautious in resilient geopolitical environment – Bridging vol disconnection in EUR/EM options

Mar 29, 2018 13:11 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Chinas official Xinhua News Agency confirmed that Kim Jong Un finished a 3-day visit to China today, ending a few days of guesswork by the international media. The first foreign trip since Mr. Kim took power in December...

FxWirePro: Political turmoil still revolves around Brazil – Favour upside bias in USD/BRL/RUB with call no-touch barriers on snail’s pace of Fed

Mar 29, 2018 13:02 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The high uncertainty about the political future of Brazil is not putting pressure on BRL at present. The generally positive market sentiment as well as the credible monetary policy support BRL. If these framework...

FxWirePro: Roll on CHF longs in a roller-coaster ride through cash against USD and via optionality versus EUR

Mar 29, 2018 12:43 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In this write-up, we emphasize on staying short in USDCHF spot trades and short EURCHF put options. USDCHF turned elegantly lower towards the end of the week when the dollar lost ground against other reserve currencies in...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD hedgers caught between two stools as 3m RRs and IV skews baffle – ‘Put Ratio Back Spreads’ to crack the puzzle

Mar 29, 2018 10:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSD near-term momentum appears to be negative, targeting the 0.7650 areas if the USD rebound persists. Optimism over global growth remains intact though US-driven trade tensions pose downside risks to global trade...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs, ANZ Cut Oil Forecasts Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes

Brent crude oil prices have tumbled more than 11% this week after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, raising hopes that the Strait of Hormuz one of the worlds most critical oil shipping lanes ...

Bank of Japan Governor Signals Accommodative Stance Amid Negative Real Rates

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Thursday that Japans real interest rates remain firmly in negative territory, signaling that the countrys financial conditions continue to support economic growth. His...

Japan Consumer Confidence Drops Sharply Amid Rising Fuel Costs and Middle East Tensions

Japans consumer confidence took a significant hit in March, declining for the first time in three months as escalating fuel costs linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict continued to weigh heavily on the countrys...

China Set to Exit Deflation Cycle in Early 2026, ANZ Analysts Say

China may be closer to ending its prolonged deflationary period than financial markets currently anticipate, according to a recent note from ANZ analysts. The bank projects that three key price indicators the producer...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Ceasefire Doubts Weigh on Markets

Asian currencies showed little movement on Thursday following strong gains in the prior session, as investor caution mounted over the stability of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal amid escalating Middle East tensions. The U.S....

Politics

Trump Warns Iran: No Deal Means Military Action as U.S. Forces Hold Position

President Donald Trump escalated tensions with Iran on Wednesday, declaring that all U.S. military assets including ships, aircraft, and personnel would remain stationed in the region until a formal agreement with Tehran...

U.S. Pushes for Crypto Regulation to Keep Digital Asset Growth at Home

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling on Congress to pass landmark federal cryptocurrency legislation, warning that regulatory uncertainty is pushing blockchain innovation and investment out of the United States. In...

North Korea Tests Advanced Cluster Bombs, Electromagnetic Weapons in Latest Military Display

North Korea has conducted a series of weapons tests this week, showcasing cutting-edge military technology including cluster-bomb warheads, electromagnetic weapons, and carbon-fibre bombs, according to state media outlet...

Trump Pardon Clears Juan Orlando Hernández as U.S. Court Dismisses Drug Conviction Appeal

A U.S. federal appeals court has dismissed the case against former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, vacating his prior conviction following a presidential pardon granted by Donald Trump in December. The...

Taiwan Defense Budget: U.S. Senator Urges Legislature to Pass Spending Plan

Republican Senator Jim Banks visited Taipei and delivered a direct message to Taiwans President Lai Ching-te: the islands parliament must stop stalling and approve a proposed special defense budget. Banks, a member of the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...

Anthropic Fights Pentagon Blacklisting in Dual Federal Court Battles

A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has refused to halt the Pentagons national security blacklisting of AI company Anthropic, delivering a temporary win for the Trump administration. The ruling comes as another...