Feb 20, 2018 12:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
As expected, yesterday was a relatively quiet session and we may be set for another. A number of surveys are released today, with the UK CBI industrial trends and German ZEW the most important among them. The market was...
Feb 20, 2018 12:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
In our view, the medium-term prospects for Brexit and by extension GBP remain in a state of uncertain political flux. Investors may have assumed that a transition was a done deal but there are substantive aspects of the...
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD iron condors for trading on tepid IVs and bearish neutral RRs
Feb 20, 2018 11:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
FX markets were a sideshow to the plunge in US equities and spike in equity volatility this past week. But should this equity market volatility persist there will be the greater risk of near-term FX de-risking. This leaves...
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD iron condors for trading on tepid IVs and bearish neutral RRs
Feb 20, 2018 11:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
FX markets were a sideshow to the plunge in US equities and spike in equity volatility this past week. But should this equity market volatility persist there will be the greater risk of near-term FX de-risking. This leaves...
FxWirePro: FX vols to subsidize VIX amid lingering jitters on macro themes
Feb 20, 2018 09:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
It has taken a monumental VIX shock for the realization to dawn that the low volatility patch of 2017 is now history. Front-end FX vols had been climbing for the better part of the new year on heavy demand for USD puts and...
FxWirePro: Radar on precious metals and RV derivative trades
Feb 20, 2018 08:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
On the back dollar strength, gold futures were down 1.07% at $1,341.7 a troy ounce by 02:00 a.m. ET. Gold vols skews should stay well supported and have room to widen striking 3M delta-hedged 25 delta riskies as a good...
FxWirePro: Bullish/bearish scenarios, OTC indications and hedging perspectives of AUD/USD
Feb 20, 2018 06:57 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
Bearish: AUDUSD below 0.76 if: 1) The unemployment rate moves back towards 5.75%, raising risks that the RBA responds to a weakening labour market; 2) The Fed responds to firm labour market outcomes and above trend...
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