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FxWirePro: Uphold USD/EUR/TRY carry-neutrally delta-hedged risk-reversals amid lingering scepticism on dubious Turkish currency

Mar 28, 2018 12:35 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

USD-EM spot rates should be upwardly biased, and the bulk of total return performance in 2018, if any, should come via carry similar to the past two years. The risk to our forecasts is a stronger performance in 1H2018....

FxWirePro: Vulnerable Turkish lira on verge of establishing all-time peaks, most luring bearish candidate among EMFX to be hedged

Mar 28, 2018 12:22 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Following the initial flash crash earlier last Friday, the Turkish lira appeared to be stabilized for a while before it continues to depreciate slightly again. The lira is not alone in this: currencies such as the forint...

FxWirePro: Uphold call spreads to hedge WTI crude price risks ahead of US EIA’s inventory report

Mar 28, 2018 11:31 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Today, WTI crude prices dragged yesterdays loses below $65 mark ahead of the speculation on weekly supply data which is scheduled later in the day would release if there is a huge build-up in U.S. oil supplies. The U.S....

FxWirePro: WTI CFDs repeat the history with display of shooting star in minor trend, bulls in major trend unlikely to exhaust – Short trades and long hedges

Mar 28, 2018 11:01 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

Spot out WTI CFDs frequent occurrences of shooting stars and hanging man patterns at peaks of recent rallies (refer circular areas on the daily chart). Subsequently, these bearish patterns evidence slumps, more weakness...

FxWirePro: Quick run-through on intricacies of options straddles to sync with EUR/USD OTC indications and technical trend

Mar 28, 2018 09:01 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FX market seems to be gripped by springtime lethargy. Even though there are some plausible moves, such as a weaker euro following some cautious comments by ECB officials or the dollar easing slightly in reaction to...

FxWirePro: Deviate and hedge EUR/USD risks in EUR/NZD via knock out options

Mar 28, 2018 07:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Our RBNZ outlook (on hold throughout 2018) is anchoring short-maturity interest rates and should keep 2yr swap rates in a 2.10% to 2.50% range, as long as inflation remains below 2%. While we pair EUR vs NZD to...

FxWirePro: Option derivatives themes amid hovering trade protectionism regimes

Mar 27, 2018 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The current global macro environment is characterized by weak economic volatility. One of the consequences is that FX volatility has been depressed since most of 2H17. Sustained growth but still-soft inflation dynamics are...

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Economy

Turkey Vehicle Sales Fall 11.4% in June as Auto Market Weakens

Turkeys automotive market lost momentum in June, with total vehicle sales declining compared to the same period last year, reflecting softer demand across both passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. The latest...

South Korea Warns Won Is Undervalued, Boosts FX Coordination With Japan

South Korea signaled heightened vigilance over its currency market on Thursday, with Vice Finance Minister Huh Chang saying the government is maintaining close communication with Japan and other major partners on foreign...

US Resumes Dollar Shipments to Iraq After Months-Long Suspension

The United States has resumed limited shipments of U.S. dollars to Iraq after a months-long suspension, according to a report by The New York Times citing two senior aides to Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani....

Trump Administration Declines USMCA Renewal, Opens Talks on New Trade Changes

The Trump administration has declined to renew the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in its current form, triggering a 10-year countdown that keeps the North American trade pact in force while negotiations continue over...

Asian Currencies Stay Under Pressure as Dollar Holds Near 13-Month High Ahead of U.S. Jobs Report

Asian currencies traded in a narrow range on Thursday as the U.S. dollar remained close to a 13-month high, with investors awaiting the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for fresh clues on the Federal Reserves...

Politics

OpenAI Proposes 5% U.S. Government Stake Amid AI Policy Talks

OpenAI has reportedly proposed granting the U.S. government a 5% ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company as it seeks to strengthen ties with Washington and address growing political scrutiny over the rapidly...

EU Chip Industry Faces Growing Risks From China Export Controls and U.S. Technology Dependence: Report

Europes semiconductor industry faces mounting challenges from Chinese export controls, heavy reliance on U.S. technology, and persistent structural weaknesses, leaving the region with a difficult outlook unless it...

NRC Proposes Radiation Rule Changes to Boost U.S. Nuclear Power Expansion Under Trump

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) on Wednesday unveiled a proposal to revise long-standing radiation protection rules, a move that aligns with the Trump administrations broader strategy to accelerate nuclear...

Trump Vows U.S. Will Prevent China From Taking Over the Panama Canal

U.S. President Donald Trump declared on Wednesday that the United States will not allow China to take control of the Panama Canal, underscoring Washingtons continued focus on one of the worlds most strategically important...

US Envoy Urges Taiwan to Build ‘Hornet’s Nest’ Drone Defense Against China

Taiwan should rapidly expand its drone capabilities to strengthen deterrence against potential conflict with China, the top U.S. representative to the island said on Thursday, underscoring growing support for Taipeis...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Expands iPhone Lineup, Boosts Foldable iPhone Production Plans Through 2027

Apple is reportedly preparing one of its most ambitious iPhone product cycles in years, with plans to significantly expand its smartphone lineup through 2027 while increasing production targets for its highly anticipated...

Samsung to Invest $90 Billion in South Korea to Expand AI Chip, Display, and Battery Production

Samsung Group has unveiled a major investment plan worth 140 trillion won (approximately $90 billion) to strengthen South Koreas technology manufacturing sector, with a strong focus on artificial intelligence (AI),...

Super Micro Employees Detained in Taiwan AI Server Export Investigation

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) said two employees at its Taiwan subsidiary have been detained pending a court hearing, while two others were released on bail after being questioned in an investigation into the alleged...

Switch Seeks $2 Billion Funding at Nearly $50 Billion Valuation Ahead of Potential IPO

Data center operator Switch has reportedly launched a private funding round led by venture capital giant Andreessen Horowitz, aiming to raise approximately $2 billion in fresh capital at a valuation approaching $50...

ShareChat Eyes 2027 IPO After Reaching Operational Profitability, Report Says

Indias ShareChat is preparing for a potential initial public offering (IPO) next year that could raise up to $400 million, according to a Bloomberg News report citing the companys chief financial officer. The move would...