Briferendum Series

Brexit likely to weigh on European GDP growth and currencies

Mar 09, 2016 07:26 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Even if the UK votes to stay in EU, the concessions that the UK has negotiated with the EU might complicate extra EU integration. Britains exit from the EU will hit the UK and also Europe. If the UK exits, EMU GDP is...

Pushing back against the politicisation of economic modelling

Mar 09, 2016 04:58 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Controversy surrounding the use of economic modelling on the impact of negative gearing suggests the politicisation of economic modelling is becoming an issue that must be tackled by the economics profession. Debate was...

Crash in oil prices will hurt the U.S. economy from Texas to Wall Street

Mar 08, 2016 23:52 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Traditionally, low oil prices have been a boost to economic growth in the U.S. The crash in oil prices over the past two years, however, has produced a decidedly mixed picture with potentially worrying implications for...

A new index for economic uncertainty: nothing to fear but fear itself

Mar 08, 2016 23:01 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

A new monthly uncertainty index has been constructed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to track the cost of different factors such as international events and government policy decisions on the economy. Uncertainty...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Any signs of weakness in Turkish economic activity may pressurise CBRT to cut rates

Mar 08, 2016 08:41 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Political pressures on the Turkish central bank might be ignited to cut interest rates if there are any signs of weakness in economic activity. Currently, the CBRT is in a mode of wait-and-see because of the increased...

China Crisis Series

China’s weak trade data shows challenging demand environment for exports in 2016

Mar 08, 2016 07:14 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Chinas exports fell 17.9% y/y for January-February period, the lowest since 2012. The countrys shipment to all major markets witnessed wide weakness. Chinas exports to ASEAN nations shrank the most. The countrys exports...

Negative gearing won't drive all investors from the housing market. Here's why.

Mar 08, 2016 04:32 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Real Estate

After Labor announced proposed changes to negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull told parliament that the policy would administer two contradictory shocks, massive shocks,...