Central Banking Series

Next week’s FOMC policy meet likely to set stage for March rate hike

Jan 26, 2017 09:06 am UTC| Economy Commentary Central Banks

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis is expected to release its gross domestic product (GDP) for the last quarter of 2016 on Friday by 13:30 GMT. We foresee that if it comes in above 2 percent y/y, could set the...

Trade War Series

Sniffing a Peg-break Series: Violent moves unlikely in EUR/CZK

Jan 26, 2017 08:39 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Czech National Bank (CNB) confirmed earlier this month that the central bank would abandon its almost four-year-old Euro-Koruna peg this year and sometime middle of the year. The date is yet to be chosen. Looking from the...

European Central Bank likely to maintain monetary policy stance despite pressure from Germany to exit QE

Jan 26, 2017 07:09 am UTC| Economy Central Banks Commentary

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain its monetary policy stance despite pressure from Germany to rollback quantitative easing. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble in its latest speech called on...

FxWirePro: Why and how to capture GBP IV convexity - 1-3m GBP/JPY vols combinations conducive for diagonal strips as skews favor bears

Jan 26, 2017 06:50 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The ATM volatility of GBP crosses are reasonable rising higher levels until next weeks BoE monetary policy meeting, although we are expecting a calm down a little after another roller-coaster ride in the GBP around the BoE...

RBNZ likely to hold policy rate steady for foreseeable future, OCR hikes in 2017 seem premature

Jan 26, 2017 05:24 am UTC| Economy Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to hold its first monetary policy meeting of 2017 on February 9. It is widely expected to maintain its officialcash rate (OCR) at a historic low of 1.75 percent amid...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 26th January 2017

Jan 26, 2017 05:02 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Not many economic data and events scheduled for today and all with low to medium volatility risks associated. Upcoming: Germany: GFK consumer confidence number for February will be released at 7:00 GMT, followed...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: SARB inaction in benchmark but shift in forecasts – lingering headwinds indicate USD/ZAR upside risks and IVs conducive for option spreads

Jan 25, 2017 12:28 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In the recent unanimous decision of South African central bank (SARB), benchmark rateisunchanged at 7% as had universally been projected. However, the SARB increased its projections and now only expects the overall rate to...