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British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s recent visit to China underscores the complex balancing act Western middle powers are attempting as rivalry between Beijing and Washington intensifies. While the trip allowed China to project itself as a reliable global partner, the tangible economic and strategic gains for Britain and other U.S. allies remain limited.
Starmer follows Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who also visited China weeks earlier and later spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos about a shifting global trade order as U.S. President Donald Trump continues to disrupt long-standing alliances during his second term. European leaders, India’s Narendra Modi, and others have also engaged Beijing, but questions persist about the long-term benefits of such outreach for Western economies and security interests.
Analysts note that these visits are partly designed to signal to Washington that alternatives exist if U.S. pressure continues on issues such as trade renegotiations and territorial disputes. However, experts argue that replacing the United States with China as an economic partner is neither realistic nor desirable. China’s weak domestic consumption and massive export surplus limit opportunities for balanced trade, especially for countries trying to protect their own manufacturing sectors.
During his trip, Starmer secured modest wins, including 30-day visa-free travel for Britons to China, reduced tariffs on whisky, and a $15 billion investment announcement by AstraZeneca. Yet he made little progress on sensitive issues such as Taiwan, Hong Kong, or China’s ties with Russia. Critics in Britain and the U.S. raised concerns over espionage and human rights, which Beijing denies.
China’s export-driven growth continues to pose risks for Western economies. Its record $1.2 trillion trade surplus and rising exports to Europe, Britain, and Canada highlight widening imbalances. While some analysts say resetting ties with Beijing can help ease tensions and address supply chain dependencies, they caution that these visits largely serve China’s narrative goals.
Ultimately, experts agree that such diplomacy is less about pivoting to China and more about reducing friction. As one analyst put it, no country wants to be caught in open conflict with both global superpowers at the same time.
