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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed hike aftermath series: hike odds improve as equities rally and economy improves

Mar 01, 2016 13:59 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

At the end of last year, market was predicting FED will hike rates twice this year and the first to come as early as March. However, global financial market turmoil has been pushing hikes into the future, to the point that...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

US economy unlikely to enter deflationary period, Fed likely to hike rates two more times in 2016

Feb 29, 2016 05:54 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The stronger consumer spending and income report for January is very re-assuring for the US economy. Consumer spending recorded a moderate growth during the end of 2015 and is off to the races in 2016 with real consumption...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Key commentaries from Stanley Fischer

Feb 24, 2016 07:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Someone is not worried of market moves! US Federal Reserve vice chair in a speech at energy conference sounded more hawkish than the FED chair Janet Yellen sounded in congress. Key commentaries According to Mr....

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed rate hikes later this year still remain on the table

Feb 22, 2016 15:06 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Data released last Friday showed that US overall CPI remained unchanged in Jan after slipping 0.1 percent in Dec. The CPI increased 1.4 percent in the 12 months through Jan, the biggest rise since Oct 2014, after gaining...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FOMC's new hints on inflation, risk assessment and economic outlook

Feb 18, 2016 13:34 pm UTC| Insights & Views

On balance, the minutes contain little information that we had not already gleaned from recent speeches by FOMC members and Chair Yellens testimony to Congress last week. The committee maintained a positive assessment...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Rosengren lays out conditions required for FED easing

Feb 17, 2016 09:32 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

President of Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, in his speech today, laid out the conditions, under which FED or rather he might consider voting to ease policy from here. He called that central banks might have to revise...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed hike aftermath series: hike probability review post Yellen testimony

Feb 11, 2016 07:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Russia's Crypto Clampdown: Tight Regulations Aim to Curb Cryptocurrency Activities

Russia is poised to enact stringent regulations on cryptocurrency trading, aiming to curb the mass trade of digital assets like Bitcoin within its borders. This move, driven by geopolitical tensions and sanctions, signals...

Bitcoin's Ongoing Battle at $64K; Cardano's Hoskinson Ends Ripple Debate

Bitcoin traders are on edge as the cryptocurrency battles to sustain its position above $64,000, with analyst Josh Olszewicz warning of lingering concerns. Meanwhile, Cardanos Charles Hoskinson settles the Ripple and XRP...

Samsung's Galaxy S25 Rumored to Boost Longevity with 'Battery AI'

Samsungs upcoming Galaxy S25 Ultra is poised to incorporate Battery AI, an innovative technology promising to improve battery life by up to 10% through smarter energy management. Unlocking the Potential of Battery AI in...

AI Protocol Render (RNDR) Soars 15% As Bitcoin Fights For Balance

As Bitcoin grapples with market volatility, altcoin Render (RNDR) stands out with a remarkable 15% surge, showcasing its resilience amid the crypto markets tumult. This surge comes as Bitcoin struggles to find stability,...

Huawei's Covert US Funding Scheme Raises Eyebrows Amid Export Ban

The revelation of Huaweis discreet sponsorship of U.S. research through a Washington-based foundation has reignited concerns about the efficacy of the export ban. Despite regulatory hurdles, the tech giant managed to fund...