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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Market odds of Fed hikes are falling fast

Feb 04, 2016 02:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The markets have always reckoned the Fed would hike fewer times than officials themselves thought but its the swing more than the gap that now catches the eye. Markets priced in close to 3 hikes in 2016 (after the initial...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Market now price in no hike from FED in 2016

Feb 03, 2016 10:13 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants are now seeing no chance of a hike in 2016, especially as volatility returned in the market. Bank of Japans (BOJ) introduction of negative rates seem to have only paused the selloffs for a day and...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Esther George – return of a hawk

Feb 03, 2016 09:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

A well-known hawk and dissenter of FED policy is back on the core-committee of FOMC this year, who will be a decision maker in the board. In the past, Ms. George has remained critique of ultra-loose monetary policy of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed to be cautious in tightening policy, to avoid global asset price inflation

Jan 29, 2016 15:06 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Fed is likely to tighten monetary policy only by as much as markets allow without major turmoil. The Fed will try to avoid any further asset price inflation and ease any bubbles that have already emerged, such as in...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

After FOMC and BOJ, where does FED hike probabilities stand?

Jan 29, 2016 12:26 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants backed down their expectations for rate hike further into the future, more so after FOMC sounded cautious in this weeks meeting and Bank of Japan (BOJ) introduced negative rates. Market now expects...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

US Fed likely to hold funds rate target in March

Jan 28, 2016 06:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The US Fed maintained the Fed funds rate target at 0.25-0.50, on par with expectations. Nevertheless, there were many changes to the central banks statement that indicate that the Fed might keep the rates on hold in March....

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Dovish Fed keeps its options open

Jan 27, 2016 20:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As expected, the Fed expressed concern about the economic outlook due to the recent market turbulence. But it didnt rule out a rate hike in March. The Fed is expected to postpone the next hike from March to June. As...

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Economy

The yen plunges to 34-year low despite interest rate hike

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years on March 19, bringing an era of negative interest rates to an end. The key rate was hiked from 0.1% to a band from zero to 0.1% a token effort...

The idea that US interest rates will stay higher for longer is probably wrong

The 0.4% rise in US consumer prices in March didnt look like headline news. It was the same as the February increase, and the year-on-year rise of 3.5% is still sharply down from 5% a year ago. All the same, this modest...

Impact of Iran-Israel conflict on Stocks, Gold and Bitcoin

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for general purposes only. No information, materials, services and other content provided on this page constitute a solicitation, recommendation,...

Japan Posts 7.7% Growth in Machinery Orders

In a striking development that looks set to invigorate Japans economic prospects, a key gauge of capital spending in the country has seen its most significant jump in over a year. According to Cabinet Office data released...

Why Africa can be the beating heart of South Korea’s technology industry

Tshepo Ncube, Head: International Coverage and Bhavtik Vallabhjee, Head: Power, Utilities Infrastructure at Absa CIB reflect on their recent visit to South Korea, examining why investors in the region have their eyes set...

Politics

US Commerce Secretary Asserts Huawei Chip Lag, Affirms Export Control Success

In an interview on CBS News 60 Minutes, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated that the latest Huawei Mate 60 Pro phones chip remains significantly behind U.S. technology despite being the most advanced from China. She...

The Alberta government is interfering in public sector bargaining on an unprecedented scale

In the coming months, over 200,000 public sector workers in Alberta will begin bargaining with their employers for new contracts. The most recent agreements expired in March and, after many years of high inflation and few...

Putin’s Russia: first arrests under new anti-LGBT laws mark new era of repression

Just over three decades after Russia decriminalised homosexuality in 1993, three people have been arrested and charged under the countrys harsh new anti-LGBT laws and could face ten years in prison for membership of an...

Nvidia RTX 4090D Embroiled in US-China Tech Rivalry; South Korea Navigates Chip Export Dilemma

The U.S. government has tightened export restrictions on high-performance semiconductor chips to China, including the Nvidia RTX 4090D, and is urging South Korea to enforce similar curbs, marking a significant escalation...

Canada needs a national strategy for homeless refugee claimants

One year after the federal government closed Roxham Road, refugee claims in Canada continue to increase: there were 143,785 in 2023 compared to 91,730 in 2022. The surprise announcement in March 2023 to modify Canadas...

Science

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Exploding stars are rare but emit torrents of radiation − if one happened close enough to Earth, it could threaten life on the planet

Stars like the Sun are remarkably constant. They vary in brightness by only 0.1% over years and decades, thanks to the fusion of hydrogen into helium that powers them. This process will keep the Sun shining steadily for...

Technology

Tesla Nears FSD Licensing Deal with Major Automaker, Hits 1.3 Billion Milestone

In Teslas latest quarterly update, CEO Elon Musk disclosed ongoing Full Self-Driving (FSD) licensing negotiations with a major automaker, noting the significant engagement from FSD users who have now surpassed 1.3 billion...

Mercedes Launches 2025 G-Class Electric with Four Motors and Revolutionary Tank Turns

Mercedes-Benz revealed the 2025 G-Class electric model, the G580 with EQ technology, in Beverly Hills. It boasts four motors and an innovative tank turn capability, setting a new benchmark in luxury electric...

U.S. Prosecutors Demand Three Years for Former Binance CEO Zhao Over Laundering

In a stern move reflecting the severity of financial crimes, U.S. prosecutors have recommended a 36-month prison sentence for Changpeng Zhao, the former CEO of cryptocurrency giant Binance, for aiding in money laundering...

Asahi Kasei to Build EV Battery Plant in Canada to Supply Key Parts to Honda Motor

Asahi Kasei Corporation, a chemical company based in Japan, announced it will build a new production plant in Canada where it will make parts for electric vehicle batteries. The company will then supply critical materials...

SK Networks Sets Up AI Research Lab in Silicon Valley

SK Networks established its own AI research center in the United States. The lab was inaugurated in Silicon Valley, California, on Tuesday, April 23. The site will become SK Networks AI base outside of South Korea. The...