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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Inflation uptick and higher US rates to keep RBI cautious

Dec 15, 2015 02:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Uptick in domestic inflation prints and an impending US rate lift-off later this week are likely to keep the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cautious on the policy front. Markets see an over 70% probability of a US rate...

Currency War Series

Bank of Thailand to keep rates steady

Dec 15, 2015 01:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of Thailand (BOT) is likely to keep its policy rate steady this week. GDP growth momentum remains weak, dragged by a weak private sector demand. There is not much that the BOT can do on this front though. Households...

Currency War Series

BOE hike path is underestimated, according to deputy governor

Dec 14, 2015 13:12 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market might be underestimating Bank of Englands (BOE) policymakers zeal to hike interest rates and market might be too dovish in their expectations of the path of hike, according BOE deputy governor, Minouche Shafik, at...

Currency War Series

Low CEE inflation supports accommodative monetary policy

Dec 14, 2015 11:44 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

On 11 December 2015, the Bank of Russia decided to keep the key rate at 11.00 percent per annum, in recognition of growing inflation risks, but the risks of economic cooling remain. The bank estimates annual pace of...

Currency War Series

PBoC strikes a chord again – Is Fed likely to discount FX war?

Dec 14, 2015 10:56 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The focus for this week would be apart from the Fed meeting the main movers this week will be: US CPI (Tuesday) German ZEW (Tuesday) Euro Flash PMI (Wednesday) German Ifo (Thursday). Focus would remain to...

Currency War Series

Banxico's policy rate likely to reach 4.0pct by end-2016

Dec 14, 2015 09:29 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Banxico committee is schedule to meet on policy rates on 17th December, a day after U.S. Fed meeting. The central bank is expected to hike its bank rates by following the Fed. The Fed rate hike will increase the...

Currency War Series

China's policymakers need to ease monetary policy further to support growth

Dec 14, 2015 09:22 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Chinese Yuan has slowly dropped against US dollar over last month. Novembers PBoC FX reserve data indicates active intervention to smooth out CNY depreciation pressures. This depreciation bias is expected to persist in...

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Economy

KOSPI Hits Record High as AI Chip Demand Boosts Samsung and SK Hynix

South Koreas benchmark KOSPI index climbed to a historic high on Monday, fueled by a strong rally in semiconductor stocks amid booming artificial intelligence demand and tightening global memory chip supplies. The KOSPI...

US Stock Futures Slip as Trump Rejects Iran Peace Proposal Amid Rising Middle East Tensions

U.S. stock index futures edged lower Sunday night after President Donald Trump dismissed Irans response to a U.S.-backed peace proposal aimed at ending the ongoing conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Investor...

Trump to Visit China for Key U.S.-China Summit With Xi Jinping

U.S. President Donald Trump is set to visit China from May 13 to 15 for a high-level summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, according to Chinese state media reports released Monday. The visit marks a major diplomatic...

China Inflation Jumps as Iran Conflict Drives Energy Costs Higher

Chinas inflation rate accelerated in April as rising energy prices and supply chain disruptions linked to the Iran conflict pushed consumer and producer costs higher than expected. According to data released by the...

Gold Prices Slip as Strong Dollar and Rising Oil Weigh on Market Sentiment

Gold prices declined during Asian trading on Monday after recording solid gains last week, as rising oil prices and a stronger U.S. dollar reduced investor demand for the precious metal. Market sentiment shifted after U.S....

Politics

Qatar Condemns Drone Strike as Iran Conflict Threatens Gulf Shipping and Global Markets

Qatar has strongly condemned a drone strike on a cargo vessel in its territorial waters, calling the incident a serious violation of international law and a dangerous escalation in the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. The...

Iran Military Readiness Intensifies After Meeting With Mojtaba Khamenei

Irans military leadership has reinforced its warning against the United States and Israel following a high-level meeting between senior armed forces officials and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, according to a report...

Malaysia Unveils Energy Security Plan Amid Iran Conflict and Rising Oil Costs

Malaysia is preparing to introduce a comprehensive strategy to protect its oil supply as tensions surrounding the Iran conflict continue to disrupt global energy markets. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim is expected to...

Qatar LNG Tanker Crosses Strait of Hormuz Amid Iran War Tensions

A QatarEnergy-operated liquefied natural gas tanker successfully crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday for the first time since the Iran war began on February 28, signaling a possible easing of tensions in one of the...

Germany Rejects Putin’s Proposal for Schroeder to Mediate Ukraine Peace Talks

Germany has dismissed Russian President Vladimir Putins suggestion that former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder could act as a mediator between Russia and the European Union in possible Ukraine peace negotiations....

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Nintendo Shares Tumble as Weak Forecast and Rising Switch 2 Costs Worry Investors

Nintendo shares plunged on Monday after the Japanese gaming giant posted annual earnings that missed analyst expectations and issued a weaker-than-expected outlook for the current fiscal year. The disappointing forecast...

AI-Driven Inflation Raises U.S. Consumer Prices, Goldman Sachs Says

Artificial intelligence is starting to increase U.S. consumer prices through rising costs in electronics, software, and electricity, according to a new Goldman Sachs report. The investment bank said AI-related inflation...

Judge Delays SEC Settlement With Elon Musk Over Twitter Stock Disclosure Case

A federal judge has declined to immediately approve a proposed $1.5 million settlement between Elon Musk and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) tied to Musks 2022 Twitter stock purchase disclosures. The...

Broadcom Eyes $35 Billion AI Chip Financing Deal With Apollo and Blackstone

Broadcom Inc. is reportedly in discussions with Apollo Global Management and Blackstone Inc. to secure around $35 billion in financing for its expanding artificial intelligence chip business, according to a Bloomberg...

Dell Stock Hits Record High After Trump Endorsement, AI Server Demand Fuels Rally

Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DELL) surged to an all-time high on Friday after receiving a public endorsement from President Donald Trump during a White House event. The president encouraged Americans to go out and buy...
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