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Currency War Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Norway's Krone rules against strong Dollar as Norges Bank hold rates

Dec 17, 2015 10:49 am UTC| Commentary

After drop against Dollar yesterday, as US Federal Reserve raise rates by 25 basis points, Krone is just in forward march today after Norges bank kept rates steady at 0.75%, despite weakness in oil price, Norways biggest...

Currency War Series

Philippines' BSP may hike rate in Q2 17

Dec 17, 2015 09:45 am UTC| Commentary

The central bank of Philipinas holds its current policy rate unchanged at 4.00%, as expected. The bank also kept SDA rates unchanged at 2.50% and the reserve requirement ratio unchanged at 20%. The BSP holds the bank rates...

Currency War Series

With the Fed rate hike well flagged, "Tone of Conference" will be the key to drive markets

Dec 15, 2015 11:22 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Markets are nervous heading into the FOMC decision due tomorrow. With the hike in the fed funds rate well flagged, focus is likely to shift from the initial hike to the subsequent path as to be detailed in the statement to...

Currency War Series

Riskbank holds rates citing stronger economy

Dec 15, 2015 09:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today, Swedens Riskbank kept policy steady and interest rates at -0.35% as economic prospects for future improve. Though it indicated that to safeguard upturn in inflation, monetary policy needs to be very expansionary,...

Currency War Series

Fed's rate hike may hit emerging markets

Dec 15, 2015 08:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The long awaited Fed rate hike will come to end soon as it is set to hike at tomorow meeting. The Fed rate hike will worry the emerging economies. In addition to poor economic outlook, the EMs are having large current...

Currency War Series

BI likely to deliver two 25bp rate cuts next year

Dec 15, 2015 07:22 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Indonesias trade balance for November posted a small deficit of USD0.3bn as a result of poor performance of export. The non-oil manufactured exports reduced sharply and caused the overall exports to fall by 17.58%. The...

Currency War Series

No policy action this week from BoJ

Dec 15, 2015 02:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Japan should have the room to stand pat this Friday, given that the 3Q GDP has been revised up and a technical recession was averted. Meanwhile, the impact from a possible Fed move needs to be closely watched...

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Economy

ECB May Stop Rate Hikes After December, Capital Economics Says

Investors may be expecting more European Central Bank rate hikes than necessary, as the euro zones energy-driven inflation surge is unlikely to create lasting wage and price pressures, according to Capital Economics. The...

Trump to Ease U.S. Fuel-Economy Standards

The Trump administration is set to unveil new U.S. vehicle fuel-efficiency standards on Monday, rolling back requirements adopted under former President Joe Biden, Bloomberg reported. President Donald Trump announced plans...

China Consumer Stocks Near Decade Lows as AI Shares Surge

Chinese consumer stocks have fallen close to decade lows as weak household spending and surging investor interest in artificial intelligence widen the divide between Chinas consumer and technology sectors, Bloomberg...

UK PM Burnham to Unveil Economic Vision at Labour Conference

UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham will set out his economic vision at next weeks Labour Party conference, aiming to restore confidence in Britains outlook as households and businesses face rising inflation, energy costs and...

Germany’s 2026 Growth Outlook Strengthens on Fiscal Spending

Germanys economy is showing signs of stronger-than-expected growth in 2026 as increased government spending begins to support activity, according to Citi analysts. The fiscal boost is currently most visible in defence...

Politics

Germany Political Risks Rise as Merz Faces Coalition Pressure

Political uncertainty in Germany remains elevated after a series of regional election setbacks intensified pressure on Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his governing coalition, with UBS economists outlining three possible...

Iran Says Diplomacy Only Path to End U.S.-Israel Conflict

Iran said diplomacy remains the only viable path to ending its conflict with the United States and Israel after President Donald Trump rejected Tehrans proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and pause regional fighting....

South Africa Seeks US Talks Despite Visa Restrictions

South Africa remains willing to negotiate with the United States over key areas of disagreement, including foreign investment rules, racial equity policies and mining opportunities, Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola said...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Protect Chip Supply

Continued U.S. arms sales to Taiwan serve Washingtons national interests by strengthening the islands defenses and safeguarding its critical semiconductor industry, Taiwan Deputy Foreign Minister Francois Wu said Saturday....

China Agrees to Buy 20 Million Tons of U.S. Coal

China has agreed to purchase at least 10 million metric tons of U.S. coal annually in 2027 and 2028 as Washington and Beijing deepen trade cooperation following their latest high-level negotiations, Bloomberg reported. The...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI AI Agents Bypassed UN Website Controls in Data Scraping

OpenAIs autonomous AI agents used increasingly aggressive methods to retrieve public data from a United Nations website, including bypassing restrictions designed to block automated requests, according to a Wall Street...

TikTok Reaches $100 Million Alabama Settlement Over Child Safety Claims

TikTok and Chinese parent company ByteDance have reached a settlement with Alabama over allegations that the social media platform was designed to encourage addictive behavior among children while misleading consumers...

OpenAI Agents Access U.S. Government Websites During Testing

OpenAI artificial intelligence agents accessed several U.S. government websites and performed unintended online actions during months of testing, raising fresh concerns about the safeguards surrounding autonomous AI...

AMD Hits $1 Trillion as BofA Raises Price Target to $720

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has joined the $1 trillion market capitalization club, and BofA Securities believes the semiconductor giant has room to climb further as artificial intelligence drives stronger demand...

US Appeals Court Upholds Anthropic AI Supply Chain Ban

A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld the Department of Wars decision to exclude Anthropic from its supply chain, handing the Trump administration a significant victory in a closely watched dispute over military use of...