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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Central Bank of Republic of Turkey likely to rise repo rate by 50bps

Dec 22, 2015 10:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Turkeys central bank, CBRT is yet to announce its rate decision today. Most of the market participants expect the bank to rise its repurchase rate by 50 basis points to 8%. The central bank governor Basci presentes the...

Renminbi Series

Currency War Series

Risk of capital outflow persists in China on Fed rate hike

Dec 22, 2015 09:38 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Greater tolerance for CNY weakness against the USD is likely to support the ebbed capital outflows moving ahead. The outflows might have risen in November. These are evidenced by a notable decline in PBoC FX Reserves of...

Currency War Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What caused PBoC’s TWI for currency mechanism – USD/CNY hedging perspectives

Dec 22, 2015 09:03 am UTC| Technicals

After PBoCs trade-weighted view of CNY during a last weekend, the warning shot from PBoC for the FX Wars, we dont think Fed has taken this into account very seriously. PBoCs operational documents were recently released...

Currency War Series

Two more cuts likely from RBA in H1 2016

Dec 22, 2015 04:36 am UTC| Commentary

Mirroring the lack of front end direction in AU/US rate spreads, AUD/USD is still trading in 0.70/0.74 range. This spread is likely to narrow from both sides over coming three months, sending the pair lower. Our...

Currency War Series

BoJ tweaks policy as growth firms

Dec 21, 2015 23:54 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The recent data flow from Japan on balance has been encouraging. Reports indicate that business expansion has strengthened and broadened, spanning from the labor market to capex. This weeks BoJ Tankan reinforced this...

Currency War Series

BoE to follow Fed but not in a hurry

Dec 21, 2015 23:18 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of England is expected to follow the Fed in coming months, launching a rate cycle before midyear. The UK labor market continued to strengthen this week, with a strong gain in jobs and another drop in the...

Currency War Series

Poland's NBP may cut policy rate by 75bps next year

Dec 21, 2015 13:03 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Polands net inflation for November released last week remained at 0.2 percent year on year. The CPI inflation rate is expected to enter negative territory in December. The economy is expected to remain in deflation of...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Steady Ahead of US CPI as Oil Prices Rise

Asian currencies were mostly unchanged against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as investors awaited key U.S. inflation data that could shape expectations for the Federal Reserves next interest-rate decision. Meanwhile, rising...

Canada, US Hold Fresh Trade Talks as August 19 Tariff Deadline Nears

Canada and the United States held another round of high-level trade talks on Tuesday as Ottawa seeks to prevent new U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods from taking effect on August 19. Dominic LeBlanc, Canadas minister...

Australia Sets New Minimum Pay, Insurance Rules for Gig Workers

Australias Fair Work Commission (FWC) has approved new minimum standards for food and grocery delivery workers, giving gig economy workers higher pay and greater protection against workplace injuries. Under the new rules,...

Gold Price Holds Near $4,400 as Hormuz Risks and CPI Drive Markets

Gold prices climbed on Wednesday, remaining close to the $4,400-an-ounce mark as uncertainty surrounding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz boosted oil prices and kept investors focused on the Federal Reserves...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Tensions Threaten Global Supply

Oil prices climbed on Wednesday, approaching a two-week high as uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz and fresh attacks on shipping raised concerns about prolonged disruptions to global crude supplies. Brent crude oil...

Politics

Peggy Flanagan Wins Minnesota Democratic Senate Nomination

Minnesota Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan has secured the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate, setting up a closely watched general election contest against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya. U.S. media outlets...

U.S. Military Operations Killed 153 Civilians in 2025, Pentagon Says

U.S. military operations killed 153 civilians and wounded another 243 in 2025, according to Pentagon assessments cited by a U.S. official, marking a sharp increase from the civilian casualty figures reported for 2024. The...

Bashar al-Assad Sentenced to Death After Syria Regime Collapse

Bashar al-Assads 24-year rule over Syria ended dramatically in December 2024 after rebel forces launched a rapid offensive that overwhelmed his weakened military. With Russia focused on its war in Ukraine and Iran weakened...

Trump Signs Order to Cut Routine Childhood Vaccines

President Donald Trump has signed an executive order seeking to reduce the number of routine childhood vaccinations recommended in the United States and directing the Justice Department to challenge certain state vaccine...

Wisconsin Democratic Primary Tests Progressive Appeal

Democratic socialist Francesca Hong and moderate David Crowley remained locked in a tight race Tuesday in Wisconsins closely watched Democratic gubernatorial primary, offering an important test of progressive candidates...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI Executive Brad Lightcap to Leave for New AI Venture

Brad Lightcap, one of OpenAIs most senior executives and its former chief operating officer, is leaving the artificial intelligence company to launch a new venture, adding to a series of major leadership changes across the...

Anthropic Signs $9.1B AI Data Center Deal With Riot Platforms

Anthropic has reportedly signed a $9.1 billion long-term agreement with Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) to secure large-scale AI computing capacity, marking another major investment by the Claude developer as demand for...

Trump Media Says Truth API Draws 10+ Customers as Conflict Concerns Grow

Trump Media Technology Group said Monday that more than 10 customers have signed up for its upcoming Truth API, a real-time data service designed to provide rapid access to posts from prominent Truth Social accounts,...

Nvidia Secures $500 Billion AI Infrastructure Push With Wall Street Giants

Nvidia is expanding its influence beyond semiconductors after announcing agreements aimed at mobilizing up to $500 billion in third-party capital for artificial intelligence infrastructure. The move brings the AI chip...

SEC Clears Path for Data Center Securitizations as AI Financing Demand Surges

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has provided regulatory clarification that could make it easier for data center owners and operators to access capital markets as the artificial intelligence boom drives...
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