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Currency War Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

BOK rate-cut expectations premature

Feb 02, 2016 02:12 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The market expectations for BOK rate cuts have increased after the Bank of Japan introduced negative rates last Friday. The spread between the 1Y KRW IRS and its benchmark has widened notably to -15bps on 1st Feb from...

Currency War Series

RBA likely to stand pat in tomorrow’s monetary policy

Feb 01, 2016 13:41 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

In tomorrows the Reserve Bank of Australia board meeting for interest rate decision, the expectations have increased that the board would decide to hold the cash rate steady at 2.0%. With the market probability of a move...

Currency War Series

BoK likely to cut rate by 25bp in Q1

Feb 01, 2016 12:34 pm UTC| Commentary

S. Koreas December current account surplus reduced to 7.5 billion USD as compared to Novembers print of 9.9 billion USD as a result of high deficits on the primary income and services accounts. This offset the goods...

Currency War Series

Banxico likely to stay mute at its forthcoming meeting

Feb 01, 2016 11:56 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In Mexico, ongoing growth acceleration along with the pass-through from currency depreciation in tradable goods prices suggest further tightening of the current economic situation as well as inflation. Despite downward...

Currency War Series

Indonesia’s inflation accelerates moderately in January, may give way for further easing

Feb 01, 2016 06:47 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Indonesias inflation accelerated moderately in January to 4.14%, as compared with Barclays expectations of 4.3% and consensus expectations of 4.26%. Inflation accelerated due to lower base, as fuel prices were reduced in...

Currency War Series

Mario Draghi may push Euro lower today

Feb 01, 2016 06:42 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi, sounded more confident in banks January meeting that in December, when he disappointed market expectations and was seen fumbling literally during the course of press...

Currency War Series

RBI unlikely to lower rates on 2 Feb

Feb 01, 2016 05:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to lower rates further in 2016 after cutting the rate by 50bp in September 2015. The efficacy of rate cuts is expected to depend on the rate of transmission to the lending rate. Till...

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Economy

ECB May Stop Rate Hikes After December, Capital Economics Says

Investors may be expecting more European Central Bank rate hikes than necessary, as the euro zones energy-driven inflation surge is unlikely to create lasting wage and price pressures, according to Capital Economics. The...

Trump to Ease U.S. Fuel-Economy Standards

The Trump administration is set to unveil new U.S. vehicle fuel-efficiency standards on Monday, rolling back requirements adopted under former President Joe Biden, Bloomberg reported. President Donald Trump announced plans...

China Consumer Stocks Near Decade Lows as AI Shares Surge

Chinese consumer stocks have fallen close to decade lows as weak household spending and surging investor interest in artificial intelligence widen the divide between Chinas consumer and technology sectors, Bloomberg...

UK PM Burnham to Unveil Economic Vision at Labour Conference

UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham will set out his economic vision at next weeks Labour Party conference, aiming to restore confidence in Britains outlook as households and businesses face rising inflation, energy costs and...

Germany’s 2026 Growth Outlook Strengthens on Fiscal Spending

Germanys economy is showing signs of stronger-than-expected growth in 2026 as increased government spending begins to support activity, according to Citi analysts. The fiscal boost is currently most visible in defence...

Politics

Germany Political Risks Rise as Merz Faces Coalition Pressure

Political uncertainty in Germany remains elevated after a series of regional election setbacks intensified pressure on Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his governing coalition, with UBS economists outlining three possible...

Iran Says Diplomacy Only Path to End U.S.-Israel Conflict

Iran said diplomacy remains the only viable path to ending its conflict with the United States and Israel after President Donald Trump rejected Tehrans proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and pause regional fighting....

South Africa Seeks US Talks Despite Visa Restrictions

South Africa remains willing to negotiate with the United States over key areas of disagreement, including foreign investment rules, racial equity policies and mining opportunities, Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola said...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Protect Chip Supply

Continued U.S. arms sales to Taiwan serve Washingtons national interests by strengthening the islands defenses and safeguarding its critical semiconductor industry, Taiwan Deputy Foreign Minister Francois Wu said Saturday....

China Agrees to Buy 20 Million Tons of U.S. Coal

China has agreed to purchase at least 10 million metric tons of U.S. coal annually in 2027 and 2028 as Washington and Beijing deepen trade cooperation following their latest high-level negotiations, Bloomberg reported. The...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI AI Agents Bypassed UN Website Controls in Data Scraping

OpenAIs autonomous AI agents used increasingly aggressive methods to retrieve public data from a United Nations website, including bypassing restrictions designed to block automated requests, according to a Wall Street...

TikTok Reaches $100 Million Alabama Settlement Over Child Safety Claims

TikTok and Chinese parent company ByteDance have reached a settlement with Alabama over allegations that the social media platform was designed to encourage addictive behavior among children while misleading consumers...

OpenAI Agents Access U.S. Government Websites During Testing

OpenAI artificial intelligence agents accessed several U.S. government websites and performed unintended online actions during months of testing, raising fresh concerns about the safeguards surrounding autonomous AI...

AMD Hits $1 Trillion as BofA Raises Price Target to $720

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has joined the $1 trillion market capitalization club, and BofA Securities believes the semiconductor giant has room to climb further as artificial intelligence drives stronger demand...

US Appeals Court Upholds Anthropic AI Supply Chain Ban

A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld the Department of Wars decision to exclude Anthropic from its supply chain, handing the Trump administration a significant victory in a closely watched dispute over military use of...