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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

RBI keeps policy steady amid global turmoil and weakness

Feb 02, 2016 07:46 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in spite of having some legroom to ease policy, preferred to wait it out today, especially when Indian new financial year budget is due this month. RBI policy statement sums it all what has...

Currency War Series

RBI keeps repo rate on hold, unlikely to change in 2016

Feb 02, 2016 06:47 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of India today kept its interest rate unchanged at 6.75%. The consensus forecasts the central bank to lose modestly later in 2016; however, according to Capital Economics, the RBI is likely to keep its...

Currency War Series

RBA keeps cash rate on hold, future rate decision to depend on market volatility and labor market

Feb 02, 2016 05:14 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash rate unchanged at 2%, on par with expectations. The central bank Governor stated that the future decisions on the interest rate will depend on two main factors; if the recent...

Currency War Series

BOK rate-cut expectations premature

Feb 02, 2016 02:12 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The market expectations for BOK rate cuts have increased after the Bank of Japan introduced negative rates last Friday. The spread between the 1Y KRW IRS and its benchmark has widened notably to -15bps on 1st Feb from...

Currency War Series

RBA likely to stand pat in tomorrow’s monetary policy

Feb 01, 2016 13:41 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

In tomorrows the Reserve Bank of Australia board meeting for interest rate decision, the expectations have increased that the board would decide to hold the cash rate steady at 2.0%. With the market probability of a move...

Currency War Series

BoK likely to cut rate by 25bp in Q1

Feb 01, 2016 12:34 pm UTC| Commentary

S. Koreas December current account surplus reduced to 7.5 billion USD as compared to Novembers print of 9.9 billion USD as a result of high deficits on the primary income and services accounts. This offset the goods...

Currency War Series

Banxico likely to stay mute at its forthcoming meeting

Feb 01, 2016 11:56 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In Mexico, ongoing growth acceleration along with the pass-through from currency depreciation in tradable goods prices suggest further tightening of the current economic situation as well as inflation. Despite downward...

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Economy

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Politics

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Technology

PEPE Price Surges 7% Amid 4 Trillion Pepe Coin Accumulation by Whale

A monumental 4 trillion Pepe coin accumulation by a crypto whale on May 3 has sparked a significant 7% surge in PEPEs price. This surge, observed amid bullish market sentiments, follows a week of price consolidation,...

Hyundai Motor Scales Up Hydrogen EV Truck Business in the US

Hyundai Motor Company is expanding its hydrogen EV truck operations in the United States to take the lead in this line of business in the region. As part of the initiative, South Korean vehicle manufacturers are offering...

Kakao Enhances AI Focus, Merges Kakao Brain Into Core Operations

South Koreas Kakao Corporation finally decided to absorb Kakao Brains AI unit. The tech and internet giant is taking over its AI research and development (RD) business, which will include all of the departments staff and...

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Team Insider Unravels Key Burn Mystery: Exclusive Details

In a revealing discussion, Lucie, a member of the Shiba Inu team, sheds light on the enigmatic key burns orchestrated by the projects founder, Ryoshi. Lucies insights, shared in response to community inquiries, clarify...
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