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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

CBRT likely to begin policy simplification after April

Feb 03, 2016 07:14 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

CBRT Governor Bascis speech indicated that the central bank does not plan to begin its simplification process in the near term. According to Basci, under the present scenario of volatility, the flexibility given by the...

Currency War Series

Taiwan's rate-cut expectations warranted

Feb 03, 2016 02:06 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The market rates are falling in Taiwan, reflecting the ripple effects of Bank of Japans negative rates policy. The overnight TWD interbank rate, which stayed stable at 0.23% before the Bank of Japans (BOJ) policy...

Currency War Series

Riksbank likely to lower rates again next week

Feb 02, 2016 09:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Riksbank is likely to lower rates again. Moreover, there is a risk of additional stimulus measures later in 2016. At the end of 2015, the sentiment was positive and there were indications that the monetary stimuli period...

Currency War Series

BoE likely to keep interest rate hikes on hold

Feb 02, 2016 09:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In January, BoE Governor Mark Carney stated that the central bankers do not expect the oil prices to rise, suggesting that the global economy should benefit out of the current lows. Inflation has drastically fallen and is...

Currency War Series

RBI keeps policy steady amid global turmoil and weakness

Feb 02, 2016 07:46 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in spite of having some legroom to ease policy, preferred to wait it out today, especially when Indian new financial year budget is due this month. RBI policy statement sums it all what has...

Currency War Series

RBI keeps repo rate on hold, unlikely to change in 2016

Feb 02, 2016 06:47 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of India today kept its interest rate unchanged at 6.75%. The consensus forecasts the central bank to lose modestly later in 2016; however, according to Capital Economics, the RBI is likely to keep its...

Currency War Series

RBA keeps cash rate on hold, future rate decision to depend on market volatility and labor market

Feb 02, 2016 05:14 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash rate unchanged at 2%, on par with expectations. The central bank Governor stated that the future decisions on the interest rate will depend on two main factors; if the recent...

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Economy

ECB May Stop Rate Hikes After December, Capital Economics Says

Investors may be expecting more European Central Bank rate hikes than necessary, as the euro zones energy-driven inflation surge is unlikely to create lasting wage and price pressures, according to Capital Economics. The...

Trump to Ease U.S. Fuel-Economy Standards

The Trump administration is set to unveil new U.S. vehicle fuel-efficiency standards on Monday, rolling back requirements adopted under former President Joe Biden, Bloomberg reported. President Donald Trump announced plans...

China Consumer Stocks Near Decade Lows as AI Shares Surge

Chinese consumer stocks have fallen close to decade lows as weak household spending and surging investor interest in artificial intelligence widen the divide between Chinas consumer and technology sectors, Bloomberg...

UK PM Burnham to Unveil Economic Vision at Labour Conference

UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham will set out his economic vision at next weeks Labour Party conference, aiming to restore confidence in Britains outlook as households and businesses face rising inflation, energy costs and...

Germany’s 2026 Growth Outlook Strengthens on Fiscal Spending

Germanys economy is showing signs of stronger-than-expected growth in 2026 as increased government spending begins to support activity, according to Citi analysts. The fiscal boost is currently most visible in defence...

Politics

Germany Political Risks Rise as Merz Faces Coalition Pressure

Political uncertainty in Germany remains elevated after a series of regional election setbacks intensified pressure on Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his governing coalition, with UBS economists outlining three possible...

Iran Says Diplomacy Only Path to End U.S.-Israel Conflict

Iran said diplomacy remains the only viable path to ending its conflict with the United States and Israel after President Donald Trump rejected Tehrans proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and pause regional fighting....

South Africa Seeks US Talks Despite Visa Restrictions

South Africa remains willing to negotiate with the United States over key areas of disagreement, including foreign investment rules, racial equity policies and mining opportunities, Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola said...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Protect Chip Supply

Continued U.S. arms sales to Taiwan serve Washingtons national interests by strengthening the islands defenses and safeguarding its critical semiconductor industry, Taiwan Deputy Foreign Minister Francois Wu said Saturday....

China Agrees to Buy 20 Million Tons of U.S. Coal

China has agreed to purchase at least 10 million metric tons of U.S. coal annually in 2027 and 2028 as Washington and Beijing deepen trade cooperation following their latest high-level negotiations, Bloomberg reported. The...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI AI Agents Bypassed UN Website Controls in Data Scraping

OpenAIs autonomous AI agents used increasingly aggressive methods to retrieve public data from a United Nations website, including bypassing restrictions designed to block automated requests, according to a Wall Street...

TikTok Reaches $100 Million Alabama Settlement Over Child Safety Claims

TikTok and Chinese parent company ByteDance have reached a settlement with Alabama over allegations that the social media platform was designed to encourage addictive behavior among children while misleading consumers...

OpenAI Agents Access U.S. Government Websites During Testing

OpenAI artificial intelligence agents accessed several U.S. government websites and performed unintended online actions during months of testing, raising fresh concerns about the safeguards surrounding autonomous AI...

AMD Hits $1 Trillion as BofA Raises Price Target to $720

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has joined the $1 trillion market capitalization club, and BofA Securities believes the semiconductor giant has room to climb further as artificial intelligence drives stronger demand...

US Appeals Court Upholds Anthropic AI Supply Chain Ban

A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld the Department of Wars decision to exclude Anthropic from its supply chain, handing the Trump administration a significant victory in a closely watched dispute over military use of...
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