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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

RBA seems to have strengthened easing bias, but keeps cash rate unchanged

Mar 01, 2016 05:54 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia has decided to keep the cash rate unchanged at 2%, on par with expectations. The central bank had expressed its easing bias in its recent statements saying persistent low inflation may give...

Currency War Series

Strong job growth reduces the chances of further monetary easing from BoK

Feb 29, 2016 14:45 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Koreas recent strong job growth has been led by the manufacturing sector, contradicting the view that manufacturing jobs will likely decline as a country advances from an emerging to a developed economy. The pickup in...

Currency War Series

Sluggish credit growth defends ECB's action for further easing and even more negative interest rates

Feb 26, 2016 11:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Euro-zone Monetary Indicators released on Thursday showed that bank lending in the Euro area was not much different compared to the earlier months: growth was positive but still weak. Data showed that euro-zone broad money...

Currency War Series

National Bank of Hungary likely to lower rates in Q2 2016

Feb 25, 2016 05:14 am UTC| Commentary

In 2015, the Hungarian economy performed very well. The economy is likely to have expanded above trend in 2015 after many years of stagnation. This led to stronger price pressures with core CPI inflation accelerating from...

Currency War Series

Banxico unlikely to tolerate excessive MXN weakness

Feb 24, 2016 15:43 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Mexicos GDP data for Q4 2015 came in line with expectations at 2.5% y/y. Remarkably, the Q3 data were revised higher to 2.8% y/y and 0.8% m/m, confirming robust Mexican fundamentals . Decent growth and modest inflation...

Currency War Series

Briferendum Series

BOE governor expresses worries over Pound

Feb 24, 2016 09:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After the initial jump over deal announcement last week, Pound has dropped sharply against all of its major trading counterparts as well as emerging market currencies. Since Friday, Pound has dropped close to 3% against...

Currency War Series

Riksbank minutes - what do they mean for the Krona?

Feb 23, 2016 15:05 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Minutes of the Riksbank meeting of Feb 11th published yesterday showed that the decision taken by Riksbanks Executive Board is a voting result and not a consensus decision. On 11th February the Riksbank lowered its key...

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Economy

Asian Stocks Rise as AI Chip Rally Lifts South Korea, Japan

Asian stocks mostly advanced Wednesday as renewed strength in technology and semiconductor shares boosted markets in South Korea and Japan. However, higher oil prices and uncertainty surrounding U.S.-Iran negotiations kept...

Asian Currencies Steady Ahead of US CPI as Oil Prices Rise

Asian currencies were mostly unchanged against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as investors awaited key U.S. inflation data that could shape expectations for the Federal Reserves next interest-rate decision. Meanwhile, rising...

Iran War Escalates as US, Houthis Target Ships Near Key Oil Routes

The United States and Yemens Iran-aligned Houthis reported separate attacks on commercial shipping Tuesday as hopes for a quick end to the Iran war faded. Tehran warned that the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for...

Canada, US Hold Fresh Trade Talks as August 19 Tariff Deadline Nears

Canada and the United States held another round of high-level trade talks on Tuesday as Ottawa seeks to prevent new U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods from taking effect on August 19. Dominic LeBlanc, Canadas minister...

Australia Sets New Minimum Pay, Insurance Rules for Gig Workers

Australias Fair Work Commission (FWC) has approved new minimum standards for food and grocery delivery workers, giving gig economy workers higher pay and greater protection against workplace injuries. Under the new rules,...

Politics

Peggy Flanagan Wins Minnesota Democratic Senate Nomination

Minnesota Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan has secured the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate, setting up a closely watched general election contest against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya. U.S. media outlets...

U.S. Military Operations Killed 153 Civilians in 2025, Pentagon Says

U.S. military operations killed 153 civilians and wounded another 243 in 2025, according to Pentagon assessments cited by a U.S. official, marking a sharp increase from the civilian casualty figures reported for 2024. The...

North Korea Launches Ballistic Missile as US-South Korea Drills Near

North Korea fired a ballistic missile toward waters off the Korean Peninsulas east coast on Wednesday, raising regional tensions just days before major US-South Korea military exercises are set to begin. South Koreas Joint...

Taiwan Slams ‘Dangerous’ China-Indonesia Naval Drill Near Island

Taiwan has condemned a planned China-Indonesia naval drill east of Taiwan, accusing Beijing of using the exercise to create the impression that it has authority over waters surrounding the democratically governed island....

Bashar al-Assad Sentenced to Death by Syrian Court

A Syrian court has sentenced ousted President Bashar al-Assad to death in absentia, marking the first conviction against the former leader since his government collapsed in December 2024. The Damascus court convicted Assad...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Samsung, SK Hynix Shares Surge on Report of Potential Temasek Investment

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix shares rallied sharply on Wednesday following a report that Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek is considering investments in South Koreas two leading memory chipmakers. Samsung...

OpenAI Executive Brad Lightcap to Leave for New AI Venture

Brad Lightcap, one of OpenAIs most senior executives and its former chief operating officer, is leaving the artificial intelligence company to launch a new venture, adding to a series of major leadership changes across the...

Anthropic Signs $9.1B AI Data Center Deal With Riot Platforms

Anthropic has reportedly signed a $9.1 billion long-term agreement with Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) to secure large-scale AI computing capacity, marking another major investment by the Claude developer as demand for...

Trump Media Says Truth API Draws 10+ Customers as Conflict Concerns Grow

Trump Media Technology Group said Monday that more than 10 customers have signed up for its upcoming Truth API, a real-time data service designed to provide rapid access to posts from prominent Truth Social accounts,...

Nvidia Secures $500 Billion AI Infrastructure Push With Wall Street Giants

Nvidia is expanding its influence beyond semiconductors after announcing agreements aimed at mobilizing up to $500 billion in third-party capital for artificial intelligence infrastructure. The move brings the AI chip...
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