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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

ECB’s Paret hints further rate cuts: will it weaken Euro?

Mar 18, 2016 10:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Its not over. Do you hear?? European Central Bank (ECB) is not done with easing. European Central Banks (ECB) executive board member Peter Part in an interview with La Republica, published today, said that ECB has yet...

Currency War Series

BI should ease pace of easing policy, should wait until Q2 to cut rates

Mar 18, 2016 06:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank Indonesia (BI) lowered its rate for the third consecutive time yesterday, cutting its entire policy corridor by 25bps, with the reference, Fasbi/deposit and repo rates being lowered to 6.75%, 4.75% and 7.25%...

Currency War Series

BoE to vote unanimously in favour of holding rates, pound to see little impact

Mar 15, 2016 13:54 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of Englands monetary policy meet is scheduled for Thursday, 17th March, a day after the new budget is delivered, and is expected to vote unanimously in favour of leaving rates unchanged. The meeting is likely to be a...

Currency War Series

Bank Indonesia to continue with easing cycle, likely to cut rates by 50bps before 2016-end

Mar 14, 2016 12:11 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank Indonesia is expected to continue on its easing cycle and lower rates during its meeting on 16-17 March. The central bank has usually gone on board with a cycle of rate cuts or hikes if there were changes made to...

Currency War Series

Norges Bank to lower interest rate on Thursday

Mar 14, 2016 10:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Norges Bank is expected to lower its interest rate on Thursday by 25bp. It is also likely to adjust the interest rate path down by 7-8 bp by late 2016 so it can give a slightly above 50% possibility of a further cut...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

Czech National bank to introduce negative interest rates?

Mar 14, 2016 10:22 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The EUR-CZK pair has been rising in recent weeks after remaining stable at close to its 27.00 floor for four months. This indicates that the market believes the central bank will have to break its policy status quo in the...

Currency War Series

Polish central bank likely to lower rates by Q3, lowers inflation outlook for 2016, 2017

Mar 14, 2016 09:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Polands central bank, during its meeting on Friday, kept its policy unchanged and hinted a likely reduction in rate if there is excessive capital inflow from euro area. The central bank cut its inflation forecasts as...

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Economy

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Will global oil supply be at risk if Iran and Israel pull the Middle East into war?

Tensions in the Middle East have escalated following Irans weekend missile and drone attacks on Israel, heightening concerns of a wider conflict. As with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, further conflict has the...

EU enlargement: What does the future hold?

To widen or to deepen. This has been one of the longstanding dilemmas throughout European Union (EU) history, and a perennial sticking point in the unending process of European integration. In its time, the UK...

Politics

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

South Korean President Yoon faces foreign policy challenges after the National Assembly election

South Koreas parliamentary election of April 10, 2024, was widely seen as a referendum on President Yoon Suk Yeols first two years in office. That being the case, the nation collectively expressed its strong...

How will US foreign policy affect Joe Biden’s chances of re-election in November?

When big questions about American foreign policy collide with an election, its rarely good news for a sitting president. Like many leaders before him, US President Joe Biden has had some of these questions thrust on...

US Commerce Secretary Asserts Huawei Chip Lag, Affirms Export Control Success

In an interview on CBS News 60 Minutes, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated that the latest Huawei Mate 60 Pro phones chip remains significantly behind U.S. technology despite being the most advanced from China. She...

‘We have thousands of Modis’: the secret behind the BJP’s enduring success in India

Since 2014, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modis popularity has grown exponentially and so has the formidable organisational machine of his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). These two factors will be key to delivering the BJP...

Science

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Technology

Samourai Wallet Founders Arrested, Crypto Markets Tumble Amid Regulatory Heat

The cryptocurrency market dipped significantly after the U.S. Department of Justice arrested Samourai Wallets CEO and CTO, exacerbating volatility amid geopolitical tensions and the recent Bitcoin halving. Bitcoin and...

Post-Halving Surge: Standard Chartered Predicts Bitcoin to Hit $150K on Reduced Market Leverage

Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered Banks analyst and head of digital assets research, believes bitcoin (BTC) would likely trend upward following the halving due to lower leveraged market positions. In an interview with...

Tesla Cybertruck Hits 1,000-Unit Weekly Production Amid Q1 Financial Shortfalls

Tesla announced a milestone in Cybertruck production, achieving 1,000 units per week concurrently with reporting lower-than-expected financial results for Q1 2024. Despite missing revenue and earnings estimates, Teslas...

IBM Acquires HashiCorp, Giving Its Hybrid-Cloud Business a Boost

IBM, or the International Business Machines Corporation, announced it will buy the San Francisco-based software company HashiCorp on Wednesday, April 24. IBMs Strategic Acquisition IBMs acquisition of HashiCorp,...
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