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Renminbi Series

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Over the past decade, China has emerged as global superpower of economics and Geo-politics. Chinese currency Yuan has emerged as top contender to Challenge global dominance of Dollar. This year in Yuan might join International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket, strengthening Yuan’s position as global reserve currency. In this series, we discuss about China, its politics, economics, and vulnerabilities with a view of Renminbi.

Renminbi Series

Weak CNY/CNH exchange rate likely in imminent future

Dec 09, 2015 08:40 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas CPI inflation for November increased to 1.5% year on year from 1.3% in previous month. The CPI inflation in November is mainly driven by the food prices as it inched up to 2.3 year on year against 1.9% in previous...

Renminbi Series

China FX reserve tumbles over outflow and valuation

Dec 08, 2015 11:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Chinas FX reserve tumbled by $87 billion in November, despite positive current account of $54.1 billion, bringing back fears of outflow return, which massacred Chinas FX reserve in August, when FX reserve fell by record...

Renminbi Series

CNY likely to depreciate further

Dec 07, 2015 05:32 am UTC| Commentary

The FX market is likely to strengthen ahead of FOMC meeting on 16th December, says Barclays. On the other hand, if China allows CNY to depreciate, the regional currencies will be under pressure. USDCNY pair increased to...

Renminbi Series

Fitch: Taiwan Banks Face Derivatives Risks as Chinese Yuan Weakens

Dec 07, 2015 01:28 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Taiwanese banks, mostly private-sector ones, face increasing risks from leveraged products due to the depreciation of the Chinese yuan, Fitch Ratings says. Latest financial reports reveal Taiwanese banks rising exposure...

Renminbi Series

USDCNY on the verge of a break higher

Dec 07, 2015 00:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

USDAsia crosses have failed to gain upward momentum in the past week after the ECB disappointed markets. Although the FX market is likely to consolidate ahead of the FOMC statement on 16 December, the risk to regional...

Renminbi Series

China’s FX reserves likely resumed decline in November

Dec 04, 2015 09:37 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas Foreign Reserve is expected to be USD 3482.5 billion as per the market consensus in the month of November. In October, the FX reserves were USD 3525.5 bn. Chinas FX reserves probably resumed its decline in...

Renminbi Series

CNY-CNH spread under pressure

Dec 04, 2015 09:14 am UTC| Commentary Technicals

Chinas central bank has lowered CNY-CNH spread by 131pps to 6.3851, to a two-week low. There were strong USD longs in onshore market as the lower fixing rate helps the corporates which need to hedge/unwind short USD...

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Economy

India Budget 2026: Modi Government Eyes Reforms Amid Global Uncertainty and Fiscal Pressures

Indias central government is set to present its annual budget on Sunday, a closely watched event as Prime Minister Narendra Modis administration seeks to accelerate domestic reforms while navigating rising global...

China Home Prices Rise in January as Government Signals Stronger Support for Property Market

Average prices of new homes across 100 major Chinese cities recorded an increase in January, while price declines in the secondary housing market continued to narrow, according to a private survey. The data suggests early...

South Korea Exports Surge in January on AI Chip Demand, Marking Fastest Growth in 4.5 Years

South Koreas exports recorded a strong start to the year, rising for an eighth consecutive month in January and posting their fastest growth in four and a half years, driven largely by booming global demand for AI servers...

Russia Stocks End Flat as MOEX Closes Unchanged Amid Mixed Global Signals

Russian stocks finished Saturdays trading session slightly lower overall, with the benchmark MOEX Russia Index closing unchanged at 0.00% in Moscow. Market sentiment remained cautious as investors weighed mixed...

China Factory Activity Slips in January as Weak Demand Weighs on Growth Outlook

Chinas factory activity contracted at the start of the year, highlighting persistent pressure from weak domestic demand despite continued policy support from Beijing. An official survey released on Saturday showed that...

Politics

Trump Says Fed Pick Kevin Warsh Could Win Democratic Support in Senate Confirmation

U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed confidence that his nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, could secure votes from Senate Democrats during what is expected to be a closely watched and potentially...

Christian Menefee Wins Texas Special Election, Narrowing GOP House Majority

Democrat Christian Menefee has won a Texas special election for the U.S. House of Representatives, according to the Associated Press, a result that further tightens Republicans slim majority in the chamber. Menefees...

Trump’s Iraq Envoy Mark Savaya Ousted Amid U.S.-Iraq Tensions Over Iran Influence

Mark Savaya, who was named by U.S. President Donald Trump as special envoy for Iraq in October, is no longer serving in that role, according to multiple sources familiar with the decision. The reported removal comes at a...

Keir Starmer Urges Prince Andrew to Testify in U.S. Epstein Investigation

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has called for former Prince Andrew to testify before a U.S. congressional committee following new revelations about his long-standing links to disgraced financier and convicted sex...

U.S. Government Enters Brief Shutdown as Congress Delays Funding Deal

The U.S. government entered a partial shutdown early Saturday after Congress failed to finalize a funding agreement before a midnight deadline, temporarily halting a range of federal operations. The shutdown officially...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Elon Musk’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI Merger Talks Spark Investor Debate

Speculation around a potential Musk Inc has resurfaced as Elon Musks companiesSpaceX, Tesla, and xAIexplore closer ties amid rapid advances in artificial intelligence and automation. With SpaceX expected to go public later...

SpaceX Reports $8 Billion Profit as IPO Plans and Starlink Growth Fuel Valuation Buzz

SpaceX delivered a strong financial performance last year, generating an estimated $8 billion in profit on revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, according to people familiar with the companys results. The figures,...

SpaceX Updates Starlink Privacy Policy to Allow AI Training as xAI Merger Talks and IPO Loom

SpaceX has revised its Starlink privacy policy to allow customer data to be used for artificial intelligence training, a move that could significantly support Elon Musks broader AI ambitions. The policy change comes as...

Nvidia’s $100 Billion OpenAI Investment Faces Internal Doubts, Report Says

Nvidias ambitious plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, aimed at supporting the training and operation of next-generation artificial intelligence models, has reportedly hit a roadblock. According to a report...

Federal Judge Signals Possible Dismissal of xAI Lawsuit Against OpenAI

A U.S. federal judge has signaled she may dismiss a high-profile lawsuit filed by Elon Musks artificial intelligence startup, xAI, against rival OpenAI, dealing a potential setback to Musk in an escalating legal battle...