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FxWirePro: Driving forces of neutral RUB stances and hedging vehicles

May 17, 2017 11:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

While rubles medium term structural drivers are supportive, a sequentially dovish shift by the central bank and uncertain oil outlook keeps us neutral. The fundamental drivers of RUB over the medium-term look attractive: a...

FxWirePro: Antipodeans seems rich against other commodity blocs in long-term fair value estimates

May 17, 2017 11:37 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

There has been substantial movement in G10 currencies over the past month, but the ranking of currencies on this framework hasnt changed. Despite JPY and CAD underperforming in the past month and GBP and EUR...

FxWirePro: Under abrupt gathering of storm clouds in CAD – Deploy collar options combination on bullish neutral risk reversals

May 17, 2017 11:01 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

CAD sharply depreciated by as much as 4.8% from mid-April highs on a layering of multiple concerns that suddenly gathered around Canada. These risks include fresh concerns over the US-Canada trade relationship, the...

FxWirePro: Dovish RBNZ to decelerate NZD’s pace, shrinking IVs to signal lackluster hedging activities

May 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The RBNZ was very dovish at the May MPS. Despite inflation recovering in 1Q to above 2%oya for the first time in six years, Governor Wheeler stuck to his neutral guidance, and the staff maintained their forecast that the...

FxWirePro: NZD/JPY option hedging formula - Aggressive bears prefer vanilla puts and risk averse hedgers rely on debit put spreads

May 17, 2017 08:31 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

NZD underperformed, despite a modest upside surprise from the GDT dairy auction, slipping from 0.6902 to 0.6863 against USD, and partly retracing to 0.6894. AUD/NZD rose from 1.0746 to 1.0800. The RBNZ has signaled the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What does strengthened US-Japan spreads imply? Bullish, bearish scenarios and hedging strategy of USD/JPY ahead of potential risk events

May 16, 2017 11:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

USDJPY continued to decline and traded in the low-108 handle, the lowest since mid-November 2016. However, the pair has rebounded since mid-April and as a result, JPY has been the weakest currency within the G-10 camp...

Announcement: Moody's: Lebanon's rating balances resilient liquidity against high debt burden and fiscal deficit

May 16, 2017 03:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Lebanons B2 government issuer rating with a negative outlook reflects the countrys resilient liquidity position, very high debt burden and deteriorating fiscal deficit, Moodys Investors Service said in a report. The...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

Technology

Ex-OpenAI Exec Criticizes Sam Altman's Focus on 'Shiny Products' Over AI Safety Concerns

Former OpenAI executive Jan Leike resigns, criticizing the companys prioritization of shiny products over AI safety, calling out Sam Altmans leadership. Safety vs. Product Focus Leike, the leader of an artificial...

Binance Enhances SHIB, USTC, AGIX Trading and Liquidity for Better Market Dynamics

Binance has announced efforts to enhance liquidity and trading for Shiba Inu (SHIB), USTC, and SingularityNET (AGIX), including tick size adjustments aimed at improving market dynamics and trading experience. Binances...

OpenAI Disbands Team Tackling AI Risks Amid Leadership Changes and GPT-4o Launch

OpenAI has dismantled its Superalignment team, initially formed to address AI risks, following the resignations of key leaders Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike. OpenAI Disbands Superalignment Team Days After Leaders Resign,...

$73M Crypto Scam: Two Foreign Nationals Arrested for 'Pig Butchering'

The Justice Department prosecuted two Chinese nationals on Friday in a cryptocurrency scam that laundered at least $73 million from deceived victims. Defendants Allegedly Used Shell Corporations to Launder Funds Through...

Tether's $1B USDT Mint Boosts Bitcoin, Eyes on $70K Milestone

Bitcoin has switched its former resistance into support, as Tethers market capitalization continues to rise swiftly in 2024. Tether, the worlds largest stablecoin, has issued another $1 billion, raising its market...